On the influence of aggressive driving behavior on the dynamics of traffic flow

The car following model under discussion is a system of ordinary differential equations describing N cars moving around a circular road. We extend the stability analysis of the model in two directions: variable reaction time (depending on the headway) and an additional part describing the aggressive driving tendency. We study the global bifurcation dynamics and in particular its dependence on these two new ingredients. (© 2005 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

The traffic problem: Modeling of the overtaking

The classical microscopic single line follow‐the‐leader model of a road traffic may collapse in finite time due to a car collision. In order to avoid the collision, the natural action of a driver would be to overtake the slower car. We propose a simple model of overtaking assuming a circular road. The model is a dynamical system with discontinuous right‐hand side (the Filippov system). As a case study, we assumed that the system consists of N =3 identical cars. We studied a particular periodic solution (oscillatory pattern). We explored the possibility to use the standard software (AUTO97) to continue the pattern with respect to a parameter. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Bifurcations and spatiotemporal patterns in a ratio‐dependent diffusive Holling‐Tanner system with time delay

In this paper, we concentrate on the spatiotemporal patterns of a delayed reaction‐diffusion Holling‐Tanner model with Neumann boundary conditions. In particular, the time delay that is incorporated in the negative feedback of the predator density is considered as one of the principal factors to affect the dynamic behavior. Firstly, a global Turing bifurcation theorem for τ = 0 and a local Turing bifurcation theorem for τ > 0 are given. Then, further considering the degenerated situation, we derive the existence of Bogdanov‐Takens bifurcation and Turing‐Hopf bifurcation. The normal form method is used to study the explicit dynamics near the Turing‐Hopf singularity. It is shown that a pair of stable nonconstant steady states (stripe patterns) and a pair of stable spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions (spot patterns) could be bifurcated from a positive equilibrium. Moreover, the Turing‐Turing‐Hopf–type spatiotemporal patterns, that is, a subharmonic phenomenon with two spatial wave numbers and one temporal frequency, are also found and explained theoretically. Our results imply that the interaction of Turing and Hopf instabilities can be considered as the simplest mechanism for the appearance of complex spatiotemporal dynamics.     

Stability and Neimark–Sacker bifurcation of a ratio‐dependence predator–prey model

In this paper, stability and bifurcation of a two‐dimensional ratio‐dependence predator–prey model has been studied in the close first quadrant . It is proved that the model undergoes a period‐doubling bifurcation in a small neighborhood of a boundary equilibrium and moreover, Neimark–Sacker bifurcation occurs at a unique positive equilibrium. We study the Neimark–Sacker bifurcation at unique positive equilibrium by choosing b as a bifurcation parameter. Some numerical simulations are presented to illustrate theocratical results. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

警车配置及巡逻方案研究

以警车的配置与巡逻方案为研究对象,建立了一套警车巡逻模型,并提出巡逻效果显著度及隐藏性的评价标准,分别针对警车初始位置配置与巡逻方案的制定,提出警车配置优化选址的贪婪算法与基于多Agent的警车巡逻方案设计方法,给出了不同情景下的配置及巡逻方案:①在只考虑警车选址配置的情况下,配置19辆警车可以使全市路网警车覆盖率达到92.8%;②在顾及巡逻效果显著性与隐藏性的情况下,配置25辆警车使全市路网在整个巡逻过程中平均警车覆盖率达到90.9%;③在配置10辆警车的情况下,使得全市路网在整个巡逻过程中平均警车覆盖率达到61.5%.     

Shunting Minimal Rail Car Allocation

We consider the rail car management at industrial in-plant railroads. Demands for loaded or empty cars are characterized by a track, a car type, and the desired quantity. If available, we assign cars from the stock, possibly substituting types, otherwise we rent additional cars. Transportation requests are fulfilled as a short sequence of pieces of work, the so-called blocks. Their design at a minimal total transportation cost is the planning task considered in this paper. It decomposes into the rough distribution of cars among regions, and the NP-hard shunting minimal allocation of cars per region. We present mixed integer programming formulations for the two problem levels. Our computational experience from practical data encourages an installation in practice.MSC (2000): 90C11, 90C27, 90B06     

Memetic algorithm for the Traveling Car Renter Problem: an experimental investigation

