Optimal plan for Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model

This paper explores inferential procedures for the Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model under degradation mechanism invariance. The exact confidence intervals are obtained for the parameters of the proposed accelerated degradation model. The generalized confidence intervals are also proposed for the reliability function and pth quantile of the lifetime at the normal operating stress level. In addition, the prediction intervals are developed for the degradation characteristic, lifetime and remaining useful life of the product at the normal operating stress level. The performance of the proposed generalized confidence intervals and the prediction intervals is assessed by the Monte Carlo simulation. Furthermore, a new optimum criterion is proposed based on minimizing the mean of the upper prediction limit for the degradation characteristic at the design stress level. The exact optimum plan is also derived for the Wiener accelerated degradation model according to the proposed optimal criterion. The proposed interval procedures and optimum plan are the free of the equal testing interval assumption. Finally, two examples are provided to illustrate the proposed interval procedures and exact optimum plan. Specifically, based on the degradation data of LEDs, some interval estimates of quantities related to reliability indicators are obtained. For the degradation data of carbon-film resistors, the optimal allocation of test units is derived in terms of the proposed optimal criterion.     

具有随机效应的Wiener加速退化模型的可靠性研究

研究了有随机效应的Wiener退化模型基于加速退化数据的统计推断问题.利用广义枢轴量方法得到了模型参数和感兴趣可靠性指标的广义置信区间.说明了不含随机效应的Wiener退化模型的统计推断问题是有随机效应的Wiener退化模型的特殊情况.蒙特卡罗模拟结果显示文中提出的区间估计有较好的覆盖比例.最后利用LED加速退化数据说...     

Weighted Empirical Likelihood Ratio Confidence Intervals for the Mean with Censored Data

We propose a procedure to construct the empirical likelihood ratio confidence interval for the mean using a resampling method. This approach leads to the definition of a likelihood function for censored data, called weighted empirical likelihood function. With the second order expansion of the log likelihood ratio, a weighted empirical likelihood ratio confidence interval for the mean is proposed and shown by simulation studies to have comparable coverage accuracy to alternative methods, including the nonparametric bootstrap-t. The procedures proposed here apply in a unified way to different types of censored data, such as right censored data, doubly censored data and interval censored data, and computationally more efficient than the bootstrap-t method. An example of a set of doubly censored breast cancer data is presented with the application of our methods.     

Simultaneous confidence intervals for several inverse Gaussian populations

In this research, we propose simultaneous confidence intervals for all pairwise comparisons of means from inverse Gaussian distribution. Our method is based on fiducial generalized pivotal quantities for vector parameters. We prove that the constructed confidence intervals have asymptotically correct coverage probabilities. Simulation results show that the simulated Type-I errors are close to the nominal level even for small samples. The proposed approach is illustrated by an example.     

Least squares generalized inferences in unbalanced two-component normal mixed linear model

In this paper, we make use of least squares idea to construct new fiducial generalized pivotal quantities of variance components in two-component normal mixed linear model, then obtain generalized confidence intervals for two variance components and the ratio of the two variance components. The simulation results demonstrate that the new method performs very well in terms of both empirical coverage probability and average interval length. The newly proposed method also is illustrated by a real data example.     

线性混合模型中方差分量的广义推断

本文考虑了线性混合模型中方差分量的假设检验和区间估计问题.基于广义P-值和广义置信区间的概念,构造了对应于随机效应的单个方差分量的精确检验和置信区间.所构造的广义p-值和广义置信区间是最小充分统计量的函数.对于两个独立线性混合模型中对应于随机效应的方差分量的比较,建立了精确检验和置信区间.进-步,研究了所给检验和置信区间的统计性质,给出了这些检验方法与文献中已有方法的功效比较的模拟结果.模拟结果表明,新检验在功效方面有显著的改进.最后,通过-个实例来演示本文方怯.     

