不完美排序集抽样的符号检验

实际应用排序集抽样时,主观排序总是会出现误差。本文考虑了不完美排序对最优抽样下分位数符号检验的影响,并且给出不同分位数的误差函数图像,以便具体应用时参考。     

Logistic响应分布分位数的鞍点近似置信区间

论文基于响应数据，应用鞍点近似方法，给出构造Logistic响应分布分位数的近似置信区间的方法. 论文还对这种置信区间进行了模拟，并将该方法应用于QD8电雷管. 模拟和实例结果表明，当样本量较小时，该方法能够较好地推断Logistic响应分布的分位数     

Improved confidence intervals for quantiles

We derive the Edgeworth expansion for the studentized version of the kernel quantile estimator. Inverting the expansion allows us to get very accurate confidence intervals for the pth quantile under general conditions. The results are applicable in practice to improve inference for quantiles when sample sizes are moderate.     

Confidence Intervals for Quantiles and Tolerance Intervals Based on Ordered Ranked Set Samples

Confidence intervals for quantiles and tolerance intervals based on ordered ranked set samples (ORSS) are discussed in this paper. For this purpose, we first derive the cdf of ORSS and the joint pdf of any two ORSS. In addition, we obtain the pdf and cdf of the difference of two ORSS, viz. , 1 ≤ r < s ≤ N. Then, confidence intervals for quantiles based on ORSS are derived and their properties are discussed. We compare with approximate confidence intervals for quantiles given by Chen (Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 83, 125–135; 2000), and show that these approximate confidence intervals are not very accurate. However, when the number of cycles in the RSS increases, these approximate confidence intervals become accurate even for small sample sizes. We also compare with intervals based on usual order statistics and find that the confidence interval based on ORSS becomes considerably narrower than the one based on usual order statistics when n becomes large. By using the cdf of, we then obtain tolerance intervals, discuss their properties, and present some tables for two-sided tolerance intervals.     

左删失右截断数据的分位数的固定宽度序贯置信区间估计

基于左截断右删失数据下的乘积限估计构造了分位数固定宽度序贯置信区间及其估计，研究了序贯置信区间估计的渐近性质。作为副产品，获得了分位数估计近邻点的Bahadur表示定理。这个表示定理是推导分位数固定宽度序贯置信区间估计渐近性质的重要基础。同时，在文中，进行了一些计算机模拟试验，证明了左截断右删失数据下分位数估计的序贯方法是效的和精确的。     

符号检验的最优排序集抽样(英文)

提出检验总体分位数的基于排序集抽样的符号检验,分析了不同挑选抽样相对于均衡抽样的Pitman渐近效率.针对不同分位数,具体给出使符号统计量的效率达到最大的抽样设计,并且证明了最优抽样不依赖于总体分布.     

Confidence Intervals and Accuracy Estimation for Heavy-Tailed Generalized Pareto Distributions

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a two-parameter family of distributions which can be used to model exceedances over a threshold. We compare the empirical coverage of some standard bootstrap and likelihood-based confidence intervals for the parameters and upper p-quantiles of the GPD. Simulation results indicate that none of the bootstrap methods give satisfactory intervals for small sample sizes. By applying a general method of D. N. Lawley, correction factors for likelihood ratio statistics of parameters and quantiles of the GPD have been calculated. Simulations show that for small sample sizes accuracy of confidence intervals can be improved by incorporating the computed correction factors to the likelihood-based confidence intervals. While the modified likelihood method has better empirical coverage probability, the mean length of produced intervals are not longer than corresponding bootstrap confidence intervals. This article also investigates the performance of some bootstrap methods for estimation of accuracy measures of maximum likelihood estimators of parameters and quantiles of the GPD.     

On the validity of the batch quantile method for Markov chains

We discuss the asymptotic validity of confidence intervals for quantiles of performance variables when simulating a Markov chain. We show that a batch quantile methodology (similar to the batch means method) can be applied to obtain confidence intervals that are asymptotically valid under mild assumptions.     

