A copositive approach for two-stage adjustable robust optimization with uncertain right-hand sides

We study two-stage adjustable robust linear programming in which the right-hand sides are uncertain and belong to a convex, compact uncertainty set. This problem is NP-hard, and the affine policy is a popular, tractable approximation. We prove that under standard and simple conditions, the two-stage problem can be reformulated as a copositive optimization problem, which in turn leads to a class of tractable, semidefinite-based approximations that are at least as strong as the affine policy. We investigate several examples from the literature demonstrating that our tractable approximations significantly improve the affine policy. In particular, our approach solves exactly in polynomial time a class of instances of increasing size for which the affine policy admits an arbitrarily large gap.     

A robust optimization approach to closed-loop supply chain network design under uncertainty

The concern about significant changes in the business environment (such as customer demands and transportation costs) has spurred an interest in designing scalable and robust supply chains. This paper proposes a robust optimization model for handling the inherent uncertainty of input data in a closed-loop supply chain network design problem. First, a deterministic mixed-integer linear programming model is developed for designing a closed-loop supply chain network. Then, the robust counterpart of the proposed mixed-integer linear programming model is presented by using the recent extensions in robust optimization theory. Finally, to assess the robustness of the solutions obtained by the novel robust optimization model, they are compared to those generated by the deterministic mixed-integer linear programming model in a number of realizations under different test problems.     

Polynomial-time identification of robust network flows under uncertain arc failures

We propose Linear Programming (LP)-based solution methods for network flow problems subject to multiple uncertain arc failures, which allow finding robust optimal solutions in polynomial time under certain conditions. We justify this fact by proving that for the considered class of problems under uncertainty with linear loss functions, the number of entities in the corresponding LP formulations is polynomial with respect to the number of arcs in the network. The proposed formulation is efficient for sparse networks, as well as for time-critical networked systems, where quick and robust decisions play a crucial role.     

A robust optimization model for dynamic market with uncertain production cost

This article presents a robust optimization formulation for dealing with production cost uncertainty in an oligopolistic market scenario. It is not uncommon that players in the market face an equilibrium selling price but uncertain production costs. We show that, based on a nominal problem, the robust optimization formulation can be derived as a variational inequality with control and state variables. This convenient approach may be applied for computing optimal solutions efficiently, which help manufacturers dramatically and rapidly reform production and distribution schedules such that they can compete in the market successfully.     

A robust optimization approach to dispatching technicians under stochastic service times

We consider the problem of dispatching technicians to service/repair geographically distributed equipment. This problem can be cast as a vehicle routing problem with time windows, where customers expect fast response and small delays. Estimates of the service time, however, can be subject to a significant amount of uncertainty due to misdiagnosis of the reason for failure or surprises during repair. It is therefore crucial to develop routes for the technicians that would be less sensitive to substantial deviations from estimated service times. In this paper we propose a robust optimization model for the vehicle routing problem with soft time windows and service time uncertainty and solve real-world instances with a branch and price method. We evaluate the efficiency of the approach through computational experiments on real industry routing data.     

Chance constrained uncertain classification via robust optimization

This paper studies the problem of constructing robust classifiers when the training is plagued with uncertainty. The problem is posed as a Chance-Constrained Program (CCP) which ensures that the uncertain data points are classified correctly with high probability. Unfortunately such a CCP turns out to be intractable. The key novelty is in employing Bernstein bounding schemes to relax the CCP as a convex second order cone program whose solution is guaranteed to satisfy the probabilistic constraint. Prior to this work, only the Chebyshev based relaxations were exploited in learning algorithms. Bernstein bounds employ richer partial information and hence can be far less conservative than Chebyshev bounds. Due to this efficient modeling of uncertainty, the resulting classifiers achieve higher classification margins and hence better generalization. Methodologies for classifying uncertain test data points and error measures for evaluating classifiers robust to uncertain data are discussed. Experimental results on synthetic and real-world datasets show that the proposed classifiers are better equipped to handle data uncertainty and outperform state-of-the-art in many cases.     

