”Illusion of control” in Time-Horizon Minority and Parrondo Games

Human beings like to believe they are in control of their destiny. This ubiquitous trait seems to increase motivation and persistence, and is probably evolutionarily adaptive [J.D. Taylor, S.E. Brown, Psych. Bull. 103, 193 (1988); A. Bandura, Self-efficacy: the exercise of control (WH Freeman, New York, 1997)]. But how good really is our ability to control? How successful is our track record in these areas? There is little understanding of when and under what circumstances we may over-estimate [E. Langer, J. Pers. Soc. Psych. 7, 185 (1975)] or even lose our ability to control and optimize outcomes, especially when they are the result of aggregations of individual optimization processes. Here, we demonstrate analytically using the theory of Markov Chains and by numerical simulations in two classes of games, the Time-Horizon Minority Game [M.L. Hart, P. Jefferies, N.F. Johnson, Phys. A 311, 275 (2002)] and the Parrondo Game [J.M.R. Parrondo, G.P. Harmer, D. Abbott, Phys. Rev. Lett. 85, 5226 (2000); J.M.R. Parrondo, How to cheat a bad mathematician (ISI, Italy, 1996)], that agents who optimize their strategy based on past information may actually perform worse than non-optimizing agents. In other words, low-entropy (more informative) strategies under-perform high-entropy (or random) strategies. This provides a precise definition of the “illusion of control” in certain set-ups a priori defined to emphasize the importance of optimization. An erratum to this article is available at .     

Randomly chosen chaotic maps can give rise to nearly ordered behavior

Parrondo’s paradox [J.M.R. Parrondo, G.P. Harmer, D. Abbott, New paradoxical games based on Brownian ratchets, Phys. Rev. Lett. 85 (2000), 5226–5229] (see also [O.E. Percus, J.K. Percus, Can two wrongs make a right? Coin-tossing games and Parrondo’s paradox, Math. Intelligencer 24 (3) (2002) 68–72]) states that two losing gambling games when combined one after the other (either deterministically or randomly) can result in a winning game: that is, a losing game followed by a losing game = a winning game. Inspired by this paradox, a recent study [J. Almeida, D. Peralta-Salas, M. Romera, Can two chaotic systems give rise to order? Physica D 200 (2005) 124–132] asked an analogous question in discrete time dynamical system: can two chaotic systems give rise to order, namely can they be combined into another dynamical system which does not behave chaotically? Numerical evidence is provided in [J. Almeida, D. Peralta-Salas, M. Romera, Can two chaotic systems give rise to order? Physica D 200 (2005) 124–132] that two chaotic quadratic maps, when composed with each other, create a new dynamical system which has a stable period orbit. The question of what happens in the case of random composition of maps is posed in [J. Almeida, D. Peralta-Salas, M. Romera, Can two chaotic systems give rise to order? Physica D 200 (2005) 124–132] but left unanswered. In this note we present an example of a dynamical system where, at each iteration, a map is chosen in a probabilistic manner from a collection of chaotic maps. The resulting random map is proved to have an infinite absolutely continuous invariant measure (acim) with spikes at two points. From this we show that the dynamics behaves in a nearly ordered manner. When the foregoing maps are applied one after the other, deterministically as in [O.E. Percus, J.K. Percus, Can two wrongs make a right? Coin-tossing games and Parrondo’s paradox, Math. Intelligencer 24 (3) (2002) 68–72], the resulting composed map has a periodic orbit which is stable.     

