A note on random walk in random scenery

We consider a random walk in random scenery {Xn=η(S₀)+?+η(Sn),n∈N}, where a centered walk {Sn,n∈N} is independent of the scenery {η(x),x∈Zd}, consisting of symmetric i.i.d. with tail distribution P(η(x)>t)∼exp(−cαtα), with 1?α<d/2. We study the probability, when averaged over both randomness, that {Xn>ny} for y>0, and n large. In this note, we show that the large deviation estimate is of order exp(−ca(ny)), with a=α/(α+1).     

Stochastic comparisons of order statistics from gamma distributions

Let (X₁,X₂,…,X_n) and (Y₁,Y₂,…,Y_n) be gamma random vectors with common shape parameter α(0<α?1) and scale parameters (λ₁,λ₂,…,λ_n), (μ₁,μ₂,…,μ_n), respectively. Let X₍₎=(X₍₁₎,X₍₂₎,…,X_(n)), Y₍₎=(Y₍₁₎,Y₍₂₎,…,Y_(n)) be the order statistics of (X₁,X₂,…,X_n) and (Y₁,Y₂,…,Y_n). Then (λ₁,λ₂,…,λ_n) majorizes (μ₁,μ₂,…,μ_n) implies that X₍₎ is stochastically larger than Y₍₎. However if the common shape parameter α>1, we can only compare the the first- and last-order statistics. Some earlier results on stochastically comparing proportional hazard functions are shown to be special cases of our results.     

On the dependence between the extreme order statistics in the proportional hazards model

Let X₁,…,X_n be a random sample from an absolutely continuous distribution with non-negative support, and let Y₁,…,Y_n be mutually independent lifetimes with proportional hazard rates. Let also X₍₁₎<?<X_(n) and Y₍₁₎<?<Y_(n) be their associated order statistics. It is shown that the pair (X₍₁₎,X_(n)) is then more dependent than the pair (Y₍₁₎,Y_(n)), in the sense of the right-tail increasing ordering of Avérous and Dortet-Bernadet [LTD and RTI dependence orderings, Canad. J. Statist. 28 (2000) 151-157]. Elementary consequences of this fact are highlighted.     

Invariance principles for stochastic area and related stochastic integrals

Given an antisymmetric kernel K (K(z, z′) = ?K(z′, z)) and i.i.d. random variates Z_n, n?1, such that EK²(Z₁, Z₂)<∞, set A_n = ∑₁?i?j?nK(Z_i,Z_j), n?1. If the Z_n's are two-dimensional and K is the determinant function, A_n is a discrete analogue of Paul Lévy's so-called stochastic area. Using a general functional central limit theorem for stochastic integrals, we obtain limit theorems for the A_n's which mirror the corresponding results for the symmetric kernels that figure in theory of U-statistics.     

Moments, moderate and large deviations for a branching process in a random environment

Let (Z_n) be a supercritical branching process in a random environment ξ, and W be the limit of the normalized population size Z_n/E[Z_n|ξ]. We show large and moderate deviation principles for the sequence logZ_n (with appropriate normalization). For the proof, we calculate the critical value for the existence of harmonic moments of W, and show an equivalence for all the moments of Z_n. Central limit theorems on W−W_n and logZ_n are also established.     

On a random graph evolving by degrees

We consider a random (multi)graph growth process {Gm} on a vertex set [n], which is a special case of a more general process proposed by Laci Lovász in 2002. G₀ is empty, and Gm+1 is obtained from Gm by inserting a new edge e at random. Specifically, the conditional probability that e joins two currently disjoint vertices, i and j, is proportional to (di+α)(dj+α), where di, dj are the degrees of i, j in Gm, and α>0 is a fixed parameter. The limiting case α=∞ is the Erd?s-Rényi graph process. We show that whp Gm contains a unique giant component iff c:=2m/n>cα=α/(1+α), and the size of this giant is asymptotic to , where c^∗<cα is the root of . A phase transition window is proved to be contained, essentially, in [cα−An−1/3,cα+Bn−1/4], and we conjecture that 1/4 may be replaced with 1/3. For the multigraph version, {MGm}, we show that MGm is connected whp iff m?mn:=n1+α−1. We conjecture that, for α>1, mn is the threshold for connectedness of Gm itself.     