The Traveling Car Renter Problem (CaRS) is a generalization of the Traveling Salesman Problem where the tour can be decomposed into contiguous paths that are travelled by different rented cars. When a car is rented in a city and delivered in another, the renter must pay a fee to return the car to its home city. Given a graph G and cost matrices associated to cars available for rent, the problem consists in determining the minimum cost Hamiltonian cycle in G, considering also the cost paid to deliver a car in a city different from the one it was rented. The latter cost is added to the cost of the edges in the cycle. This paper describes the general problem and some related variants. Two metaheuristic approaches are proposed to deal with CaRS: GRASP hybridized with Variable Neighborhood Descent and Memetic Algorithm. A set of benchmark instances is proposed for the new problem which is utilized on the computational experiments. The algorithms are tested on a set of 40 Euclidean and non-Euclidean instances.     

Complex dynamics of a discrete fractional‐order Leslie‐Gower predator‐prey model

A proposed discretized form of fractional‐order prey‐predator model is investigated. A sufficient condition for the solution of the discrete system to exist and to be unique is determined. Jury stability test is applied for studying stability of equilibrium points of the discretized system. Then, the effects of varying fractional order and other parameters of the systems on its dynamics are examined. The system undergoes Neimark‐Sacker and flip bifurcation under certain conditions. We observe that the model exhibits chaotic dynamics following stable states as the memory parameter α decreases and step size h increases. Theoretical results illustrate the rich dynamics and complexity of the model. Numerical simulation validates theoretical results and demonstrates the presence of rich dynamical behaviors include S‐asymptotically bounded periodic orbits, quasi‐periodicity, and chaos. The system exhibits a wide range of dynamical behaviors for fractional‐order α key parameter.     

Bifurcation analysis of HIV infection model with antibody and cytotoxic T‐lymphocyte immune responses and Beddington–DeAngelis functional response

In this paper, a mathematical model for HIV‐1 infection with antibody, cytotoxic T‐lymphocyte immune responses and Beddington–DeAngelis functional response is investigated. The stability of the infection‐free and infected steady states is investigated. The basic reproduction number R₀ is identified for the proposed system. If R₀ < 1, then there is an infection‐free steady state, which is locally asymptotically stable. Further, the infected steady state is locally asymptotically stable for R₀ > 1 in the absence of immune response delay. We use Nyquist criterion to estimate the length of the delay for which stability continues to hold. Also the existence of the Hopf bifurcation is investigated by using immune response delay as a bifurcation parameter. Numerical simulations are presented to justify the analytical results. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Bifurcation analysis of the HIV‐1 within host model

In this paper, a bifurcation solution's analysis is proposed for an HIV‐1 within the host model around its chronic equilibrium point, this is carried out based on Lyapunov–Schmidt approach. It is shown that the coefficient b, which represents the healthy CD4⁺ T‐cells growth rate, is a bifurcation parameter; this means that the rate of multiplication of healthy cells can have serious effects on the qualitative dynamical properties and structural stability of the infection evolution dynamics. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Singularity of Lotka‐Volterra models under unfoldings

In this paper, we classify the singularity of a Lotka‐Volterra competitive model with a Gaussian competition function and non‐Gaussian carrying capacity functions. These functions need not be completely different to affect adaptive dynamics of the model. For instance, it will be seen how ostensibly similar models can actually give rise to quite different behaviors due to their properties under unfolding. The use of Gaussian‐like carrying capacity functions can also show the sensitivity of the model to assumptions on the carrying capacity function's shapes. The classification is achieved using singularity theory of fitness functions under dimorphism equivalence. We also investigate the effect of the presence of unfolding and bifurcation parameters on the evolution of the system near its singular points. Particularly, we study the adaptive dynamics of the system near the singularity by focusing on ESS and CvSS types, and dimorphisms. Mutual invasibility plots are used to show regions of coexistence.     

The determinants of equity transmission between the new and used car markets: a hedonic analysis

Drawing on a data set containing 371082 observations on new and used cars from 2008, this study employs a hedonic model to estimate the determinants of prices in the primary and secondary car markets in Germany. We are specifically interested in identifying those vehicle attributes that are responsible for retaining the car’s value in the used car market. Beyond parameterizing the influence of technical features and brand name on the retail price, our model simultaneously generates a corresponding set of parameter estimates for the used car price, thereby allowing us to formally compare their magnitudes across the two markets. This comparison reveals that fuel consumption, in particular, is an important determinant of the price, one whose impact is higher in magnitude in the used car market than in the new car market. Large heterogeneity in how cars hold their investment value is also seen to depend on body type and brand/model name.     