基于动态因子结构的贝叶斯分位面板协整研究

针对传统面板协整检验在建模过程中易受异常值影响以及其原假设设置的主观选择问题,本文利用动态公共因子刻画面板数据潜在的截面相关结构,提出基于动态因子的截面相关结构的贝叶斯分位面板协整检验,结合各个主要分位数水平下参数的条件后验分布,设计结合卡尔曼滤波的Gibbs抽样算法,进行贝叶斯分位面板协整检验;并进行Monte Carlo仿真实验验证贝叶斯分位面板协整检验的可行性与有效性。同时,采用中国各省金融发展和经济增长的面板数据进行实证研究,结果发现在各主要分位数水平下中国金融发展和经济增长之间具有协整关系。研究结果表明:贝叶斯分位面板协整检验方法避免了传统面板数据协整方法由于原假设设置不同而发生误判的问题,克服了异常值的影响,能够提供全面准确的模型参数估计和协整检验结果。     

分数填补下两总体分位数差异的经验似然置信区间

设有两个非参数总体,其样本数据不完全,用分数填补法补足缺失数据,得到两总体的"完全"样本数据,在此基础上构造两总体分位数差异的经验似然置信区间.模拟结果显示,分数填补法可以得到更加精确的置信区间.     

Confidence intervals for quantile estimation using Jackknife techniques

We consider the inference on quantiles, Q _y (β), with jackknife techniques, in finite populations of a variable, Y, using the quantile information on an auxiliary variable, X. Jackknife techniques are applied to estimate quantiles and the behaviour of these estimators is analyzed. Their properties are studied for simple random sampling. We also examine the confidence intervals obtained with jackknife variances.     

一种基于虚拟决策单元的排序方法的完善和扩展

本文对文[1]中提出的基于虚拟决策单元的排序方法进行了完善和扩展。首先,根据CCR模型,给出了两类特殊的DEA模型,分别是仅有投入数据的DEA模型和仅有产出数据的DEA模型;其次,基于这两个模型,应用上述方法实现了对仅有投入(或产出)数据的决策单元的排序;第三,给出了排序方法中参数a的计算方法;最后,通过修正排序模型,有效提高了排序方法的计算精度。改进后的排序方法避免了两个决策单元因为相对效率值过小而不能排序的情形,其应用范围也进一步扩大。     

Order restricted randomized designs for control versus treatment comparison

We develop a method of randomizing units to treatments that relies on subjective judgement or on possible coarse modeling to produce restrictions on the randomization. The procedure thus fits within the general framework of ranked set sampling. However, instead of selecting a single unit from each set for full measurement, all units within a set are used. The units within a set are assigned to different treatments. Such an assignment translates the positive dependence among units within a set into a reduction in variation of contrasting features of the treatments. A test for treatment versus control comparison, with controlled familywise error rate, is developed along with the associated confidence intervals. The new procedure is shown to be superior to corresponding procedures based on completely randomized or ranked set sample designs. The superiority appears both in asymptotic relative efficiency and in power for finite sample sizes. Importantly, this test does not rely on perfect rankings; rather, the information in the data on the quality of rankings is exploited to maintain the level of the test when rankings are imperfect. The asymptotic relative efficiency of the test is not affected by estimation of the quality of rankings, and the finite sample performance is only mildly affected.     

Modified Maximum Likelihood Estimators Based on Ranked Set Samples

The maximum livelihood estimator (MLE) using a ranked set sample (RSS) usually has no closed expression because the maximum likelihood equation involves both hazard and inverse hazard functions, and may no longer be efficient when the judgment ranking is imperfect. In this paper, we consider a modified MLE (MMLE) using RSS for general parameters, which has the same expression as the MLE using a simple random sample (SRS), except that the SRS in the MLE is replaced by the RSS. The results show that, for the location parameter, the MMLE is always more efficient than the MLE using SRS, and for the scale parameter, the MMLE is at least as efficient as the MLE using SRS, when the same sample size is used. Under the perfect judgment ranking, numerical examples also show that the MMLE has good efficiency relative to the MLE based on RSS. When the judgment error is present, we conduct simulations to show that the MMLE is more robust than the MLE using RSS.     