On a new Kato class and positive solutions of Dirichlet problems for the fractional Laplacian in bounded domains

The purpose of this paper is to extend some results of the potential theory of an elliptic operator to the fractional Laplacian (−Δ)^α/2, 0<α<2, in a bounded C^1,1 domain D in Rⁿ. In particular, we introduce a new Kato class K_α(D) and we exploit the properties of this class to study the existence of positive solutions of some Dirichlet problems for the fractional Laplacian.     

The asymptotic ruin problem when the healthy and sick periods form an alternating renewal process

Let {T₁, Y₁}^∞_i=1 be a sequence of positive independent random variables. Let, also, Z₁ = βY′₁ ? πT_i, i = 1, 2, …, where Y′₁ = Max(0, Y_i ? w), w ? 0, and where β < 0 and π is such that E(Z₁) < 0. We consider the random walk of partial sums S_n = ?ⁿ_i=1Z_i in the presence of an absorbing region (u, ∞), u ? 0, and S₀ ≡ 0. Of interest is $\text{ψ(u) = Pr(}\text{S}\text{?}\text{≤ u)}$ where S? = Sup(0, S₁, S₂, …, S_n, …).     

On a continuous analogue of the stochastic difference equation Xn=ρXn-1+Bn

Let B₁, B₂, ... be a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables, letX₀ be a random variable that is independent ofB_n forn?1, let ρ be a constant such that 0<ρ<1 and letX₁,X₂, ... be another sequence of random variables that are defined recursively by the relationshipsX_n=ρX_n-1+B_n. It can be shown that the sequence of random variablesX₁,X₂, ... converges in law to a random variableX if and only ifE[log⁺¦B₁¦]<∞. In this paper we let {B(t):0≦t<∞} be a stochastic process with independent, homogeneous increments and define another stochastic process {X(t):0?t<∞} that stands in the same relationship to the stochastic process {B(t):0?t<∞} as the sequence of random variablesX₁,X₂,...stands toB₁,B₂,.... It is shown thatX(t) converges in law to a random variableX ast →+∞ if and only ifE[log⁺¦B(1)¦]<∞ in which caseX has a distribution function of class L. Several other related results are obtained. The main analytical tool used to obtain these results is a theorem of Lukacs concerning characteristic functions of certain stochastic integrals.     

Level crossing probabilities I: One-dimensional random walks and symmetrization

We prove for an arbitrary random walk in R¹ with independent increments that the probability of crossing a level at a given time n is O(n−1/2). Moment or symmetry assumptions are not necessary. In removing symmetry the (sharp) inequality P(|X+Y|?1)<2P(|X−Y|?1) for independent identically distributed X,Y is used. In part II we shall discuss the connection of this result to ‘polygonal recurrence’ of higher-dimensional walks and some conjectures on directionally reinforced random walks in the sense of Mauldin, Monticino and von Weizsäcker [R.D. Mauldin, M. Monticino, H. von Weizsäcker, Directionally reinforced random walks, Adv. Math. 117 (1996) 239-252. [5]].     

Annealed deviations of random walk in random scenery

Let (Zn)_n∈N be a d-dimensional random walk in random scenery, i.e., with (Sk)_k∈N0 a random walk in Zd and (Y(z))_z∈Zd an i.i.d. scenery, independent of the walk. The walker's steps have mean zero and some finite exponential moments. We identify the speed and the rate of the logarithmic decay of for various choices of sequences n(bn) in [1,∞). Depending on n(bn) and the upper tails of the scenery, we identify different regimes for the speed of decay and different variational formulas for the rate functions. In contrast to recent work [A. Asselah, F. Castell, Large deviations for Brownian motion in a random scenery, Probab. Theory Related Fields 126 (2003) 497-527] by A. Asselah and F. Castell, we consider sceneries unbounded to infinity. It turns out that there are interesting connections to large deviation properties of self-intersections of the walk, which have been studied recently by X. Chen [X. Chen, Exponential asymptotics and law of the iterated logarithm for intersection local times of random walks, Ann. Probab. 32 (4) 2004].     

On the resolvent of the Laplacian on functions for degenerating surfaces of finite geometry

We consider families (Yn) of degenerating hyperbolic surfaces. The surfaces are geometrically finite of fixed topological type. Let Zn be the Selberg Zeta function of Yn, and let zn be the contribution of the pinched geodesics to Zn. Extending a result of Wolpert's, we prove that Zn(s)/zn(s) converges to the Zeta function of the limit surface if Re(s)>1/2. The technique is an examination of resolvent of the Laplacian, which is composed from that for elementary surfaces via meromorphic Fredholm theory. The resolvent ⁻¹(Δn−t) is shown to converge for all t∉[1/4,∞). We also use this property to define approximate Eisenstein functions and scattering matrices.     