A statistical model for random rotations

This paper studies the properties of the Cayley distributions, a new family of models for random p×p rotations. This class of distributions is related to the Cayley transform that maps a p(p-1)/2×1 vector s into SO(p), the space of p×p rotation matrices. First an expression for the uniform measure on SO(p) is derived using the Cayley transform, then the Cayley density for random rotations is investigated. A closed-form expression is derived for its normalizing constant, a simple simulation algorithm is proposed, and moments are derived. The efficiencies of moment estimators of the parameters of the new model are also calculated. A Monte Carlo investigation of tests and of confidence regions for the parameters of the new density is briefly summarized. A numerical example is presented.     

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本文利用广义p-值和广义置信区间的概念构造 含有三个随机效应的套误差分量模型中方差分量的几种新的精确检验和置信区间, 并讨论它们在尺度变换下的不变性. 模拟结果表明, 基于广义p-值的检验很好地控制了犯第一类错误的概率.     

Saddlepoint approximations for tests of dispersion

The nonparametric class of tests for dispersion is widely used for testing the equality of the scale parameters of two populations. This class includes Mood, Siegel–Tukey, Klotz and Moses tests. This paper uses the double saddlepoint approximation to calculate analytical mid-p-values for these tests that are almost exact as the permutation simulation method. The performance of the saddlepoint method is assessed using an extensive simulation study. The speed and accuracy of the saddlepoint method enable us to invert the dispersion tests to calculate (1 ? α)100% confidence intervals for the dispersion parameter.     

Soliton solutions for (2 + 1)-dimensional and (3 + 1)-dimensional K(m, n) equations

We consider the nonlinear dispersive K(m,n) equation with the generalized evolution term and derive analytical expressions for some conserved quantities. By using a solitary wave ansatz in the form of sech^p function, we obtain exact bright soliton solutions for (2 + 1)-dimensional and (3 + 1)-dimensional K(m,n) equations with the generalized evolution terms. The results are then generalized to multi-dimensional K(m,n) equations in the presence of the generalized evolution term. An extended form of the K(m,n) equation with perturbation term is investigated. Exact bright soliton solution for the proposed K(m,n) equation having higher-order nonlinear term is determined. The physical parameters in the soliton solutions are obtained as function of the dependent model coefficients.     

Post-<Emphasis Type="Italic">J</Emphasis> test inference in non-nested linear regression models

This paper considers the post-J test inference in non-nested linear regression models. Post-J test inference means that the inference problem is considered by taking the first stage J test into account. We first propose a post-J test estimator and derive its asymptotic distribution. We then consider the test problem of the unknown parameters, and a Wald statistic based on the post-J test estimator is proposed. A simulation study shows that the proposed Wald statistic works perfectly as well as the two-stage test from the view of the empirical size and power in large-sample cases, and when the sample size is small, it is even better. As a result, the new Wald statistic can be used directly to test the hypotheses on the unknown parameters in non-nested linear regression models.     

Generalized p-values and generalized confidence regions for the multivariate Behrens-Fisher problem and MANOVA

For two multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices, a procedure is developed for testing the equality of the mean vectors based on the concept of generalized p-values. The generalized p-values we have developed are functions of the sufficient statistics. The computation of the generalized p-values is discussed and illustrated with an example. Numerical results show that one of our generalized p-value test has a type I error probability not exceeding the nominal level. A formula involving only a finite number of chi-square random variables is provided for computing this generalized p-value. The formula is useful in a Bayesian solution as well. The problem of constructing a confidence region for the difference between the mean vectors is also addressed using the concept of generalized confidence regions. Finally, using the generalized p-value approach, a solution is developed for the heteroscedastic MANOVA problem.     

Generalized empirical likelihood inference in semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data

In this paper, we consider the semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data. Due to the correlation within groups, a generalized empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown parameters in the model is suggested by introducing the working covariance matrix. It is proved that the proposed statistic is asymptotically standard chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters. A simulation study is conducted to compare the proposed method with the generalized least squares method in terms of coverage accuracy and average lengths of the confidence intervals.     