A surrogate based multi-fidelity approach for robust design optimization

Robust design optimization (RDO) is a field of optimization in which certain measure of robustness is sought against uncertainty. Unlike conventional optimization, the number of function evaluations in RDO is significantly more which often renders it time consuming and computationally cumbersome. This paper presents two new methods for solving the RDO problems. The proposed methods couple differential evolution algorithm (DEA) with polynomial correlated function expansion (PCFE). While DEA is utilized for solving the optimization problem, PCFE is utilized for calculating the statistical moments. Three examples have been presented to illustrate the performance of the proposed approaches. Results obtained indicate that the proposed approaches provide accurate and computationally efficient estimates of the RDO problems. Moreover, the proposed approaches outperforms popular RDO techniques such as tensor product quadrature, Taylor’s series and Kriging. Finally, the proposed approaches have been utilized for robust hydroelectric flow optimization, demonstrating its capability in solving large scale problems.     

A robust optimization model for multi-site production planning problem in an uncertain environment

This paper addresses the multi-site production planning problem for a multinational lingerie company in Hong Kong subject to production import/export quotas imposed by regulatory requirements of different nations, the use of manufacturing factories/locations with regard to customers’ preferences, as well as production capacity, workforce level, storage space and resource conditions at the factories. In this paper, a robust optimization model is developed to solve multi-site production planning problem with uncertainty data, in which the total costs consisting of production cost, labor cost, inventory cost, and workforce changing cost are minimized. By adjusting penalty parameters, production management can determine an optimal medium-term production strategy including the production loading plan and workforce level while considering different economic growth scenarios. The robustness and effectiveness of the developed model are demonstrated by numerical results. The trade-off between solution robustness and model robustness is also analyzed.     

A robust algorithm for quadratic optimization under quadratic constraints

Most existing methods of quadratically constrained quadratic optimization actually solve a refined linear or convex relaxation of the original problem. It turned out, however, that such an approach may sometimes provide an infeasible solution which cannot be accepted as an approximate optimal solution in any reasonable sense. To overcome these limitations a new approach is proposed that guarantees a more appropriate approximate optimal solution which is also stable under small perturbations of the constraints.     

Integrated production planning and order acceptance under uncertainty: A robust optimization approach

The aim of this paper is to formulate a model that integrates production planning and order acceptance decisions while taking into account demand uncertainty and capturing the effects of congestion. Orders/customers are classified into classes based on their marginal revenue and their level of variability in order quantity (demand variance). The proposed integrated model provides the flexibility to decide on the fraction of demand to be satisfied from each customer class, giving the planner the choice of selecting among the highly profitable yet risky orders or less profitable but possibly more stable orders. Furthermore, when the production stage exceeds a critical utilization level, it suffers the consequences of congestion via elongated lead-times which results in backorders and erodes the firm’s revenue. Through order acceptance decisions, the planner can maintain a reasonable level of utilization and hence avoid increasing delays in production lead times. A robust optimization (RO) approach is adapted to model demand uncertainty and non-linear clearing functions characterize the relationship between throughput and workload to reflect the effects of congestion on production lead times. Illustrative simulation and numerical experiments show characteristics of the integrated model, the effects of congestion and variability, and the value of integrating production planning and order acceptance decisions.     

A robust approach for modeling limited observability in bilevel optimization

Many applications of bilevel optimization contain a leader facing a follower whose reaction deviates from the one expected by the leader due to some kind of bounded rationality. We consider bilinear bilevel problems with follower's response uncertainty due to limited observability regarding the leader's decision and exploit robust optimization to model the decision making of the follower. We show that the robust counterpart of the lower level allows to tackle the problem via the lower level's KKT conditions.     

A robust semi-definite optimization based solution to the robust order reduction problem for parametric uncertain dissipative linear systems

^** Email: barb{at}few.eur.nl In this paper, we address the problem of reducing the orderof a linear system affected by uncertainties from the robustdissipative perspective introduced in Barb et al. (2003, Robustdissipativity of interval uncertain linear systems. SIAM J.Control Optim., 41, 1661–1695.). First, we show that allmajor balanced truncation techniques developed and reportedin the literature of the last two decades can be treated ina uniform fashion within the framework of dissipative systems.Accordingly, we shall generalize these results to uncertaindissipative systems. The key role is played by balancing twopositive definite robust solutions to the uncertain dissipativitylinear matrix inequalities (LMIs) associated with the linearsystem in question and its dual. Determining the maximal levelof uncertainty for which such two solutions exist and computingthem efficiently is well known to be non-poly NP-hard. Our methodis based on determining robust tractable approximations of theseNP-hard entities by following the novel method known as Matrix-Cubetheory. The proven results are accompanied by a numerical example.     