On the range of heterogeneous samples

Let R_n be the range of a random sample X₁,…,X_n of exponential random variables with hazard rate λ. Let S_n be the range of another collection Y₁,…,Y_n of mutually independent exponential random variables with hazard rates λ₁,…,λ_n whose average is λ. Finally, let r and s denote the reversed hazard rates of R_n and S_n, respectively. It is shown here that the mapping t?s(t)/r(t) is increasing on (0,∞) and that as a result, R_n=X_(n)−X₍₁₎ is smaller than S_n=Y_(n)−Y₍₁₎ in the likelihood ratio ordering as well as in the dispersive ordering. As a further consequence of this fact, X_(n) is seen to be more stochastically increasing in X₍₁₎ than Y_(n) is in Y₍₁₎. In other words, the pair (X₍₁₎,X_(n)) is more dependent than the pair (Y₍₁₎,Y_(n)) in the monotone regression dependence ordering. The latter finding extends readily to the more general context where X₁,…,X_n form a random sample from a continuous distribution while Y₁,…,Y_n are mutually independent lifetimes with proportional hazard rates.     

Central limit theorems for a supercritical branching process in a random environment

For a supercritical branching process (Z_n) in a stationary and ergodic environment ξ, we study the rate of convergence of the normalized population W_n=Z_n/E[Z_n|ξ] to its limit W_∞: we show a central limit theorem for W_∞−W_n with suitable normalization and derive a Berry-Esseen bound for the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem when the environment is independent and identically distributed. Similar results are also shown for W_n+k−W_n for each fixed k∈N^∗.     

On the prediction of vector-valued random fields and the spectral distribution of their evanescent component

Let (X_m,n)_(m,n)∈Z² be a C^p-valued wide sense stationary process. We study the prediction theory of such processes according to different total orders on Z². In the case of a “rational order”, we give the spectral distribution of the resulting evanescent component and prove that for two different rational orders, the resulting evanescent components are mutually orthogonal.     

Conditional ordering of order statistics

For any positive integers m and n, let X₁,X₂,…,X_m∨n be independent random variables with possibly nonidentical distributions. Let X_1:n≤X_2:n≤?≤X_n:n be order statistics of random variables X₁,X₂,…,X_n, and let X_1:m≤X_2:m≤?≤X_m:m be order statistics of random variables X₁,X₂,…,X_m. It is shown that (X_j:n,X_j+1:n,…,X_n:n) given X_i:m>y for j−i≥max{n−m,0}, and (X_1:n,X_2:n,…,X_j:n) given X_i:m≤y for j−i≤min{n−m,0} are all increasing in y with respect to the usual multivariate stochastic order. We thus extend the main results in Dubhashi and Häggström (2008) [1] and Hu and Chen (2008) [2].     

Characterization of the absence of a spectral gapfor a class of periodic Jacobi operators

Let q ∈ {2, 3} and let 0 = s₀ < s₁ < … < s_q = T be integers. For m, n ∈ Z, we put ¯m,n = {j ∈ Z| m? j ? n}. We set l_j = s_j − s_j−1 for j ∈ 1, q. Given (p₁,, p_q) ∈ R^q, let b: Z → R be a periodic function of period T such that b(·) = p_j on s_j−1 + 1, s_j for each j ∈ 1, q. We study the spectral gaps of the Jacobi operator (Ju)(n) = u(n + 1) + u(n − 1) + b(n)u(n) acting on l²(Z). By [λ_2j , λ_2j−1] we denote the jth band of the spectrum of J counted from above for j ∈ 1, T. Suppose that p_m ≠ p_n for m ≠ n. We prove that the statements (i) and (ii) below are equivalent for λ ∈ R and i ∈ 1, T − 1.     

Partial autocorrelation functions of the fractional ARIMA processes with negative degree of differencing

Let be a fractional ARIMA(p,d,q) process with partial autocorrelation function α(·). In this paper, we prove that if d∈(−1/2,0) then |α(n)|∼|d|/n as n→∞. This extends the previous result for the case 0<d<1/2.