首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
In this paper we focus on an extension of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) that accommodates ambiguity on the part of the decision maker (DM), and facilitates the exploration of the decision domain. We propose a systematic action learning process that builds confidence as it converges from numeric interval estimates to numeric point estimates. Our Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) problem procedure structures the problem as a hierarchy, evaluates all objects using pairwise comparisons that accommodate vagueness and ambiguity, uses interval prioritization techniques, and does synthesis using the linear additive value function. This action learning process facilitates the understanding of key stakeholders, which is imperative for the successful implementation of the subsequent decision.  相似文献   

2.
3.
Various software tools implementing multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods have appeared over the last decades. Although MCDA methods share common features, most of the implementing software have been developed independently from scratch. Majority of the tools have a proprietary storage format and exchanging data among software is cumbersome. Common data exchange standard would be useful for an analyst wanting to apply different methods on the same problem. The Decision Deck project has proposed to build components implementing MCDA methods in a reusable and interchangeable manner. A key element in this scheme is the XMCDA standard, a proposal that aims to standardize an XML encoding of common structures appearing in MCDA models, such as criteria and performance evaluations. Although XMCDA allows to present most data structures for MCDA models, it almost completely lacks data integrity checks. In this paper we present a new comprehensive data model for MCDA problems, implemented as an XML schema. The data model includes types that are sufficient to represent multi-attribute value/utility models, ELECTRE III/TRI models, and their stochastic extensions, and AHP. We also discuss use of the data model in algorithmic MCDA.  相似文献   

4.
In this paper, we present a new preference disaggregation method for multiple criteria sorting problems, called DIS-CARD. Real-life experience indicates the need of considering decision making situations in which a decision maker (DM) specifies a desired number of alternatives to be assigned to single classes or to unions of some classes. These situations require special methods for multiple criteria sorting subject to desired cardinalities of classes. DIS-CARD deals with such a problem, using the ordinal regression approach to construct a model of DM’s preferences from preference information provided in terms of exemplary assignments of some reference alternatives, together with the above desired cardinalities. We develop a mathematical model for incorporating such preference information via mixed integer linear programming (MILP). Then, we adapt the MILP model to two types of preference models: an additive value function and an outranking relation. Illustrative example is solved to illustrate the methodology.  相似文献   

5.
This is a summary of the author’s Ph.D. thesis, defended on 8 October 2007 at the University of Luxembourg and the Faculté Polytechnique de Mons, under the joint supervision of Raymond Bisdorff and Marc Pirlot. The thesis is written in English and is available from the author upon request. The work is situated in the field of multiple criteria decision analysis. It mostly deals with what we call progressive methods, i.e., iterative procedures presenting partial conclusions to the decision maker that can be refined at further steps of the analysis. Such progressive methods have been studied in the context of multiattribute value theory and outranking methods.   相似文献   

6.
Case-based preference elicitation methods for multiple criteria sorting problems have the advantage of posing rather small cognitive demands on a decision maker, but they may lead to ambiguous results when preference parameters are not uniquely determined. We use a simulation approach to determine the extent of this problem and to study the impact of additional case information on the quality of results. Our experiments compare two decision analysis tools, case-based distance sorting and the simple additive weighting method, in terms of the effects of additional case information on sorting performance, depending on problem dimension – number of groups, number of criteria, etc. Our results confirm the expected benefit of additional case information on the precision of estimates of the decision maker’s preferences. Problem dimension, however, has some unexpected effects.  相似文献   

7.
Dealing with inconsistent judgments in multiple criteria sorting models   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Sorting models consist in assigning alternatives evaluated on several criteria to ordered categories. To implement such models it is necessary to set the values of the preference parameters used in the model. Rather than fixing the values of these parameters directly, a usual approach is to infer these values from assignment examples provided by the decision maker (DM), i.e., alternatives for which (s)he specifies a required category. However, assignment examples provided by DMs can be inconsistent, i.e., may not match the sorting model. In such situations, it is necessary to support the DMs in the resolution of this inconsistency. In this paper, we extend algorithms from mous5ejor03 that calculate different ways to remove assignment examples so that the information can be represented in the sorting model. The extension concerns the possibility to relax (rather than to delete) assignment examples. These algorithms incorporate information about the confidence attached to each assignment example, hence providing inconsistency resolutions that the DMs are most likely to accept. Received: September 2004, Revised: June 2005 AMS classification: 90B50, 91B08, 90C05  相似文献   

