决策支持系统中模型管理系统的一种设计和实现方法

本提出了一种基于外模式、逻辑结构和方法库的三级DSS模型系统结构。在此基础上设计了一个具有模型、数据管理功能，友善用户接口界面，能对不同用户提供支持的决策支持系统。     

基于多Agent的宏观经济智能预测决策支持系统研究

在分析智能决策支持系统的发展基础上，将人工智能思想，特别是Agent应用于构建智能宏观经济预测决策支持系统。提出面向任务的Agent设计思想，以任务为核心设计多种类型Agent共同完成预测决策任务，给出基于多Agent的系统组成结构，并给出系统中不同类型Agent的具体实现结构，同时探讨了整个系统的运行机制以及系统中多Agent之间的合作。整个系统的构建过程也是面向Agent的程序设计的过程。     

高校图书馆书刊采访决策支持系统

在指出高校图书馆书刊采访科学决策重要性的基础上,分析影响书刊采访决策的基本因素,提出一种科学的书刊采访决策模式.建立了图书供应商选择、采购经费分配、书刊选购决策的数学模型,进而给出书刊采访决策支持系统的设计方案.该系统的应用可提高图书采访质量.     

Multi-Decision-Makers Equalizer: A Multiobjective Decision Support System for Multiple Decision-Makers

In this paper we present a decision support system that helps to solve multiobjective decision problems considering a multi decision-makers framework. By an iterative procedure this system looks for a single solution that satisfies all decision-makers equally. The negotiation process requires that each decision-maker trade certain benefits in some of the objectives being analyzed for benefits in others. Finally a compromise solution should be obtained.     

Allocating modelling resources in distributed model management systems

Due to the growing popularity of distributed computing systems and the increased level of modelling activity in most organizations, significant benefits can be realized through the implementation of distributed model management systems (DMMS). These systems can be defined as a collection of logically related modelling resources distributed over a computer network. In several ways, functions of DMMS are isomorphic to those of distributed database systems. In general, this paper examines issues viewed as central to the development of distributed model bases (DMB). Several criteria relevant to the overall DMB design problem are discussed. Specifically, this paper focuses on the problem of distributing decision models and tools (solvers), henceforth referred to as theModel Allocation Problem (MAP), to individual computing sites in a geographically dispersed organization. In this research, a 0/1 integer programming model is formulated for the MAP, and an efficient dual ascent heuristic is proposed. Our extensive computational study shows in most instances heuristic-generated solutions which are guaranteed to be within 1.5–7% of optimality. Further, even problems with 420 integer and 160,000 continuous variables took no more than 60 seconds on an IBM 3090-600E computer.     

集团化公路客运企业经营管理决策支持系统的研究

本文在分析集团化公路客运企业的经营管理问题的基础上 ,建立了关于其经营管理问题的决策支持系统 GHPTEDSS.本文重点介绍了 GHPTEDSS的软件系统 ,其中包括 GHPTEDSS的数据库、模型库、会话系统、综合评价与决策系统以及利用 GHPTEDSS的应用实例 .     

A flexible framework for Group Decision Support: WINGDSS version 3.0

A flexible framework for Group Decision Support on PCs in Microsoft Windows environment is presented. WINGDSS does not replace human judgment but highly supports the entire process of decision making, from problem structuring to post-decision analysis. The latest version of WINGDSS is a modular, open system with a dynamical connection to relational databases, an interpreter for defining problem specific evaluation procedures, a lot of interactive features from setting up the tree of criteria until the sensitivity analysis on individual/group ranking. By providing tools for recursively redefining the decision problem, WINGDSS helps the decision makers in achieving a result satisfactory to the whole group.Research supported in part by the Hungarian Foundation for Scientific Research, Grant No. 2568 and by the Hungarian National Committee for Technical Research and Development, Grant No. 93-97-67-0553.     

On the application of a transportation model for revenue optimization in waste management: a case study

This paper describes an interactive decision support system called Opti-Link which has been developed for a company operating in the area of waste and raw material management. Built around a specific transportation problem, the system is used to maximize the revenue generated by selling waste paper to paper mills. Furthermore, the dual variables of the linear program allow the planner to identify upper bounds for setting bid prices to buy waste paper from waste collection companies. First operational results indicate a significant increase in profit while at the same time the duration of the planning process could be cut by more than half.     

ARMMS: Analogical reasoning model management system for multicriteria vehicle scheduling

The transportation industry problem of scheduling vehicles combines the spatial characteristics of routing with time domain considerations of activity schedules. The problem is complex because of the numerous interacting constraints in the spatial and time domains. Further, some of the constraints are flexible and some arise in real-time. The scheduling problem is often presented with multiple objectives that are not all economic in nature and which can be contradictory to one another. In response to these needs, this paper describes an analogical reasoning model management system, called ARMMS, designed in the domain of vehicle scheduling. ARMMS consists of knowledge bases and data bases, a truth maintenance system, a user interface, an inference engine, a learning mechanism, and a model library. Given a scheduling problem, ARMMS searches its memory for solutions. If no solution is available, ARMMS falls back on an analogical problem solving approach in which similar experience can be recalled, and solutions to new, but similar, problems can be constructed. If no similar experience exists, ARMMS intelligently selects an appropriate algorithmic model from its model library, based on the input parameters and problem type, to solve the given problem. By combining experts' knowledge, analogical problem-solving approaches, and algorithmic methods, ARMMS provides an efficient problem-solving approach for vehicle scheduling and routing. ARMMS is also a feasible base for the development of intelligent model management systems.     