Single-oscillator model and determination of optical constants of spray pyrolyzed amorphous SnO<Subscript>2</Subscript> thin films

It has recently been shown that growth of a multilayer structure with one or more delta-layers at high temperature leads to spreading and asymmetrization of the dopant distribution [see, for example, E.F.J. Schubert, Vac. Sci. Technol. A. 8, 2980 (1990), A.M. Nazmul, S. Sugahara, M. Tanaka, J. Crystal Growth 251, 303 (2003); R.C. Newman, M.J. Ashwin, M.R. Fahy, L. Hart, S.N. Holmes, C. Roberts, X. Zhang, Phys. Rev. B 54, 8769 (1996); E.F. Schubert, J.M. Kuo, R.F. Kopf, H.S. Luftman, L.C. Hopkins, N.J. Sauer, J. Appl. Phys. 67, 1969 (1990); P.M. Zagwijn, J.F. van der Veen, E. Vlieg, A.H. Reader, D.J. Gravesteijn, J. Appl. Phys. 78, 4933 (1995); W.S. Hobson, S.J. Pearton, E.F. Schubert, G. Cabaniss, Appl. Phys. Lett. 55, 1546 (1989); Delta Doping of Semiconductors, edited by E.F. Schubert (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996); Yu.N. Drozdov, N.B. Baidus', B.N. Zvonkov, M.N. Drozdov, O.I. Khrykin, V.I. Shashkin, Semiconductors 37, 194 (2003); E. Skuras, A.R. Long, B. Vogele, M.C. Holland, C.R. Stanley, E.A. Johnson, M. van der Burgt, H. Yaguchi, J. Singleton, Phys. Rev. B 59, 10712 (1999); G. Li, C. Jagadish, Solid-State Electronics 41, 1207 (1997)]. In this work analytical and numerical analysis of dopant dynamics in a delta-doped area of a multilayer structure has been accomplished using Fick's second law. Some reasons for asymmetrization of a delta-dopant distribution are illustrated. The spreading of a delta-layer has been estimated using example materials of a multilayer structure, a delta-layer and an overlayer.     

Collective decision making and paradoxical games

We study an ensemble of individuals playing the two games of the so-called Parrondo paradox. In our study, players are allowed to choose the game to be played by the whole ensemble in each turn. The choice cannot conform to the preferences of all the players and, consequently, they face a simple frustration phenomenon that requires some strategy to make a collective decision. We consider several such strategies and analyze how fluctuations can be used to improve the performance of the system.     

Using time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry and multivariate statistical analysis to detect and image octabenzyl-polyhedral oligomeric silsesquioxane in polycarbonate

Silsesquioxane, with an empirical formula of RSiO_3/2, has the potential to combine the mechanical properties of plastics with the oxidative stability of ceramics in one material [D.W. Scott, J. Am. Chem. Soc. 68 (1946) 356; K.J. Shea, D.A. Loy, Acc. Chem. Res. 34 (2001) 707; K.-M. Kim, D.-K. Keum, Y. Chujo, Macromolecules 36 (2003) 867; M.J. Abad, L. Barral, D.P. Fasce, R.J.J. William, Macromolecules 36 (2003) 3128]. The high sensitivity, surface specificity, and ability to detect and image high mass additives make time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS) a powerful surface analytical instrument for the characterization of polymer composite surfaces in an analytical laboratory [J.C. Vickerman, D. Briggs (Eds.), ToF-SIMS Surface Analysis by Mass Spectrometry, Surface Spectra/IMPublications, UK, 2001; X. Vanden Eynde, P. Bertand, Surf. Interface Anal. 27 (1999) 157; P.M. Thompson, Anal. Chem. 63 (1991) 2447; S.J. Simko, S.R. Bryan, D.P. Griffis, R.W. Murray, R.W. Linton, Anal. Chem. 57 (1985) 1198; S. Affrossman, S.A. O’Neill, M. Stamm, Macromolecules 31 (1998) 6280]. In this paper, we compare ToF-SIMS spectra of control samples with spectra generated from polymer nano-composites based on octabenzyl-polyhedral oligomeric silsesquioxane (BnPOSS) as well as spectra (and images) generated from multivariate statistical analysis (MVSA) of the entire spectral image. We will demonstrate that ToF-SIMS is able to detect and image low concentrations of BnPOSS in polycarbonate. We emphasize the use of MVSA tools for converting the massive amount of data contained in a ToF-SIMS spectral image into a smaller number of useful chemical components (spectra and images) that fully describe the ToF-SIMS measurement.     

