Effect of prey growth and predator cannibalism rate on the stability of a structured population model

The dynamics of a structured population model including cannibalism is analyzed. Hopf bifurcation threshold for the cannibalistic attack rate is detected. Linear and nonlinear stability analysis through the Lyapunov Direct Method is also provided. The effects of relevant parameters on the stability are discussed. In particular, cannibalism is found to have a stabilizing effect, whereas the prey growth effect is opposite. The result is emphasized by numerical simulations.     

A cannibalistic eco-epidemiological model with disease in predator population

In this present article, we propose and analyze a cannibalistic predator–prey model with disease in the predator population. We consider two important factors for the dynamics of predator population. The first one is governed through cannibalistic interaction, and the second one is governed through the disease in the predator population via cannibalism. The local stability analysis of the model system around the biologically feasible equilibria are investigated. We perform global dynamics of the model using Lyapunov functions. We analyze and compare the community structure of the system in terms of ecological and disease basic reproduction numbers. The existence of Hopf bifurcation around the interior steady state is investigated. We also derive the sufficient conditions for the permanence and impermanence of the system. The study reveals that the cannibalism acts as a self-regulatory mechanism and controls the disease transmission among the predators by stabilizing the predator–prey oscillations.     

Cannibalism may control disease in predator population: result drawn from a model based study

In the present study, we propose and analyze a predator–prey system with disease in the predator population. To understand the role of cannibalism, we modify the model considering predator population is of cannibalistic type. Local and global stability around the biologically feasible equilibria are studied. The conditions for the persistence of the system are worked out. We also analyze and compare the community structure of the model systems with the help of ecological and disease basic reproduction numbers. Finally, through numerical simulation, we observe that inclusion of cannibalism in predator population may control the disease transmission in the susceptible predator population. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the size of the alphabet and the subword complexity of square-free DOI languages

A word is called square-free if it does not contain a subword of the form αα where α is a nonempty word. A language is called square-free if it consists of square-free words only. The subword complexity of a language K, denoted π_K, is a function of positive integers which for a positive integer n assigns the number of different subwords of lenght n occurring in words of K. It is known that if a DOL language K is square-free then, for all n, π_K(n) ≤ r n log₂ for some positive integer r. We demonstrate that there exists a square-free DOL language K on four letters such that, for all n, π_K(n) ≥ r n log₂ for some positive real p. This turns out to be the best lower bound on the size of the alphabet needed for a square-free DOL language to have the number of subwords of order nlog_nn     

A note on synchronous egg laying in a seabird behaviour model

ABSTRACT

During years when sea surface temperature (SST) is high, gulls in a colony on Protection Island, Washington, USA typically experience low food availability. As SST rises, feeder fish follow plankton to cooler temperatures in deeper water levels. Since gulls are surface-feeding birds, they face a food shortage. A tactic male gulls employ to deal with this food shortage is to cannibalize their neighbours' eggs. Gulls in this colony exhibit an adaptive tactic of every-other-day egg-laying synchrony in response to egg cannibalism, and the level of synchrony increases with colony density. Here we analyze the dynamics of an animal behaviour model for egg laying as a function of colony density. As colony density increases, the equilibrium loses stability in a 2-cycle bifurcation. The 2-cycle becomes increasingly synchronous as the colony density continues to increase. We show that egg-laying synchrony benefits the colony in the presence of cannibalism.     

Dynamics Analysis of Cannibalistic Model With Density Dependence in Mature Stage北大核心CSCD

在考虑成熟阶段具有密度制约的基础上,建立了一类具有卵-成熟阶段的同类相食模型.该文从两个方面讨论了模型的动力学性态：当种群不存在同类相食时,构造Lyapunov函数证明平衡点的全局渐近稳定性;当种群存在同类相食时,利用中心流形定理证明同类相食使模型产生鞍结点分支,通过构造Dulac函数说明在二维自治系统中不存在极限环,得到了平衡点的全局稳定性.最后,利用数值模拟验证了所得相应结果的正确性.     