8.
Disaggregation methods have been extensively used in multiple criteria decision making to infer preferential information from reference examples, using linear programming techniques. This paper proposes simple extensions of existing formulations, based on the concept of regularization which has been introduced within the context of the statistical learning theory. The properties of the resulting new formulations are analyzed for both ranking and classification problems and experimental results are presented demonstrating the improved performance of the proposed formulations over the ones traditionally used in preference disaggregation analysis.  相似文献   

9.
Scoring rules are an important disputable subject in data envelopment analysis (DEA). Various organizations use voting systems whose main object is to rank alternatives. In these methods, the ranks of alternatives are obtained by their associated weights. The method for determining the ranks of alternatives by their weights is an important issue. This problem has been the subject at hand of some authors. We suggest a three-stage method for the ranking of alternatives. In the first stage, the rank position of each alternative is computed based on the best and worst weights in the optimistic and pessimistic cases, respectively. The vector of weights obtained in the first stage is not a singleton. Hence, to deal with this problem, a secondary goal is used in the second stage. In the third stage of our method, the ranks of the alternatives approach the optimistic or pessimistic case. It is mentionable that the model proposed in the third stage is a multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) model and there are several methods for solving it; we use the weighted sum method in this paper. The model is solved by mixed integer programming. Also, we obtain an interval for the rank of each alternative. We present two models on the basis of the average of ranks in the optimistic and pessimistic cases. The aim of these models is to compute the rank by common weights.  相似文献   

10.
One of the most difficult tasks in multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is determining the weights of individual criteria so that all alternatives can be compared based on the aggregate performance of all criteria. This problem can be transformed into the compromise programming of seeking alternatives with a shorter distance to the ideal or a longer distance to the anti-ideal despite the rankings based on the two distance measures possibly not being the same. In order to obtain consistent rankings, this paper proposes a measure of relative distance, which involves the calculation of the relative position of an alternative between the anti-ideal and the ideal for ranking. In this case, minimizing the distance to the ideal is equivalent to maximizing the distance to the anti-ideal, so the rankings obtained from the two criteria are the same. An example is used to discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the proposed method, and the results are compared with those obtained from the TOPSIS method.  相似文献   

11.
Models for Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) often separate per-criterion attractiveness evaluation from weighted aggregation of these evaluations across the different criteria. In simulation-based MCDA methods, such as Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis, uncertainty in the weights is modeled through a uniform distribution on the feasible weight space defined by a set of linear constraints. Efficient sampling methods have been proposed for special cases, such as the unconstrained weight space or complete ordering of the weights. However, no efficient methods are available for other constraints such as imprecise trade-off ratios, and specialized sampling methods do not allow for flexibility in combining the different constraint types. In this paper, we explore how the Hit-And-Run sampler can be applied as a general approach for sampling from the convex weight space that results from an arbitrary combination of linear weight constraints. We present a technique for transforming the weight space to enable application of Hit-And-Run, and evaluate the sampler’s efficiency through computational tests. Our results show that the thinning factor required to obtain uniform samples can be expressed as a function of the number of criteria n as φ(n) = (n − 1)3. We also find that the technique is reasonably fast with problem sizes encountered in practice and that autocorrelation is an appropriate convergence metric.  相似文献   

12.
We consider a Markov decision process with an uncountable state space for which the vector performance functional has the form of expected total rewards. Under the single condition that initial distribution and transition probabilities are nonatomic, we prove that the performance space coincides with that generated by nonrandomized Markov policies. We also provide conditions for the existence of optimal policies when the goal is to maximize one component of the performance vector subject to inequality constraints on other components. We illustrate our results with examples of production and financial problems.  相似文献   