Illusory versus genuine control in agent-based games

In the Minority, Majority and Dollar Games (MG, MAJG, $G) agents compete for rewards, acting in accord with the previously best-performing of their strategies. Different aspects/kinds of real-world markets are modelled by these games. In the MG, agents compete for scarce resources; in the MAJG agents imitate the group to exploit a trend; in the $G agents attempt to predict and benefit both from trends and changes in the direction of a market. It has been previously shown that in the MG for a reasonable number of preliminary time steps preceding equilibrium (Time Horizon MG, THMG), agents’ attempt to optimize their gains by active strategy selection is “illusory”: the hypothetical gains of their strategies is greater on average than agents’ actual average gains. Furthermore, if a small proportion of agents deliberately choose and act in accord with their seemingly worst performing strategy, these outperform all other agents on average, and even attain mean positive gain, otherwise rare for agents in the MG. This latter phenomenon raises the question as to how well the optimization procedure works in the THMAJG and TH$G. We demonstrate that the illusion of control is absent in THMAJG and TH$G. This provides further clarification of the kinds of situations subject to genuine control, and those not, in set-ups a priori defined to emphasize the importance of optimization.     

New finite-range droplet mass model and equation-of-state parameters

The parameters in the macroscopic droplet part of the finite-range droplet model (FRDM) are related to the properties of the equation of state. In the FRDM (1992) version, the optimization of the model parameters was not sufficiently sensitive to variations of the compressibility constant K and the density-symmetry constant L to allow their determination. In the new, more accurate FRDM-2011a adjustment of the model constants to new and more accurate experimental masses allows the determination of L together with the symmetry-energy constant J. The optimization is still not sensitive to K which is therefore fixed at K=240 MeV. Our results are J=32.5±0.5 MeV and L=70±15 MeV and a considerably improved mass-model accuracy σ=0.5700 MeV, with respect to the 2003 Atomic Mass Evaluation (AME2003) for FRDM-2011a, compared to σ=0.669 MeV for FRDM (1992).     

Laser vaporization synthesis of polyhedral graphite

Polyhedral graphite (PG) particles have been synthesized by CO₂ laser vaporization of graphite in high-pressure Ar gas (8×10⁵ Pa). Faceted PG particles, ranging in size from 110 to 500 nm, have a turbostratic structure. The yield of PG is more than 90%. This synthesis is based on the condensation of hot carbon species confined by an Ar-gas atmosphere. Received: 22 January 2003 / Accepted: 24 January 2003 / Published online: 11 April 2003 RID="*" ID="*"Corresponding author. Fax: +81-59/231-9471, E-mail: kokai@chem.mie-u.ac.jp Permanent address: Chemistry Department for Materials, Mie University, 1515 Kamihama, Tsu, Mie 514-8507, Japan     

Mean-field approximation for two- and three-person Prisoner’s Dilemmas

We consider the mean-field approximation (MFA) to the system of interacting agents playing two- and three-person Prisoner’s Dilemma games (2-PD and 3-PD). The agents have three available strategies: All-C, All-D, and a third one, which we choose in various ways. Long-time distribution of the strategies is compared for both games. The latter game admits coexistence of larger number of strategies in the long run. In the case of external pressure for cooperation, more pressure is in general necessary for 3-PD than for 2-PD to guarantee cooperation for almost all initial compositions of the strategies. Results for different types of tit-for-tat strategies for 3-PD are discussed. Unlike the 2-PD case, the more forgiving tit-for-tat strategy can survive in the long run in 3-PD.     