Dynamical study of fractional order differential equations of predator‐pest models

To explore the impact of pest‐control strategy through a fractional derivative, we consider three predator‐prey systems by simple modification of Rosenzweig‐MacArthur model. First, we consider fractional‐order Rosenzweig‐MacArthur model. Allee threshold phenomena into pest population is considered for the second case. Finally, we consider additional food to the predator and harvesting in prey population. The main objective of the present investigation is to observe which model is most suitable for the pest control. To achieve this goal, we perform the local stability analysis of the equilibrium points and observe the basic dynamical properties of all the systems. We observe fractional‐order system has the ability to stabilize Rosenzweig‐MacArthur model with low pest density from oscillatory state. In the numerical simulations, we focus on the bistable regions of the second and third model, and we also observe the effect of the fractional order α throughout the stability region of the system. For the third model, we observe a saddle‐node bifurcation due to the additional food and Allee effect to the pest densities. Also, we numerically plot two parameter bifurcation diagram with respect to the harvesting parameter and fractional order of the system. We finally conclude that fractional‐order Rosenzweig‐MacArthur model and the modified Rosenzweig‐MacArthur model with additional food for the predator and harvested pest population are more suitable models for the pest management.     

Internal gravity–capillary solitary waves in finite depth

We consider a two‐dimensional inviscid irrotational flow in a two layer fluid under the effects of gravity and interfacial tension. The upper fluid is bounded above by a rigid lid, and the lower fluid is bounded below by a rigid bottom. We use a spatial dynamics approach and formulate the steady Euler equations as a Hamiltonian system, where we consider the unbounded horizontal coordinate x as a time‐like coordinate. The linearization of the Hamiltonian system is studied, and bifurcation curves in the (β,α)‐plane are obtained, where α and β are two parameters. The curves depend on two additional parameters ρ and h, where ρ is the ratio of the densities and h is the ratio of the fluid depths. However, the bifurcation diagram is found to be qualitatively the same as for surface waves. In particular, we find that a Hamiltonian‐Hopf bifurcation, Hamiltonian real 1:1 resonance, and a Hamiltonian 0²‐resonance occur for certain values of (β,α). Of particular interest are solitary wave solutions of the Euler equations. Such solutions correspond to homoclinic solutions of the Hamiltonian system. We investigate the parameter regimes where the Hamiltonian‐Hopf bifurcation and the Hamiltonian real 1:1 resonance occur. In both these cases, we perform a center manifold reduction of the Hamiltonian system and show that homoclinic solutions of the reduced system exist. In contrast to the case of surface waves, we find parameter values ρ and h for which the leading order nonlinear term in the reduced system vanishes. We make a detailed analysis of this phenomenon in the case of the real 1:1 resonance. We also briefly consider the Hamiltonian 0²‐resonance and recover the results found by Kirrmann. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Three‐dimensional internal gravity‐capillary waves in finite depth

We consider three‐dimensional inviscid‐irrotational flow in a two‐layer fluid under the effects of gravity and surface tension, where the upper fluid is bounded above by a rigid lid and the lower fluid is bounded below by a flat bottom. We use a spatial dynamics approach and formulate the steady Euler equations as an infinite‐dimensional Hamiltonian system, where an unbounded spatial direction x is considered as a time‐like coordinate. In addition, we consider wave motions that are periodic in another direction z. By analyzing the dispersion relation, we detect several bifurcation scenarios, two of which we study further: a type of 00(is)(iκ₀) resonance and a Hamiltonian Hopf bifurcation. The bifurcations are investigated by performing a center‐manifold reduction, which yields a finite‐dimensional Hamiltonian system. For this finite‐dimensional system, we establish the existence of periodic and homoclinic orbits, which correspond to, respectively, doubly periodic travelling waves and oblique travelling waves with a dark or bright solitary wave profile in the x direction. The former are obtained using a variational Lyapunov‐Schmidt reduction and the latter by first applying a normal form transformation and then studying the resulting canonical system of equations.     