Confidence Intervals of Variance Functions in Generalized Linear Model

In this paper we introduce an appealing nonparametric method for estimating variance and conditional variance functions in generalized linear models （GLMs）, when designs are fixed points and random variables respectively, Bias-corrected confidence bands are proposed for the （conditional） variance by local linear smoothers. Nonparametric techniques are developed in deriving the bias-corrected confidence intervals of the （conditional） variance. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator is established and show that the bias-corrected confidence bands asymptotically have the correct coverage properties. A small simulation is performed when unknown regression parameter is estimated by nonparametric quasi-likelihood. The results are also applicable to nonparamctric autoregressive times series model with heteroscedastic conditional variance.     

Sequential confidence intervals for time series

Sequential estimation of parameters for time series observations is considered. The Chow-Robbins procedure is extended and Wald’s identity is proven for such data. Various confidence bands are defined. These give simultaneous confidence intervals for a sequence of sample sizes.     

Decision-making in testing process performance with fuzzy data

Over the years, numerous process capability indices (PCIs) have been proposed to the manufacturing industry to provide numerical measures of process performance. Most research efforts have focused on developing and investigating PCIs that assess process capability by precise measurements of output quality. However, real observations of continuous quantities are not precise numbers; in practice, they are more or less imprecise. Since observations of continuous random variables are imprecise the values of related test statistics become imprecise. Therefore, decision rules for statistical tests have to be adapted to this situation. This article presents a set of confidence intervals that produces triangular fuzzy numbers for the estimation of C_pk index using Buckley’s approach with some modification. Additionally, a three-decision testing rule and step-by-step procedure are developed to assess process performance based on fuzzy critical values and fuzzy p-values. This concept is also illustrated with an example for testing process performance.     

Panel模型中的精确检验和置信区间

利用广义p-值和广义置信区间的概念,研究了Panel模型中未知参数的检验和置信区间问题.对于回归系数,分别考虑了单个情形和多个线性无关情形下的检验和置信区间问题,得到了精确检验和置信区间.对于方差分量,研究了其任意线性组合的检验和置信区间问题,建立了精确检验和置信区间.基于广义p-值和广义置信区间,获取精确检验和置信区间的方法具有计算方便、易应用于小样本问题的特点.最后,分别从理论和数值上研究了这些精确检验和置信区间的统计性质.     

Generalized Wald equations in discrete time

Let S = {S_n, n ? 1} be a martingale. Expectations of m^th order quantities associated with S are related by two forms of Wald-type identity, called Generalized Wald equations. The previously known sufficient conditions for the validity of Wald equations are shown to be of a set of three equivalent conditions, each of which is necessary as well as sufficient for the validity of both types of Generalized Wald Equation.     

Generalized inverse-Gaussian frailty models with application to TARGET neuroblastoma data

A new class of survival frailty models based on the generalized inverse-Gaussian (GIG) distributions is proposed. We show that the GIG frailty models are flexible and mathematically convenient like the popular gamma frailty model. A piecewise-exponential baseline hazard function is employed, yielding flexibility for the proposed class. Although a closed-form observed log-likelihood function is available, simulation studies show that employing an EM-algorithm is advantageous concerning the direct maximization of this function. Further simulated results address the comparison of different methods for obtaining standard errors of the estimates and confidence intervals for the parameters. Additionally, the finite-sample behavior of the EM-estimators is investigated and the performance of the GIG models under misspecification assessed. We apply our methodology to a TARGET (Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments) data about the survival time of patients with neuroblastoma cancer and show some advantages of the GIG frailties over existing models in the literature.

     

Accurate confidence intervals in regression analyses of non-normal data

A linear model in which random errors are distributed independently and identically according to an arbitrary continuous distribution is assumed. Second- and third-order accurate confidence intervals for regression parameters are constructed from Charlier differential series expansions of approximately pivotal quantities around Student’s t distribution. Simulation verifies that small sample performance of the intervals surpasses that of conventional asymptotic intervals and equals or surpasses that of bootstrap percentile-t and bootstrap percentile-|t| intervals under mild to marked departure from normality.