Comparative analysis of multiobjective evolutionary algorithms for random and correlated instances of multiobjective d-dimensional knapsack problems

This study analyzes multiobjective d-dimensional knapsack problems (MOd-KP) within a comparative analysis of three multiobjective evolutionary algorithms (MOEAs): the ε-nondominated sorted genetic algorithm II (ε-NSGAII), the strength Pareto evolutionary algorithm 2 (SPEA2) and the ε-nondominated hierarchical Bayesian optimization algorithm (ε-hBOA). This study contributes new insights into the challenges posed by correlated instances of the MOd-KP that better capture the decision interdependencies often present in real world applications. A statistical performance analysis of the algorithms uses the unary ε-indicator, the hypervolume indicator and success rate plots to demonstrate their relative effectiveness, efficiency, and reliability for the MOd-KP instances analyzed. Our results indicate that the ε-hBOA achieves superior performance relative to ε-NSGAII and SPEA2 with increasing number of objectives, number of decisions, and correlative linkages between the two. Performance of the ε-hBOA suggests that probabilistic model building evolutionary algorithms have significant promise for expanding the size and scope of challenging multiobjective problems that can be explored.     

Does movement toward better environments always benefit a population?

We study the effects of advection along environmental gradients on logistic reaction-diffusion models for population growth. The local population growth rate is assumed to be spatially inhomogeneous, and the advection is taken to be a multiple of the gradient of the local population growth rate. It is also assumed that the boundary acts as a reflecting barrier to the population. We show that the effects of such advection depend crucially on the shape of the habitat of the population: if the habitat is convex, the movement in the direction of the gradient of the growth rate is always beneficial to the population, while such advection could be harmful for certain non-convex habitats.     

Dynamic equilibria of group vaccination strategies in a heterogeneous population

In this paper we present an evolutionary variational inequality model of vaccination strategies games in a population with a known vaccine coverage profile over a certain time interval. The population is considered to be heterogeneous, namely its individuals are divided into a finite number of distinct population groups, where each group has different perceptions of vaccine and disease risks. Previous game theoretical analyses of vaccinating behaviour have studied the strategic interaction between individuals attempting to maximize their health states, in situations where an individual’s health state depends upon the vaccination decisions of others due to the presence of herd immunity. Here we extend such analyses by applying the theory of evolutionary variational inequalities (EVI) to a (one parameter) family of generalized vaccination games. An EVI is used to provide conditions for existence of solutions (generalized Nash equilibria) for the family of vaccination games, while a projected dynamical system is used to compute approximate solutions of the EVI problem. In particular we study a population model with two groups, where the size of one group is strictly larger than the size of the other group (a majority/minority population). The smaller group is considered much less vaccination inclined than the larger group. Under these hypotheses, considering that the vaccine coverage of the entire population is measured during a vaccine scare period, we find that our model reproduces a feature of real populations: the vaccine averse minority will react immediately to a vaccine scare by dropping their strategy to a nonvaccinator one; the vaccine inclined majority does not follow a nonvaccinator strategy during the scare, although vaccination in this group decreases as well. Moreover we find that there is a delay in the majority’s reaction to the scare. This is the first time EVI problems are used in the context of mathematical epidemiology. The results presented emphasize the important role played by social heterogeneity in vaccination behaviour, while also highlighting the valuable role that can be played by EVI in this area of research.      

Mathematical analysis of investment systems

Investment systems are studied using a framework that emphasize their profiles (the cumulative probability distribution on all the possible percentage gains of trades) and their log return functions (the expected average return per trade in logarithmic scale as a function of the investment size in terms of the percentage of the available capital). The efficiency index for an investment system, defined as the maximum of the log return function, is proposed as a measure to compare investment systems for their intrinsic merit. This efficiency index can be viewed as a generalization of Shannon's information rate for a communication channel. Applications are illustrated.     

Multivariate Gaussian Simulation Outside Arbitrary Ellipsoids

Methods for simulation from multivariate Gaussian distributions restricted to be from outside an arbitrary ellipsoidal region are often needed in applications. A standard rejection algorithm that draws a sample from a multivariate Gaussian distribution and accepts it if it is outside the ellipsoid is often employed; however, this is computationally inefficient if the probability of that ellipsoid under the multivariate normal distribution is substantial. We provide a two-stage rejection sampling scheme for drawing samples from such a truncated distribution. Experiments show that the added complexity of the two-stage approach results in the standard algorithm being more efficient for small ellipsoids (i.e., with small rejection probability). However, as the size of the ellipsoid increases, the efficiency of the two-stage approach relative to the standard algorithm increases indefinitely. The relative efficiency also increases as the number of dimensions increases, as the centers of the ellipsoid and the multivariate Gaussian distribution come closer, and as the shape of the ellipsoid becomes more spherical. We provide results of simulation experiments conducted to quantify the relative efficiency over a range of parameter settings.     

