Price fluctuations,information sharing,and supply chain performance

We consider a supply chain consisting of one supplier with finite production capacity and a retailer facing independent and identically distributed demands from end-customers. Existing research advocates that, in a decentralized setting, the retailer and the supplier using stationary order up to policies is efficient. We show that in the presence of information sharing, the supply chain performance can be improved by the supplier offering fluctuating prices. We study two specific settings: (1) the supplier only knows the parameters of the retailer’s inventory policy; and (2) the supplier knows the day-to-day inventory levels at the retailer as well. After establishing structure of optimal policies and developing efficient solution procedures, we perform an extensive computational study to determine the extent of the improvements realizable in the supply chain. We observed that for setting 1, an improvement was realized only when the end-customer demands were highly variable. Even then, the improvement in supply chain performance was less than 1%. Whereas, for setting 2, the improvement in supply chain performance averaged around 5.0% with a maximum of 16.3%.     

Modelling the benefits of information sharing-based partnerships in a two-level supply chain

This paper presents a study aimed at quantifying the benefits of information sharing-based supply chain partnerships. We derive the optimal inventory policies for the manufacturer and the retailer in a two-level decentralized supply chain under different information sharing scenarios. We show that increasing information sharing among the members in a decentralized supply chain will lead to Pareto improvement in the performance of the entire chain. Specifically, the manufacturer can obtain benefits in terms of reductions in inventory levels and cost savings.     

The impact of information sharing in a two-level supply chain with multiple retailers

Information sharing is an important component of cooperation in supply chain management. This paper presents a study to evaluate the impact of information sharing on inventory and expected cost in a two-level supply chain with multiple retailers. Three levels of information sharing are given and the optimal inventory policy under each level is derived. We show that both the inventory level and expected cost of the manufacturer decrease with an increase in the level of information sharing.     

Optimal production and rationing decisions in supply chains with information sharing

This paper considers a two-echelon capacitated supply chain with two non-identical retailers and information sharing. We characterize the optimal inventory policies. We also study the benefits of the optimal stock rationing policy over the first come first served (FCFS) and the modified echelon-stock rationing (MESR) policies.     

Optimal promotion planning—depth and frequency—for a two-stage supply chain under Markov switching demand

In considering the retailer–supplier supply chain, this paper analyzes how a retailer reasonably decides both the depth and frequency of the price discount promotion including or excluding a supplier’s inventory decision. Assuming that the promotion frequency used by the retailer is probabilistic, we model a promotion-inventory decision under an AR(1) demand with a Markov switching promotion regime. After obtaining the optimal promotion plan, our analysis also considers the behavior of the optimal promotion decision; the retailer’s price format selection, either an Every-Day-Low-Price policy (EDLP) or a Promotion policy (HiLo); and the impact of information sharing of promotion status on the system’s performance. Our results suggest that a retailer tends to overpromote if inventory cost is excluded in its promotion decision, that increasing the market share is a preferable action for both the retailer and the supplier, that total margin and price-elasticity play an important role in selecting the price format, and that the profitability for a supplier of sharing promotion information depends on the transition probabilities of the Markov switching regime.     

The impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain

This paper presents a study on the impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain with one capacitated supplier and multiple retailers. Using a computer simulation model, this study examines demand forecasting and inventory replenishment decisions by the retailers, and production decisions by the supplier under different demand patterns and capacity tightness. Analyses of the simulation output indicate that the selection of the forecasting model significantly influences the performance of the supply chain and the value of information sharing. Furthermore, demand patterns faced by retailers and capacity tightness faced by the supplier also significantly influence the value of information sharing. The result also shows that substantial cost savings can be realized through information sharing and thus help to motivate trading partners to share information in the supply chain. The findings can also help supply chain managers select suitable forecasting models to improve supply chain performance.     

