机构投资者的最优持仓策略研究

讨论了机构投资者的最优持仓策略问题,假设证券价格服从几何布朗运动,以均值方差效用为目标函数,得到了最优持仓策略所满足的二阶微分方程,并由差分法得到其数值解.最后,由参数的敏感性分析知:最优持仓策略与瞬时冲击、市场波动率及风险厌恶系数等参数有关,并分析了参数变化对最优持仓策略的影响.     

Optimal Basket Liquidation for CARA Investors is Deterministic

Abstract

We consider the problem faced by an investor who must liquidate a given basket of assets over a finite time horizon. The investor's goal is to maximize the expected utility of the sales revenues over a class of adaptive strategies. We assume that the investor's utility has constant absolute risk aversion (CARA) and that the asset prices are given by a very general continuous-time, multiasset price impact model. Our main result is that (perhaps surprisingly) the investor does no worse if he narrows his search to deterministic strategies. In the case where the asset prices are given by an extension of the nonlinear price impact model of Almgren [(2003) Applied Mathematical Finance, 10, pp. 1–18], we characterize the unique optimal strategy via the solution of a Hamilton equation and the value function via a nonlinear partial differential equation with singular initial condition.     

一般均衡模型中的最优税收体系

研究了带货币的一般均衡模型中的最优税收体系.在模型中,加入了人力资本的积累路径,假设消费者可以从持有货币的行为中获得效用,即money-in-utility.结果表明,当在一个一般均衡模型中结合了货币效用,弗里德曼法则仍然成立,并且将使税后的实际最优债券回报率归零.同时发现,在此模型的假设条件下,政府可以对劳动不收税,但要收取非常重的资本回报税(资本回报完全上缴税收),此时社会总福利最大.     

Optimal Execution and Block Trade Pricing: A General Framework

Abstract

In this article, we develop a general framework to study optimal execution and to price block trades. We prove existence of optimal liquidation strategies and provide regularity results for optimal strategies under very general hypotheses. We exhibit a Hamiltonian characterization for the optimal strategy that can be used for numerical approximation. We also focus on the important topic of block trade pricing and propose a methodology to give a price to financial (il)liquidity. In particular, we provide a closed-form formula for the price of a block trade when there is no time constraint to liquidate.     

Optimal Trade Execution Under Stochastic Volatility and Liquidity

Abstract

We study the problem of optimally liquidating a financial position in a discrete-time model with stochastic volatility and liquidity. We consider the three cases where the objective is to minimize the expectation, an expected exponential or a mean-variance criterion of the implementation cost. In the first case, the optimal solution can be fully characterized by a forward-backward system of stochastic equations depending on conditional expectations of future liquidity. In the other two cases, we derive Bellman equations from which the optimal solutions can be obtained numerically by discretizing the control space. In all three cases, we compute optimal strategies for different simulated realizations of prices, volatility and liquidity and compare the outcomes to the ones produced by the deterministic strategies of Bertsimas and Lo (1998; Optimal control of execution costs. Journal of Financial Markets, 1, 1–50) and Almgren and Chriss (2001; Optimal execution of portfolio transactions. Journal of Risk, 3, 5–33).     

一类随机模型的最优捕获问题研究

在Volterra两种群竞争模型的基础上,构造了随机的具有捕获的两种群竞争模型,研究讨论了捕获对种群生长过程的影响和如何实现最优捕获等问题.从确定性模型入手,深入讨论随机竞争模型的收获最优问题.通过对捕获强度E和贴现率等的估计与讨论,计算出了最优捕获强度最优捕获量最优经济收益.     

Optimal Market Making in the Foreign Exchange Market

Abstract

This paper is concerned with optimal market making in the foreign exchange market. The market maker's holdings in the different currencies are modelled as stochastic processes that are influenced by both the stochastic exchange rates and the stochastic customer buy and sell orders. The market maker can control their own bid and ask price quotes and, additionally, can buy and sell at other market participants' quotes. The resulting stochastic control problem consists of a controlled diffusion problem for the optimal quotes and a singular control problem for optimal trades at other market participants' quotes. A Markov chain approximation is used to derive optimal strategies.     

Price manipulation in a market impact model with dark pool

For a market impact model, price manipulation and related notions play a role that is similar to the role of arbitrage in a derivatives pricing model. Here, we give a systematic investigation into such regularity issues when orders can be executed both at a traditional exchange and in a dark pool. To this end, we focus on a class of dark-pool models whose market impact at the exchange is described by an Almgren–Chriss model. Conditions for the absence of price manipulation for all Almgren–Chriss models include the absence of temporary cross-venue impact, the presence of full permanent cross-venue impact and the additional penalization of orders executed in the dark pool. When a particular Almgren–Chriss model has been fixed, we show by a number of examples that the regularity of the dark-pool model hinges in a subtle way on the interplay of all model parameters and on the liquidation time constraint. The paper can also be seen as a case study for the regularity of market impact models in general.     