MAG-PGSTE: a new STE-based PGSE NMR sequence for the determination of diffusion in magnetically inhomogeneous samples

A new stimulated echo based pulsed gradient spin-echo sequence, MAG-PGSTE, has been developed for the determination of self-diffusion in magnetically inhomogeneous samples. The sequence was tested on two glass bead samples (i.e., 212-300 and <106 microm glass bead packs). The MAG-PGSTE sequence was compared to the MAGSTE (or MPFG) (P.Z. Sun, J.G. Seland, D. Cory, Background gradient suppression in pulsed gradient stimulated echo measurements, J. Magn. Reson. 161 (2003) 168-173; P.Z. Sun, S.A. Smith, J. Zhou, Analysis of the magic asymmetric gradient stimulated echo sequence with shaped gradients, J. Magn. Reson. 171 (2004) 324-329; P.Z. Sun, Improved diffusion measurement in heterogeneous systems using the magic asymmetric gradient stimulated echo (MAGSTE) technique, J. Magn. Reson. 187 (2007) 177-183; P. Galvosas, F. Stallmach, J. K?rger, Background gradient suppression in stimulated echo NMR diffusion studies using magic pulsed field gradient ratios, J. Magn. Reson. 166 (2004) 164-173, P. Galvosas, PFG NMR-Diffusionsuntersuchungen mit ultra-hohen gepulsten magnetischen Feldgradienten an mikropor?sen Materialien, Ph.D. Thesis, Universit?t Leipzig, 2003, P.Z. Sun, Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Microscopy and Diffusion, Ph.D. Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2003] sequence and Cotts 13-interval [R.M. Cotts, M.J.R. Hoch, T. Sun, J.T. Marker, Pulsed field gradient stimulated echo methods for improved NMR diffusion measurements in heterogeneous systems, J. Magn. Reson. 83 (1989) 252-266] sequence using both glass bead samples. The MAG-PGSTE and MAGSTE (or MPFG) sequences outperformed the Cotts 13-interval sequence in the measurement of diffusion coefficients; more interestingly, for the sample with higher background gradients (i.e., the <106 microm glass bead sample), the MAG-PGSTE sequence provided higher signal-to-noise ratios and thus better diffusion measurements than the MAGSTE and Cotts 13-interval sequences. In addition, the MAG-PGSTE sequence provided good characterization of the surface-to-volume ratio for the glass bead samples.     

Spatial Games Based on Pursuing the Highest Average Payoff

We propose a strategy updating mechanism based on pursuing the highest average payoff to investigate the prisoner＇s dilemma game and the snowdrift game. We apply the new rule to investigate cooperative behaviours on regular, small-world, scale-free networks, and find spatial structure can maintain cooperation for the prisoner＇s dilemma game. fn the snowdrift game, spatial structure can inhibit or promote cooperative behaviour which depends on payoff parameter. We further study cooperative behaviour on scale-free network in detail. Interestingly, non-monotonous behaviours observed on scale-free network with middle-degree individuals have the lowest cooperation level. We also find that large-degree individuals change their strategies more frequently for both games.     

Duality, phase structures, and dilemmas in symmetric quantum games

Symmetric quantum games for 2-player, 2-qubit strategies are analyzed in detail by using a scheme in which all pure states in the 2-qubit Hilbert space are utilized for strategies. We consider two different types of symmetric games exemplified by the familiar games, the Battle of the Sexes (BoS) and the Prisoners’ Dilemma (PD). These two types of symmetric games are shown to be related by a duality map, which ensures that they share common phase structures with respect to the equilibria of the strategies. We find eight distinct phase structures possible for the symmetric games, which are determined by the classical payoff matrices from which the quantum games are defined. We also discuss the possibility of resolving the dilemmas in the classical BoS, PD, and the Stag Hunt (SH) game based on the phase structures obtained in the quantum games. It is observed that quantization cannot resolve the dilemma fully for the BoS, while it generically can for the PD and SH if appropriate correlations for the strategies of the players are provided.     