Testing equality between several populations covariance operators

In many situations, when dealing with several populations, equality of the covariance operators is assumed. An important issue is to study whether this assumption holds before making other inferences. In this paper, we develop a test for comparing covariance operators of several functional data samples. The proposed test is based on the Hilbert–Schmidt norm of the difference between estimated covariance operators. In particular, when dealing with two populations, the test statistic is just the squared norm of the difference between the two covariance operators estimators. The asymptotic behaviour of the test statistic under both the null hypothesis and local alternatives is obtained. The computation of the quantiles of the null asymptotic distribution is not feasible in practice. To overcome this problem, a bootstrap procedure is considered. The performance of the test statistic for small sample sizes is illustrated through a Monte Carlo study and on a real data set.     

Empirical likelihood method for intermediate quantiles

Intermediate quantiles play an important role in the statistics of extremes with particular applications in risk management. For interval estimation of quantiles, Chen and Hall (1993) proposed the so-called smoothed empirical likelihood method. In this paper, we apply the method in Chen and Hall (1993) to construct confidence intervals for an intermediate quantile by deriving the corresponding Wilks Theorem.     

删失分位数回归模型基于扩展兴趣信息准则的平均估计

本文结合分位数回归技术,基于删失回归模型,把Claeskens和Hjort的传统兴趣信息准侧(focused information criterion,FIC)扩展到兴趣向量的情形,提出扩展的兴趣信息准则(extended focused information criterion,E-FIC),有效解决了同时针对多个兴趣参数的平均估计问题,并且对删失响应变量的不同水平分位数进行建模,以全面反映响应变量分布特征,有效克服异常值和厚尾模型误差的影响.基于扩展的兴趣信息准则给出参数的平均估计方法,证明估计的渐近性质.通过Monte Carlo随机模拟试验比较所提估计方法和最小二乘方法在有限样本量下的表现,用所提方法对原发性胆汁性肝硬化数据集进行数据分析.     

Optimal plan for Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model

This paper explores inferential procedures for the Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model under degradation mechanism invariance. The exact confidence intervals are obtained for the parameters of the proposed accelerated degradation model. The generalized confidence intervals are also proposed for the reliability function and pth quantile of the lifetime at the normal operating stress level. In addition, the prediction intervals are developed for the degradation characteristic, lifetime and remaining useful life of the product at the normal operating stress level. The performance of the proposed generalized confidence intervals and the prediction intervals is assessed by the Monte Carlo simulation. Furthermore, a new optimum criterion is proposed based on minimizing the mean of the upper prediction limit for the degradation characteristic at the design stress level. The exact optimum plan is also derived for the Wiener accelerated degradation model according to the proposed optimal criterion. The proposed interval procedures and optimum plan are the free of the equal testing interval assumption. Finally, two examples are provided to illustrate the proposed interval procedures and exact optimum plan. Specifically, based on the degradation data of LEDs, some interval estimates of quantities related to reliability indicators are obtained. For the degradation data of carbon-film resistors, the optimal allocation of test units is derived in terms of the proposed optimal criterion.     

Kernel quantile estimator with ICI adaptive bandwidth selection technique

In this article, we consider a class of kernel quantile estimators which is the linear combi- nation of order statistics. This class of kernel quantile estimators can be regarded as an extension of some existing estimators. The exact mean square error expression for this class of estimators will be provided when data are uniformly distributed. The implementation of these estimators depends mostly on the bandwidth selection. We then develop an adaptive method for bandwidth selection based on the intersection confidence intervals （ICI） principle. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate that our proposed approach is comparatively remarkable. We illustrate our method with a real data set.     

Sign tests using ranked set sampling with unequal set sizes

This paper considers sign test under ranked set sampling with unequal set sizes (RSSU), and proposes weighted sign tests associated with judgment ranks. The optimal weight vector is shown to be distribution-free, and RSSU is shown to be more efficient than ranked set sampling.