Supply chain model for a deteriorating product with time-varying demand and production rate

The paper develops a two-echelon supply chain model with a single-buyer and a single-vendor. The buyer sells a seasonal product over a short selling period and its inventory is subject to deterioration at a constant rate over time. The vendor's production rate is dependent on the buyer's demand rate, which is a linear function of time. Also, the vendor's production process is not perfectly reliable; it may shift from an in-control state to an out-of-control state at any time during a production run and produce some defective (non-conforming) items. Assuming that the vendor follows a lot-for-lot policy for replenishment made to the buyer, the average total cost of the supply chain is derived and an algorithm for finding the optimal solution is developed. The numerical study shows that the supply chain coordination policy is more beneficial than those policies obtained separately from the buyer's and the vendor's perspectives.     

Production and availability policies through the Markov Decision Process and myopic methods for contractual and selective orders

In this paper, we consider a supply chain with one manufacturer, one retailer, and some online customers. In addition to supplying the retailer, manufacturers may selectively take orders from individuals online. Through the Markov Decision Process, we explore the optimal production and availability policy for a manufacturer to determine whether to produce one more unit of products and whether to indicate “in stock” or “out of stock” on website. We measure the benefits and influences of adding online customers with and without the retailer’s inventory information sharing. We also simulate the production and availability policy via a myopic method, which can be implemented easily in the real world. Prediction of simple switching functions for the production and availability is proposed. We find the information sharing, production capacity and unit profit from online orders are the primary factors influencing manufacturer profits and optimal policy. The manufacturer might reserve 50% production capacity for contractual orders from the retailer and devote the remaining capacity to selective orders from spontaneous online customers.     

Multi-period modeling of two-way price commitment under price-dependent demand

This paper examines the use of price-commitment policies in dynamic contracting in multiple-period, finite-time horizons. Two specific forms of price commitment are considered: one on the part of the retailer through a retail-fixed-markup contract and one on the part of the manufacturer through a price-protection contract. Optimal policies for each form of price commitment are analytically derived, as are optimal policies for the traditional price-only and centralized supply chain scenarios that we use as comparisons. We prove that optimal retail price and order size solutions exist in each period under the assumption of non-increasing price-dependent demand. We show that the existence of retailer inventory between periods causes the optimal policies to differ from a static single-period model. Further, we show that a supplier offers a price-protection policy as a signal to the retailer to resolve the gaming that naturally occurs under price-only; this effectively decouples the multi-period dynamic contracting setting into repeated single-period scenarios. However, the resulting behavior can actually inhibit supply chain performance. On the retail commitment side, we find that retail-fixed-markup policies are quite effective in improving supply chain efficiency. We show that such policies can lead to Pareto-improvement over price-only contracts and can even coordinate the supply chain in some situations.     

The effect of information sharing on supply chain stability and the bullwhip effect

This paper analyzes the bullwhip effect in multi-stage supply chains operated with linear and time-invariant inventory management policies and shared supply chain information. Such information includes past order sequences and inventory records at all supplier stages. The paper characterizes the stream of orders placed at any stage of the chain when the customer demand process is known and ergodic, and gives an exact formula for the variance of the orders placed. The paper also derives robust analytical conditions, based only on inventory management policies, to predict the presence of the bullwhip effect and bound its magnitude. These results hold independently of the customer demand. The general framework proposed in this paper allows for any inventory replenishment policies, any ways of sharing and utilizing information, and any customer demand processes. It is also shown as a special case that sharing customer demand information across the chain significantly reduces, but does not completely eliminate, the bullwhip effect.     

信息共享程度对我国服装供应链库存成本的影响

我国服装行业库存水平近年逐渐恶化,库存问题成为该行业发展的重要瓶颈。信息共享被认为是有效解决该问题的方法之一。然而目前国内文献对我国服装行业信息共享的定量研究较为缺乏;同时国内外对信息共享的普适研究也多集中于比较共享与不共享信息的影响,鲜有文章研究信息共享程度对供应链绩效的影响。本文通过建立信息共享量化模型分析以下三种情况对服装行业供应商库存水平及成本的影响:(1)共享需求统计信息,(2)共享实时需求信息,(3)共享需求及市场信息。本文研究表明,共享实时需求信息比共享需求统计信息能有效降低供应商库存水平及成本;而额外共享市场信息,能增加供应链柔性,提高其应对市场不确定性的能力。本文研究信息共享程度对服装行业供应链的影响,旨在降低我国服装供应链高库存水平,并为我国服装企业信息化及品牌建设提供管理启示。     