Modelling and stability analysis in human population genetics with selection and mutation

Population genetics is a scientific discipline that has extensively benefitted from mathematical modelling; since the Hardy‐Weinberg law (1908) to date, many mathematical models have been designed to describe the genotype frequencies evolution in a population. Existing models differ in adopted hypothesis on evolutionary forces (such as, for example, mutation, selection, and migration) acting in the population. Mathematical analysis of population genetics models help to understand if the genetic population admits an equilibrium, ie, genotype frequencies that will not change over time. Nevertheless, the existence of an equilibrium is only an aspect of a more complex issue concerning the conditions that would allow or prevent populations to reach the equilibrium. This latter matter, much more complex, has been only partially investigated in population genetics studies. We here propose a new mathematical model to analyse the genotype frequencies distribution in a population over time and under two major evolutionary forces, namely, mutation and selection; the model allows for both infinite and finite populations. In this paper, we present our model and we analyse its convergence properties to the equilibrium genotype frequency; we also derive conditions allowing convergence. Moreover, we show that our model is a generalisation of the Hardy‐Weinberg law and of subsequent models that allow for selection or mutation. Some examples of applications are reported at the end of the paper, and the code that simulates our model is available online at https://www.ding.unisannio.it/persone/docenti/del-vecchio for free use and testing.     

中国生态能源效率时空格局演化及影响因素分析

基于中国2006~2017年的年度统计数据,运用PP与SFA组合模型,构建中国生态能源效率的静态评价模型,对中国30个省、市、自治区的生态能源效率及其影响因素进行分析,运用空间收敛方法和速度激励模型系统的分析了中国生态能源效率的时空格局演化。结果表明:城市化水平、经济开放程度、人口规模和R&D投入等与生态能源效率存在正相关关系;中国的生态能源效率空间格局具有空间分布聚集特征,但空间分布不均衡现象明显;中国的生态能源效率时间格局具有复杂波动的特点,总体趋势是先下降后再上升。     

Exponential growth of large self-reproducing machine systems

We address quantitatively the major issues involved in the design of self-reproducing machine systems that are capable of both rapid growth to a very large scale and the accomplishment of correspondingly large tasks. A minimal system that satisfies the growth requirement would consist of a large solar cell array and a colony of diverse and specialized machines. With solar energy, raw dirt, and air as its input, the collective purpose of the colony is to expand the solar cell array and build more machines largely without the aid of man. Once the desired size is attained, the entire production capacity of the system may be diverted to useful applications such as large scale energy collection, control of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and fresh water production. We consider the issues of resource availability, the suitability of current automation technology, and the required investment in land area. In the discussion of resources, we propose a high-temperature, metallurgical process for separating useful elements from raw dirt without the use of rare elements. Automation technology is judged by a formal productivity requirement in the production chain of each machine type, which must be satisfied to achieve a given overall growth rate. We estimate the time scale for exponential growth to be on the order of months, so that such a system could reach continental size in less than a decade. An area of 10⁶ km² is enough to provide the key elements of a sustainable world economy. At ten percent efficiency, a solar cell array of this size can collect energy at three times the rate of today's global energy consumption.     