Dynamics analysis of a quarantine model in two patches

A new deterministic model for assessing the impact of quarantine on the transmission dynamics of a communicable disease in a two‐patch community is designed. Rigorous analysis of the model shows that the imperfect nature of quarantine (in the two patches) could induce the phenomenon of backward bifurcation when the associated reproduction number of the model is less than unity. For the case when quarantined susceptible individuals do not acquire infection during quarantine, the disease‐free equilibrium of the model is shown to be globally asymptotically stable when the associated reproduction number is less than unity. Furthermore, the model has a unique Patch i‐only boundary equilibrium (i = 1,2) whenever the associated reproduction number for Patch i is greater than unity. The unique Patch i‐only boundary equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable whenever the invasion reproduction number of Patch 3 ? i is less than unity (and the associated reproduction number for Patch i exceeds unity). The model has at least one endemic equilibrium when its reproduction number exceeds unity (and the disease persists in both patches in this case). It is shown that adding multi‐patch dynamics to a single‐patch quarantine model (which allow the quarantine of susceptible individuals) in a single patch does not alter its quantitative dynamics (with respect to the existence and asymptotic stability of its associated equilibria as well as its backward bifurcation property). Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Invariance and homogenization of an adaptive time gap car-following model

In this paper we consider a microscopic model of traffic flow called the adaptive time gap car-following model. This is a system of ODEs which describes the interactions between cars moving on a single line. The time gap is the time that a car needs to reach the position of the car in front of it (if the car in front of it would not move and if the moving car would not change its velocity). In this model, both the velocity of the car and the time gap satisfy an ODE. We study this model and show that under certain assumptions, there is an invariant set for which the dynamics is defined for all times and for which we have a comparison principle. As a consequence, we show rigorously that after rescaling, this microscopic model converges to a macroscopic model that can be identified as the classical LWR model for traffic.     

Hopf Bifurcation Calculations in Delayed Systems with Translational Symmetry

The Hopf bifurcation of an equilibrium in dynamical systems consisting of n equations with a single time delay and translational symmetry is investigated. The Jacobian belonging to the equilibrium of the corresponding delay-differential equations always has a zero eigenvalue due to the translational symmetry. This eigenvalue does not depend on the system parameters, while other characteristic roots may satisfy the conditions of Hopf bifurcation. An algorithm for this Hopf bifurcation calculation (including the center-manifold reduction) is presented. The closed form results are demonstrated for a simple model of cars following each other along a ring.     

Supercritical Neimark‐Sacker bifurcation of a discrete‐time Nicholson‐Bailey model

We study the local dynamics and supercritical Neimark‐Sacker bifurcation of a discrete‐time Nicholson‐Bailey host‐parasitoid model in the interior of . It is proved that if α>1, then the model has a unique positive equilibrium point , which is locally asymptotically focus, unstable focus and nonhyperbolic under certain parametric condition. Furthermore, it is proved that the model undergoes a supercritical Neimark‐Sacker bifurcation in a small neighborhood of the unique positive equilibrium point , and meanwhile, the stable closed curve appears. From the viewpoint of biology, the stable closed curve corresponds to the period or quasiperiodic oscillations between host and parasitoid populations. Some numerical simulations are presented to verify theoretical results.     

Dynamics of a fishery system in a patchy environment with nonlinear harvesting

In this paper, a stock‐effort dynamical model with two fishing zones is discussed. The nonlinear harvesting function is assumed depending upon stock size as well as fishing effort. The migration of fish is considered between two zones. The harvesting vessels also move between zones to increase their revenue. The movements of fish and fishing vessels between zones are assumed to take place at a faster time scale as compared with processes involving growth and harvesting occurring at a slow time scale. The aggregated model is obtained for total fish stock and fishing effort. This aggregated (reduced) model is analyzed analytically as well as numerically. Biological and bionomic equilibria of the system are obtained, and criteria for local stability or instability of the system are derived. The impact of levels of taxation T on the fish population and on the revenue earned by the fishery is investigated. An optimal harvesting policy is also discussed using the Pontryagin's maximum principle. The aggregated model also exhibits Hopf and transcritical bifurcation with respect to the bifurcation parameter tax T. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the results.