13.
Consider a finite set of alternatives under risk which have multiple attributes. MARPI is an interactive computer-based procedure to find an efficient choice in the sense of linear expected utility. The choice is based on incomplete information about the decision maker's preferences which is elicited and processed in a sequential way. The information includes qualitative properties of the multivariate utility function such as monotonicity, risk aversion, and separability. Further, in case of an additively separable utility function, bounds on the scaling constants are elicited, and preferences (not necessarily indifferences) between sure amounts and lotteries are asked from the decision maker. The lotteries are Bernoulli lotteries generated by MARPI using special strategies. At every stage of the procedure the efficient set of alternatives is determined with respect to the information elicited so far.The procedure has been fully implemented on a PC. The paper exhibits the basic ideas of MARPI and some details of its implementation.  相似文献   

14.
This is a summary of the Ouerdane’s PhD thesis supervised by Alexis Tsoukiàs and Nicolas Maudet and defended on 01 December 2009 at the Université Paris-Dauphine, Paris. The thesis is written in English and is available from the author upon request. This work has the aim to investigate the different ways to use argumentation theory in a decision context. More precisely within multi-criteria evaluation models. The principal aim is to meet the needs in terms of explanations and revision during a decision process.  相似文献   

15.
This paper addresses multiple criteria group decision making problems where each group member offers imprecise information on his/her preferences about the criteria. In particular we study the inclusion of this partial information in the decision problem when the individuals’ preferences do not provide a vector of common criteria weights and a compromise preference vector of weights has to be determined as part of the decision process in order to evaluate a finite set of alternatives. We present a method where the compromise is defined by the lexicographical minimization of the maximum disagreement between the value assigned to the alternatives by the group members and the evaluation induced by the compromise weights.  相似文献   

16.
We consider the problem of choosing the best of a set of alternatives where each alternative is evaluated on multiple criteria. We develop a visual interactive approach assuming that the decision maker (DM) has a general monotone utility function. The approach partitions the criteria space into nonoverlapping cells. The DM uses various graphical aids to move between cells and to further manipulate selected cells with the goal of creating cells that have ideal points less preferred than an alternative. When the DM identifies such cells, all alternatives in those cells are eliminated from further consideration. The DM may also compare pairs of alternatives. The approach terminates with the most preferred alternative of the DM.  相似文献   

17.
Growing social concern about the environmental impact of economic development has drawn attention to the need to integrate environmental criteria into energy decision-making problems. This has made electricity planning issues more complex given the multiplicity of objectives and decision-makers involved in the decision making process. This paper proposes a methodology that combines several multi-criteria methods to address electricity planning problems within a realistic context. The method is applied to an electricity planning exercise in Spain with a planning horizon set for the year 2030. The model includes the following objectives: (1) total cost; (2) C02; (3) SO2; and (4) NO x emissions as well as the amount of radioactive waste produced. An efficient social compromise between these conflicting objectives is obtained, which shows the advantages of using this model for policy-making purposes.  相似文献   

18.
In this paper an interactive procedure based upon a data structure called a quad tree is developed for solving the discrete alternative multiple criteria problem. Called InterQuad, the procedure has been designed with large discrete alternative problems in mind. InterQuad takes advantage of the ability of a quad tree to identify, store, and retrieve nondominated criterion vectors. Then, the user interacts with the nondominated criterion vectors stored in the quad tree in a fashion similar to that of the Combined Tchebycheff/Aspiration Criterion Vector Procedure of Steuer, Silverman and Whisman.  相似文献   

19.
In this paper, we consider the multiple attribute decision making (MADM) problems, in which the information about attribute weights is partly known and the attribute values are expressed in linguistic labels. We first define the concepts of linguistic positive ideal point, linguistic negative ideal point, and satisfactory degree of alternative. Based on these concepts, we then establish some linear programming models, through which the decision maker interacts with the analyst. Furthermore, we establish a practical interactive procedure for solving the MADM problems considered in this paper. The interactive process can be realized by giving and revising the satisfactory degrees of alternatives till an optimum satisfactory solution is achieved. Finally, a practical example is given to illustrate the developed procedure.  相似文献   

20.
The Evidential Reasoning (ER) approach is a general approach for analyzing multiple criteria decision problems under various types of uncertainty using a unified framework—belief structure. In this paper, the ER approach is surveyed from two aspects: theoretical development and applications. After a brief outline of its development and extension over a twenty year period, the ER approach is outlined with a focus on the links among its various developments. Future research directions in the area are also explored in the survey.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号