A dynamic programming approach to adjustable robust optimization

In this paper we consider the adjustable robust approach to multistage optimization, for which we derive dynamic programming equations. We also discuss this from the point of view of risk averse stochastic programming. We consider as an example a robust formulation of the classical inventory model and show that, like for the risk neutral case, a basestock policy is optimal.     

Some characterizations of robust optimal solutions for uncertain convex optimization problems

In this paper, we consider robust optimal solutions for a convex optimization problem in the face of data uncertainty both in the objective and constraints. By using the properties of the subdifferential sum formulae, we first introduce a robust-type subdifferential constraint qualification, and then obtain some completely characterizations of the robust optimal solution of this uncertain convex optimization problem. We also investigate Wolfe type robust duality between the uncertain convex optimization problem and its uncertain dual problem by proving duality between the deterministic robust counterpart of the primal model and the optimistic counterpart of its dual problem. Moreover, we show that our results encompass as special cases some optimization problems considered in the recent literature.     

Minimax regret spanning arborescences under uncertain costs

The paper considers a classical optimization problem on a network whose arc costs are partially known. It is assumed that an interval estimate is given for each arc cost and no further information about the statistical distribution of the truth value of the arc cost is known. In this context, given a spanning arborescence in the network, its cost can take on different values according to the choice of each individual arc cost, that is, according to the different cost scenarios.     

A distributionally robust optimization model for batch nonlinear switched time-delay system considering uncertain output measurements

In this paper, we consider a nonlinear switched time-delay (NSTD) system with unknown switching times and unknown system parameters, where the output measurement is uncertain. This system is the underling dynamical system for the batch process of glycerol bioconversion to 1,3-propanediol induced by Klebsiella pneumoniae. The uncertain output measurement is regarded as a stochastic vector (whose components are stochastic variables) and the only information about its distribution is the first-order moment. The objective of this paper is to identify the unknown quantities of the NSTD system. For this, a distributionally robust optimization problem (a bi-level optimization problem) governed by the NSTD system is proposed, where the relative error under the environment of uncertain output measurements is involved in the cost functional. The bi-level optimization problem is transformed into a single-level optimization problem with non-smooth term through the application of duality theory in probability space. By applying the smoothing technique, the non-smooth term is approximated by a smooth term and the convergence of the approximation is established. Then, the gradients of the cost functional with respect to switching times and system parameters are derived. A hybrid optimization algorithm is developed to solve the transformed problem. Finally, we verify the obtained switching times and system parameters, as well as the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, by solving this distributionally robust optimization problem.     

A robust optimization approach to wine grape harvesting scheduling

Optimization models are increasingly being used in agricultural planning. However, the inherent uncertainties present in agriculture make it difficult. In recent years, robust optimization has emerged as a methodology that allows dealing with uncertainty in optimization models, even when probabilistic knowledge of the phenomenon is incomplete. In this paper, we consider a wine grape harvesting scheduling optimization problem subject to several uncertainties, such as the actual productivity that can be achieved when harvesting. We study how effective robust optimization is solving this problem in practice. We develop alternative robust models and show results for some test problems obtained from actual wine industry problems.     

A decision-theoretic approach to robust optimization in multivalued graphs

This paper is devoted to the search of robust solutions in finite graphs when costs depend on scenarios. We first point out similarities between robust optimization and multiobjective optimization. Then, we present axiomatic requirements for preference compatibility with the intuitive idea of robustness in a multiple scenarios decision context. This leads us to propose the Lorenz dominance rule as a basis for robustness analysis. Then, after presenting complexity results about the determination of Lorenz optima, we show how the search can be embedded in algorithms designed to enumerate k best solutions. Then, we apply it in order to enumerate Lorenz optimal spanning trees and paths. We investigate possible refinements of Lorenz dominance and we propose an axiomatic justification of OWA operators in this context. Finally, the results of numerical experiments on randomly generated graphs are provided. They show the numerical efficiency of the suggested approach.