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For a financial or insurance entity, the problem of finding the optimal dividend distribution strategy and optimal firm value function is a widely discussed topic. In the present paper, it is assumed that the firm faces two types of liquidity risks: a Brownian risk and a Poisson risk. The firm can control the time and amount of dividends paid out to shareholders. By sufficiently taking into account the safety of the company, bankruptcy is said to take place at time $t$ if the cash reserve of the firm runs below the linear barrier b+kt (not zero), see 1. We deal with the problem of maximizing the expected total discounted dividends paid out until bankruptcy. The optimal dividend return (or, firm value) function is identified as the classical solution of the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation where a second-order differential-integro equation is involved. By solving the corresponding HJB equation, the analytical solution of the optimal firm value function is obtained, the optimal dividend strategy is also characterized, which is of linear barrier type: at time t the firm keeps cash inside when the cash reserves level is less than a critical linear barrier and pays cash in excess of this linear barrier as dividends.     

食饵种群受毒素影响的三种群模型的最优收获问题

讨论了在毒素存在的情况下收获食饵的食饵—捕食模型的平衡点稳定性,生物经济平衡点的存在性和最优收获问题,利用Pontryagin极大值原理确定了最优收获策略.     

Optimal Enforcement on a Pure Seller's Market of Illicit Drugs

An optimal control problem for the dynamic enforcement (crackdown) of dealers on a pure seller's market for illicit drugs is explored. Theorems on existence and uniqueness of the optimal synthesis are proved. Using a technique of resolution of singularities for degenerate differential equations, we design analytically an optimal enforcement policy.     

交易者异质性与期货市场动态关系的仿真研究

本文构建了一个基于异质性交易者的投机性期货市场仿真模型,从交易者微观行为的角度分析市场价格的动态特征。市场中有限理性的交易者具有异质性信念和不同的学习能力。个体预期不断调整,市场根据密封拍卖机制出清,期货价格随之变化。仿真结果表明,价格的波动与市场中大投机交易者的活动密切相关。仿真能够再现期货价格波动高峰厚尾。长记忆等特征。噪声交易者在市场中的生存,取决于外部信息流对市场的影响过程以及其他交易者的行为.本文是采用计算金融学仿真方法研究衍生产品市场的一种尝试,也为此领域的研究者在模型的实现上提供了另外一种容易实现的途径。     

证券市场上含有多个基金时的最优投资策略

本文研究了证券市场中包含多个基金和股票时的均值-方差最优投资决策模型,得到了最优投资组合的解析表达形式,以及对应的投资有效前沿,证明了两基金分离问题,由于最优解是不唯一的,进而讨论了最优解集合的结构,并对实例进行计算与分析。     

带有不等式约束的全局最优性条件

本文利用不连续罚函数方法将带有不等式约束的全局优化问题的求解转化为 讨论一非线性方程的求根问题,从而得到若干个全局最优性条件.     

含有信用风险的跳扩散市场的最优组合选择

假定投资者将其财富分配在这样两种风险资产中,一种是股票,价格服从跳跃扩散过程;一种是有信用风险的债券,其价格服从复合泊松过程.在均值-方差准则下通过最优控制原理来研究投资者的最优投资策略选择问题,得到了最优投资策略及有效边界,最后通过数值例子分析了违约强度、债券预期收益率以及目标财富对最优投资策略的影响.     

具B-D功能反应捕食统稳定性分析与最优捕获策略

运用微分方程理论研究了具B-D功能反应捕食系统的收获模型.通过构造Liapunov函数证明了系统正平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;同时应用pantryagin最大值原理得到无限的贴现率最终导致净经济利润为零的结论.     

考虑红利支付与提前退休的最优投资组合

研究了在经济代理人通过不可逆退休时间选择来调整劳动时间框架下的最优消费和投资问题,主要考虑风险资产派发红利的情形.运用随机控制方法,求解使得消费-闲暇预期效用最大化的最优策略.最优投资组合及最优退休时刻表明,代理人在为提前退休积累财富的同时,也能最佳享受消费和闲暇所带来的快乐.     

基于Copula-TGARCH模型的股指期货最佳套期保值比研究

本文基于一种新的Copula-TGARCH模型估计股指期货的最佳套期保值比,根据现货和期货收益率序列不同的尾部相依性,用不同的Copula函数形式(Gumbel,Clayton,Gaussian)拟合两者的相关性,并与其它的动态套期保值模型(ECM-CCC-GARCH和ECM-DVEC-GARCH)比较其套期保值的有效性。通过对香港恒生指数现货和期货的实证分析发现:无论样本期内、外,Copula-TGARCH模型的套期保值效果均优于其它模型,而基于非对称Gumbel Copula的套期保值比最佳。