An optimal investment and consumption model with stochastic returns

We consider a financial market consisting of a risky asset and a riskless one, with a constant or random investment horizon. The interest rate from the riskless asset is constant, but the relative return rate from the risky asset is stochastic with an unknown parameter in its distribution. Following the Bayesian approach, the optimal investment and consumption problem is formulated as a Markov decision process. We incorporate the concept of risk aversion into the model and characterize the optimal strategies for both the power and logarithmic utility functions with a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA). Numerical examples are provided that support the intuition that a higher proportion of investment should be allocated to the risky asset if the mean return rate on the risky asset is higher or the risky asset return rate is less volatile. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Human resources scheduling to improve the product quality according to exhaustion limit

The role of human resources in manufacturing systems is very significant, and without efficient human resources we encounter high-price products with low quality. To improve the efficiency of human resources, we need to provide an optimal working schedule for each worker in production period. In this paper, we proposed a mixed-integer nonlinear model to find the best working schedule based on product quality cost and workers reliability. In this model, if the worker’s exhaustion level reaches a specific limit, the worker can rest to increase his reliability level and an accommodator should work instead of him. Since the proposed model is NP-hard, we used an artificial immune system to provide the best working schedule. The results indicate that this model can provide efficient and effective human resources schedule in manufacturing systems.     

OPTIMAL HARVESTING TIME OF FARMED AQUATIC POPULATIONS WITH NONLINEAR SIZE‐HETEROGENEOUS GROWTH

Abstract This paper examines the question of optimal harvesting time in a size‐heterogeneous farmed aquatic population, using a model reflecting the effect of population density on both overall mortality rate and individual growth. This analysis enables an optimal harvesting rule to be deduced. The results obtained are applied to shrimp culture in recirculation systems in Mexico. Numerical solutions are derived for different production scenarios. Assuming identical culture conditions, results are also obtained under the hypothesis of homogeneous population growth, the view traditionally taken in the relevant economic literature. The optimal harvesting times calculated tend to decrease with higher densities, although this rule fails under the size‐heterogeneous population model. In general, optimal harvesting times are overestimated when size‐homogeneity in the culture is assumed. Our analysis reveals that management predictions are significantly mistaken if the size‐heterogeneity phenomenon is not taken into account.     

一种改进的蚁群算法及其在TSP中的应用

蚁群算法是一种求解复杂组合优化问题的新的拟生态算法,也是一种基于种群的启发式仿生进化算法,属于随机搜索算法的一种,并用于较好地解决TSP问题.然而此算法也有它自己的缺陷,如易于陷入局部优化、搜索时间长等.通过对基本蚁群算法的介绍及相关因素的分析,提出了一种改进的蚁群算法,用于解决TSPLAB问题的10个问题,并与参考文献中的F-W、NCSOM、ASOM算法进行比较,计算机仿真结果表明了改进算法的有效性.如利用改进的蚁群算法解决lin105问题,其最优解为14382.995933(已知最优解为14379),相对误差是0.0209%,计算出的最小值几乎接近于已知最优解.     

Technological change,population dynamics,and natural resource depletion

In this paper, we integrate fertility and educational choices into a scale-invariant model of directed technological change with non-renewable natural resources, in order to reveal the interaction between population dynamics, technological change, and natural resource depletion. In line with empirical regularities, skill-biased technological change induces a decline in population growth and a transitory increase in the depletion rate of natural resources. In the long-run, the depletion rate also declines in the skill intensity. A decline in population growth is harmful for long-run productivity growth, if R&D is subject to diminishing technological opportunities. The effectiveness of economic policies aimed at sustained economic growth thus hinges on its impact on long-run population growth given the sign of intertemporal spillovers in R&D with respect to existing technological knowledge. We demonstrate that an increase in relative research productivities or an education subsidy enhances long-run growth, if R&D is subject to diminishing technological opportunities, while an increase in the teacher–student ratio is preferable in terms of positive intertemporal knowledge spillovers.     

Timing and eco(nomic) efficiency of climate-friendly investments in supply chains

Emission trading schemes such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EUETS) attempt to reconcile economic efficiency with ecological efficiency by creating financial incentives for companies to invest in climate-friendly innovations. Using real options methodology, we demonstrate that under uncertainty, economic and ecological efficiency continue to be mutually exclusive. This problem is even worse if a climate-friendly project depends on investing in of a whole supply chain. We model a sequential bargaining game in a supply chain where the parties negotiate over implementation of a carbon dioxide (CO₂) saving investment project. We show that the outcome of their bargaining is not economically efficient and even less ecologically efficient. Furthermore, we show that a supply chain becomes less economically efficient and less ecologically efficient with every additional chain link. Finally, we make recommendations for how managers or politicians can improve the situation and thereby increase economic as well as ecological efficiency and thus also the eco-efficiency of supply chains.