Analyzing the effect of the inventory policy on order and inventory variability with linear control theory

In this paper we apply linear control theory to study the effect of various inventory policies on order and inventory variability, which are key drivers of supply chain performance. In particular, we study a two-echelon supply chain with a stationary demand pattern under the influence of three inventory policies: an inventory-on-hand policy that bases orders on the visible inventory at an installation, an installation-stock policy that bases orders on the inventory position (on-hand plus on-order inventory) at an installation, and an echelon-stock policy that bases orders on the inventory position at that installation and all downstream installations. We prove analytically that the inventory-on-hand policy is unstable in practical settings, confirming analytically what has been observed in experimental settings and in practice. We also prove that the installation-stock and echelon-stock policies are stable and analyze their effect on order and inventory fluctuation. Specifically, we show the general superiority of the echelon-stock in our setting and demonstrate analytically the effect of forecasting parameters on order and inventory fluctuations, confirming the results in other research.     

Production control and replenishment strategy with multiple suppliers

This paper considers the joint supplier selection, replenishment and manufacturing control problem in a dynamic stochastic context. This problem is characterized by conflicting interests between suppliers, the manufacturer, and clients, which raise the need for coordination and information sharing. This paper contributes to the discourse mainly by developing and resolving an integrated mathematical model leading to information sharing strategies for supplier selection, replenishments and production activities. This is an optimal control problem with state constraints and hybrid dynamics. A dynamic stochastic model is thus proposed, and the optimality conditions obtained are then solved numerically. It is shown that the problem considered leads to a modified state-dependent multi-level (s, S) policy for the supplier selection and replenishment strategy and a base-stock policy for the production activities. The fact that these control policies are coupled confirms the necessity of considering the interactions present in the system in an integrated model. The obtained results show clearly that it is always profitable to consider multiple suppliers to make replenishment and production decisions. Moreover, it is shown that the availability rates of the supply chain actors and the replenishment lead time are important parameters to consider when choosing the best supplier.     

Controlling the bullwhip effect in a supply chain system with constrained information flows

The bullwhip effect problem is one of the most important issues in supply chain management. Limited information sharing increases the difficulty of reducing the bullwhip effect and leads to inefficient supply chain management. The purpose of this paper is to explore new ways to reduce the bullwhip effect in supply chain systems that face uncertainties with respect to information sharing. We first present a supply chain state transition model, based on which we explore the endogenous mechanism of bullwhip effect, especially those related to impacts from limited information sharing. Then we propose a novel inventory control method and study the corresponding control optimization problem, with the aim of reducing inventory volatility in supply chains. Both quantitative analysis and simulation study are conducted. Simulation results show the effectiveness and flexibility of our proposed method in reducing bullwhip effect and in improving supply chain performance, even under conditions of limited information sharing.     

Understanding the value of upstream inventory information sharing in supply chain networks

Global competition has caused a paradigm shift in a firm’s outlook from a product-centric to a customer-centric view. With this shift, the availability of inventory at a store is a prime concern for firms in a supply chain network (SCN) as it affects customer goodwill and market share. Information sharing among the SCN partners is a key strategy to address this issue. In this study, we focus on the impact of sharing upstream inventory information in a SCN on its overall performance. A two-echelon SCN configuration with one retail store and two production facilities was used as an experimental test bed. To assess the marginal benefits of sharing additional information, three levels of information sharing were considered along with the base case of no information sharing. The information shared ranged from stock-out information at the lowest level to inventory and backorder levels at the highest level. Continuous Time Markov Chain models of the SCN were developed and analyzed to gain insights into the value of inventory information sharing. Numerical experiments were conducted to show that inventory information can be an effective substitute for physical inventory and to assess the impact of backorder limits on the SCN performance.     