生产计划与调度决策支持系统的研究

章对生产计划与调度决策支持系统进行了研究,设计了基于知识库和模型库的具有定量因子和定性因子的生产计划与调度基本模型,该模型可对半结构化决策问题,提供决策支持。     

建模支持系统中模型类的管理与组织

面向对象技术具有封装性,抽象性,继承性及多态性,用这种方法表示模型可支持模型的共享与重用,尤其是支持渐近式构模,文章提出用面向对象方法表示模型,将管理科学的各种模型定义成模型类,实现模型与方法的封装,借助于模型装配语言（MAL）定义复合模型类,解决因模型部件,方法部件和数据部件的分离带来的特性不匹配。     

A simulation model for emergency evacuation

This paper describes the development of a prototype spatial decision support system for use by emergency planners in developing contingency plans for evacuations from disaster areas. It links together a geographical information system (ARC/INFO) with a specially written object-oriented micro-simulator via a windowing computer operating system. The details of the system are described, its limitations are discussed and potential enhancements are identified.     

A list-based compact representation for large decision tables management

Due to the huge size of the tables we manage when dealing with real decision-making problems under uncertainty, we propose turning them into minimum storage space multidimensional matrices. The process involves searching for the best order of the matrix dimensions, which is a NP-hard problem. Moreover, during the search, the computation of the new storage space that each order requires and copying the table with respect to the new order may be too time consuming or even intractable if we want a process to work in a reasonable time on an ordinary PC. In this paper, we provide efficient heuristics to solve all these problems. The optimal table includes the same knowledge as the original table, but it is compacted, which is very valuable for knowledge retrieval, learning and expert reasoning explanation purposes.     

A formal analysis of the model management literature

This paper presents an extensive bibliography of the archival material on model management, and an analysis of that material. It argues that the three general approaches to model management can be observed, called here the data-model analogy, knowledge-based and model-representation approaches. For the period 1970 to 1989, 57 journals were exhaustively searched for articles dealing with model management; 152 articles were identified. An informal analysis shows that model creation and execution have been the major model management functions addressed by research, and that mathematical programming and simulation have been the dominant model areas. Applications have addressed the extremes of Operations Research models, namely policy and strategy at one extreme and operations at the other, with many applications in accounting and finance also prevalent. A formal analysis using factor analysis shows that research in model management has moved away from speculation and focus on certain limited aspects of the subject towards the practical implementation of model management systems. Further, a regression model shows that the model-representation approach has tended to yield implemented systems, whereas the data-model analogy approach has not. Directions for future research and development are suggested.     

A web-based decision support system for waste lube oils collection and recycling

This paper presents a web-based decision support system (DSS) that enables schedulers to tackle reverse supply chain management problems interactively. The focus is on the efficient and effective management of waste lube oils collection and recycling operations. The emphasis is given on the systemic dimensions and modular architecture of the proposed DSS. The latter incorporates intra- and inter-city vehicle routing with real-life operational constraints using shortest path and sophisticated hybrid metaheuristic algorithms. It is also integrated with an Enterprise Resource Planning system allowing the utilization of particular functional modules and the combination with other peripheral planning tools. Furthermore, the proposed DSS provides a framework for on-line monitoring and reporting to all stages of the waste collection processes. The system is developed using a web architecture that enables sharing of information and algorithms among multiple sites, along with wireless telecommunication facilities. The application to an industrial environment showed improved productivity and competitiveness, indicating its applicability on realistic reverse logistical planning problems.     

应急决策知识发现的推理方法研究

在复杂多变的应急决策环境中,如何根据已有的决策背景知识和当前发生的应急问题,进行有效的知识推理是在应急处置过程中实现知识发现的重要途径。本文基于范畴论和定型范畴论,提出了一种从联想和推演两个角度实现的知识推理方法。这种方法是通过类推定型函子(Functor)和推出(Pushout)来实现的,它将推理形式转变成一种范畴化知识结构上的计算过程。该方法能够通过有效的知识推理,从已知的决策背景知识中获得新知识,以辅助决策者进行有效的决策。     

A risk management system for sustainable fleet replacement

This article analyzes the fleet management problem faced by a firm when deciding which vehicles to add to its fleet. Such a decision depends not only on the expected mileage and tasks to be assigned to the vehicle but also on the evolution of fuel and CO₂ emission prices and on fuel efficiency. This article contributes to the literature on fleet replacement and sustainable operations by proposing a general decision support system for the fleet replacement problem using stochastic programming and conditional value at risk (CVaR) to account for uncertainty in the decision process. The article analyzes how the CVaR associated with different types of vehicle is affected by the parameters in the model by reporting on the results of a real-world case study.