共查询到18条相似文献,搜索用时 46 毫秒
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混合Copula模型在中国股市的应用 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
孙志宾 《数学的实践与认识》2007,37(20):14-18
首先给出了描述相依结构的混合Copula模型,然后给出寻求混合Copula模型的EM算法,最后以中国股市的实际数据进行了实证分析,说明混合Copula模型是可以用来描述中国股市的相依结构. 相似文献
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In this paper,the mixed estimations of regression coefficient in multivariate linear model is giyen on the condition of expanding sample data and their optimalities are considered.It is shown that GLSE is equivalent to the above mentioned mixed estimations.Furthermore,Bayes estimation in multivariate normal model,which is the same as the mixed estimations,is also improved. 相似文献
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讨论了分组数据下线性回归模型参数的MLE的存在、唯一性.通过EM算法获得MLE的近似解.通过SEM算法获得MLE的渐近协方差阵. 相似文献
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《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2013,22(4):880-896
Hierarchical model specifications using latent variables are frequently used to reflect correlation structure in data. Motivated by the structure of a Bayesian multivariate probit model, we demonstrate a parameter-extended Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for sampling from the posterior distribution of a correlation matrix. Our sampling algorithms lead directly to two readily interpretable families of prior distributions for a correlation matrix. The methodology is illustrated through a simulation study and through an application with repeated binary outcomes on individuals from a study of a suicide prevention intervention. 相似文献
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Chen Jiahua 《东北数学》1995,(3)
RestrictedMaximumLikelihoodEstimatesinFiniteMixtureModels¥(陈家骅,成平)ChenJiahua(DepartmentofStatistics&ActuarialScience,Universi... 相似文献
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Andrew M. Raim Nagaraj K. Neerchal Jorge G. Morel 《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2018,27(3):587-601
Finite mixture distributions arise in sampling a heterogeneous population. Data drawn from such a population will exhibit extra variability relative to any single subpopulation. Statistical models based on finite mixtures can assist in the analysis of categorical and count outcomes when standard generalized linear models (GLMs) cannot adequately express variability observed in the data. We propose an extension of GLMs where the response follows a finite mixture distribution and the regression of interest is linked to the mixture’s mean. This approach may be preferred over a finite mixture of regressions when the population mean is of interest; here, only one regression must be specified and interpreted in the analysis. A technical challenge is that the mixture’s mean is a composite parameter that does not appear explicitly in the density. The proposed model maintains its link to the regression through a certain random effects structure and is completely likelihood-based. We consider typical GLM cases where means are either real-valued, constrained to be positive, or constrained to be on the unit interval. The resulting model is applied to two example datasets through Bayesian analysis. Supporting the extra variation is seen to improve residual plots and produce widened prediction intervals reflecting the uncertainty. Supplementary materials for this article are available online. 相似文献
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Computing Normalizing Constants for Finite Mixture Models via Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling (IMIS) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2013,22(3):712-734
This article proposes a method for approximating integrated likelihoods in finite mixture models. We formulate the model in terms of the unobserved group memberships, z, and make them the variables of integration. The integral is then evaluated using importance sampling over the z. We propose an adaptive importance sampling function which is itself a mixture, with two types of component distributions, one concentrated and one diffuse. The more concentrated type of component serves the usual purpose of an importance sampling function, sampling mostly group assignments of high posterior probability. The less concentrated type of component allows for the importance sampling function to explore the space in a controlled way to find other, unvisited assignments with high posterior probability. Components are added adaptively, one at a time, to cover areas of high posterior probability not well covered by the current importance sampling function. The method is called incremental mixture importance sampling (IMIS).IMIS is easy to implement and to monitor for convergence. It scales easily for higher dimensional mixture distributions when a conjugate prior is specified for the mixture parameters. The simulated values on which the estimate is based are independent, which allows for straightforward estimation of standard errors. The self-monitoring aspects of the method make it easier to adjust tuning parameters in the course of estimation than standard Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. With only small modifications to the code, one can use the method for a wide variety of mixture distributions of different dimensions. The method performed well in simulations and in mixture problems in astronomy and medical research. 相似文献
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有限混合模型的Log极大似然比统计量极限分布不是平常x2分布,1985年已为Hartigan指出.在这篇文章我们限制了混合比大于一正数下,讨论了两个含单个未知参数混合模型的Log极大似然比统计量的极限分布,它是零与x2分布的混合分布. 相似文献
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潜变量模型是一种广泛应用于表征多个观察变量之间相关性的统计方法.在刻画多重分类数据关联性方面,这类模型通常假定每个分类变量都与一个潜在连续变量或向量相联系,通过潜变量或向量在窗口部分的观察值来确定分类变量的值,从而达到对类别界定.然而该方法存在一个弱点:观察似然或模型存在确定性问题.模型缺乏识别性必然会对估计构成影响.... 相似文献
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Derek S. Young Chenlu Ke Xiaoxue Zeng 《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2018,27(3):564-575
Certain practical and theoretical challenges surround the estimation of finite mixture models. One such challenge is how to determine the number of components when this is not assumed a priori. Available methods in the literature are primarily numerical and lack any substantial visualization component. Traditional numerical methods include the calculation of information criteria and bootstrapping approaches; however, such methods have known technical issues regarding the necessary regularity conditions for testing the number of components. The ability to visualize an appropriate number of components for a finite mixture model could serve to supplement the results from traditional methods or provide visual evidence when results from such methods are inconclusive. Our research fills this gap through development of a visualization tool, which we call a mixturegram. This tool is easy to implement and provides a quick way for researchers to assess the number of components for their hypothesized mixture model. Mixtures of univariate or multivariate data can be assessed. We validate our visualization assessments by comparing with results from information criteria and an ad hoc selection criterion based on calculations used for the mixturegram. We also construct the mixturegram for two datasets. 相似文献