Optimal control of a dual service rate M/M/1 production-inventory model

We analyse a dual-source, production-inventory model in which the processing times at a primary manufacturing resource and a second, contingent resource are exponentially distributed. We interpret the contingent source to be a subcontractor, although it could also be overtime production. We treat the inventory and contingent sourcing policies as decision variables in an analytical study and, additionally, allow the primary manufacturing capacity to be a decision variable in a subsequent numerical study. Our goal is to gain insight into the use of subcontracting as a contingent source of goods and whether it can fulfill real-world managers' expectations for improved performance. We prove that a stationary, non-randomised inventory and subcontracting policy is optimal for our M/M/1 dual-source model and, moreover, that a dual base-stock policy is optimal. We then derive an exact closed-form expression for one of the optimal base stocks, which to our knowledge is the first closed-form solution for a dual-source model. We use that closed-form result to advantage in a numerical study from which we gain insight into how optimal capacity, subcontracting, and inventory policies are set, and how effectively a contingent source can reduce total cost, capacity cost, and inventory cost. We find that (i) the contingent source can reduce total cost effectively even when contingent sourcing is expensive and (ii) contingent sourcing reduces capacity cost more effectively than it does inventory cost.     

Coordination in a two-stage capacitated supply chain with multiple suppliers

The aim of this paper is to coordinate the inventory policies in a decentralized supply chain with stochastic demand by means of contracts. The system considered is a decentralized two-stage supply chain consisting of multiple independent suppliers and a manufacturer with limited production capacities. The suppliers operate on a make-to-stock basis and apply base stock policy to manage their inventories. On the other hand, the manufacturer employs a make-to-order strategy. Under the necessary assumptions, each supplier is modeled as an M/M/1 make-to-stock queue; and the manufacturer is modeled as a GI/M/1 queue after deriving an approximate distribution for the interarrival times of the manufacturer. Once the supply chain is modeled as a queuing system, centralized and decentralized models are developed. Comparison of the optimal solutions to these models reveals that the supply chain needs coordination. Three different transfer payment contracts are examined in this paper. These are the backorder and holding cost subsidy contracts, the transfer payment contract based on Pareto improvement, and the cost sharing contract. Each contract is evaluated according to its coordination ability and whether it is Pareto improving or not. The results indicate that all three contracts can coordinate the supply chain. However, when the Pareto improvement is taken into account, the cost sharing contract seems to be the one that will be preferred by all parties.     

Approximate analysis and optimization of batch ordering policies in capacitated supply chains

Devising manufacturing/distribution strategies for supply chains and determining their parameter values have been challenging problems. Linking production management to stock keeping processes improves the planning of the supply chain activities, including material management, culminating in improved customer service levels. In this study, we investigate a multi-echelon supply chain consisting of a supplier, a plant, a distribution center and a retailer. Material flow between stages is driven by reorder point/order quantity inventory control policies. We develop a model to analyze supply chain behavior using some key performance metrics such as the time averages of inventory and backorder levels, as well as customer service levels at each echelon. The model is validated against simulation, yielding good agreement of robust performance metrics. The metrics are then used within an optimization framework to design the supply chain so as to minimize expected total system costs. The outcome of the optimization framework specifies how to move inventory throughout the supply chain and how to set inventory control parameters, i.e., reorder levels and replenishment batch sizes.     

A Production Lot-Size Model for Perishable Items Under Two Level Trade Credit Policy for a Retailer with a Powerful Position in a Supply Chain System

This paper investigates a production lot-size inventory model for perishable items under two levels of trade credit for a retailer to reflect the supply chain management situation. We assume that the retailer maintains a powerful position and can obtain full trade credit offered by supplier yet retailer just offers the partial trade credit to customers. Under these conditions, retailer can obtain the most benefits. Then, we investigate the retailer’s inventory policy as a cost minimization problem to determine the retailer’s inventory policy. A rigorous mathematical analysis is used to prove that the annual total variable cost for the retailer is convex, that is, unique and global-optimal solution exists. Mathematical theorems are developed to efficiently determine the optimal ordering policies for the retailer. The results in this paper generalize some already published results. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the theorems and obtain a lot of managerial phenomena.     

收益共享合约对多因素同时扰动的协调应对研究

研究市场需求和生产成本同时扰动时非线性需求供应链的最优应对策略.首先在稳定条件下提出供应链的收益共享协调合约;生产成本和需求扰动会导致原有的收益共享合约不再协调,提出了供应链在一体化决策时应对双因素同时发生扰动的最优策略;进一步提出了改进的收益共享合约协调分散化决策的供应链系统.最后运用数值实验对模型进行了验证.