Optional contributions have positive effects for volunteering public goods games

Public goods (PG) games with the volunteering mechanism are referred to as volunteering public goods (VPG) games, in which loners are introduced to the PG games, and a loner obtains a constant payoff but not participating the game. Considering that small contributions may have positive effects to encourage more players with bounded rationality to contribute, this paper introduces optional contributions (high value or low value) to these typical VPG games—a cooperator can contribute a high or low payoff to the public pools. With the low contribution, the logit dynamics show that cooperation can be promoted in a well mixed population comparing to the typical VPG games, furthermore, as the multiplication factor is greater than a threshold, the average payoff of the population is also enhanced. In spatial VPG games, we introduce a new adjusting mechanism that is an approximation to best response. Some results in agreement with the prediction of the logit dynamics are found. These simulation results reveal that for VPG games the option of low contributions may be a better method to stimulate the growth of cooperation frequency and the average payoff of the population.     

Mixing,ergodicity and slow relaxation phenomena

Investigations on diffusion in systems with memory [I.V.L. Costa, R. Morgado, M.V.B.T. Lima, F.A. Oliveira, Europhys. Lett. 63 (2003) 173] have established a hierarchical connection between mixing, ergodicity, and the fluctuation–dissipation theorem (FDT). This hierarchy means that ergodicity is a necessary condition for the validity of the FDT, and mixing is a necessary condition for ergodicity. In this work, we compare those results with recent investigations using the Lee recurrence relations method [M.H. Lee, Phys. Rev. B 26 (1982) 2547; M.H. Lee, Phys. Rev. Lett. 87 (2001) 250601; M.H. Lee, J. Phys. A: Math. Gen. 39 (2006) 4651]. Lee shows that ergodicity is violated in the dynamics of the electron gas [M.H. Lee, J. Phys. A: Math. Gen. 39 (2006) 4651]. This reinforces both works and implies that the results of [I.V.L. Costa, R. Morgado, M.V.B.T. Lima, F.A. Oliveira, Europhys. Lett. 63 (2003) 173] are more general than the framework in which they were obtained. Some applications to slow relaxation phenomena are discussed.     

Non-Classical Rules in Quantum Games

Over the last twenty years, quantum game theory has given us many ideas of how quantum games could be played. One of the most prominent ideas in the field is a model of quantum playing bimatrix games introduced by J. Eisert, M. Wilkens and M. Lewenstein. The scheme assumes that players’ strategies are unitary operations and the players act on the maximally entangled two-qubit state. The quantum nature of the scheme has been under discussion since the article by Eisert et al. came out. The aim of our paper was to identify some of non-classical features of the quantum scheme.     

A pseudo-inverse algorithm for simultaneous measurements using multiple acoustical sources

Simultaneous multiple acoustical sources measurement (SMASM) has been proposed for more effective and reliable identification of acoustical systems under critical conditions [N. Xiang and M. R. Schroeder, J. Acoust. Soc. Am. 113, 2754-2761 (2003); N. Xiang, J. N. Daigle, and M. Kleiner, J. Acoust. Soc. Am. 117, 1889-1894 (2005)]. This paper presents a pseudo-inverse algorithm for the SMASM correlation technique as an alternative way of extracting impulse responses of acoustical channels. Simulations and room acoustics experiments are carried out and the results prove the feasibility of the proposed algorithm.     

Top Quark Flavor Changing Decay t

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On an integral equation arising in the transport of radiation through a slab involving internal reflection

In an earlier contribution to this journal [M.M.R. Williams, Eur. Phys. J. B 47, 291 (2005)], we derived an integral equation for the transmission of radiation through a slab of finite thickness which incorporated internal reflection at the surfaces. Here we generalise the problem to the case when there is a source on each face and the reflection coefficients are different at each face. We also discuss numerical and analytic solutions of the equation discussed in [M.M.R. Williams, Eur. Phys. J. B 47, 291 (2005)] when the reflection is governed by the Fresnel conditions. We obtain numerical and graphical results for the reflection and transmission coefficients, the scalar intensity and current and the emergent angular distributions at each face. The incident source is either a mono-directional beam or a smoothly varying distribution which goes from isotropic to a normal beam. Of particular interest is the philosophy of the numerical solution and whether a direct numerical approach is more effective than one involving a more elegant analytical solution using replication and the Hilbert problem. We also develop the solution of this problem using diffusion theory and compare the results with the exact transport solution. An erratum to this article is available at .