Local Asymptotic Normality in Extreme Value Index Estimation

This paper deals with the estimation of the extreme value index in local extreme value models. We establish local asymptotic normality (LAN) under certain extreme value alternatives. It turns out that the central sequence occurring in the LAN expansion of the likelihood process is up to a rescaling procedure the Hill estimator. The central sequence plays a crucial role for the construction of asymptotic optimal statistical procedures. In particular, the Hill estimator is asymptotically minimax.     

Estimation of Parameters for Diffusion Processes with Jumps from Discrete Observations

In this paper, we consider a multidimensional diffusion process with jumps whose jump term is driven by a compound Poisson process. Let a(x,θ) be a drift coefficient, b(x,σ) be a diffusion coefficient respectively, and the jump term is driven by a Poisson random measure p. We assume that its intensity measure q^θ has a finite total mass. The aim of this paper is estimating the parameter α = (θ,σ) from some discrete data. We can observe n + 1 data at t_iⁿ = ih_n, . We suppose h_n → 0, nh_n → ∞, nh_n² → 0. Final version 20 December 2004     

Inference for thinned point processes, with application to Cox processes

Given i.i.d. point processes N₁, N₂,…, let the observations be p-thinnings N′₁, N′₂,…, where p is a function from the underlying space E (a compact metric space) to [0, 1], whose interpretation is that a point of N_i at x is retained with probability p(x) and deleted with probability 1−p(x). Strongly consistent estimators of the thinning function p and the Laplace functional L_N(f) = E[e^−N(f)] of the N_i are constructed; associated “central limit” properties are given. Tests are presented, for the case when the N_i and N′_i are both observable, of the hypothesis that the N′_i are p-thinnings of the N_i. State estimation techniques are developed for the case where the N_i are Cox processes directed by unobservable random measures M_i; these techniques yield minimum mean-squared error estimators, based on observation of only the thinned processes N′_i of the N_i and the directing measures M_i. Limit theorems for empirical Laplace functionals of point processes are given.     

Asymptotic Normality of Kernel Type Density Estimators for Random Fields

Kernel type density estimators are studied for random fields. It is proved that the estimators are asymptotically normal if the set of locations of observations become more and more dense in an increasing sequence of domains. It turns out that in our setting the covariance structure of the limiting normal distribution can be a combination of those of the continuous parameter and the discrete parameter cases. The proof is based on a new central limit theorem for α-mixing random fields. Simulation results support our theorems. Final version 29 October 2004