基于DEA的基金绩效评价研究

用数据包络分析(DEA)方法对天天基金网中最新银河评级一年期表现优秀的三大类共39只基金绩效进行了进一步的评价研究,选取能充分体现基金风险与收益的统计指标,均值与方差,运用DEA有效性原理比较并分析了39只基金的技术有效性与规模有效性,给出了无效基金仿效的标杆.     

Hedge fund performance appraisal using data envelopment analysis

In this paper we apply data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the performance of hedge fund classifications. The purpose of alternative investment strategies such as hedge funds is to offer absolute returns, so using passive benchmarks to measure their performance could be ineffective. With the increasing number of hedge funds available, institutional investors, pension funds, and high net worth individuals urgently need a trustworthy efficiency appraisal method. DEA can achieve this. An important benefit of the DEA measure is that benchmarks are not required, thereby alleviating the problem of using traditional benchmarks to examine non-normal distribution of hedge fund returns. We suggest that DEA be used as a complimentary technique (or method) for the selection of efficient hedge funds and funds of hedge funds for investors. Using DEA can shed light and further validate hedge fund manager selection with other methodologies.     

A distribution-free approach to estimating best response values with application to mutual fund performance modeling

Frontier regression models seek to model and estimate best rather than average values of a response variable. Our proposed frontier model has similar intent, but also allows for an additional error term. The composed error approach uses the sum of two error terms, one an inefficiency error and the other as white noise. Previous research proposed assumptions on the distributions of the error components so that the distribution of this total error can be specified. Here we propose a distribution free approach to specifying these errors. In addition, our approach is completely data driven, rendering model specification an unnecessary step. We also outline, step-by-step, an approach to implementing this procedure. Our entire approach is illustrated with a mutual fund data set from the Morning Star database.     

Optimal Paths And Costs Of Adjustment In Dynamic DEA Models: With Application To Chilean Department Stores

In this paper we propose a range of dynamic data envelopment analysis (DEA) models which allow information on costs of adjustment to be incorporated into the DEA framework. We first specify a basic dynamic DEA model predicated on a number of simplifying assumptions. We then outline a number of extensions to this model to accommodate asymmetric adjustment costs, non-static output quantities, non-static input prices, and non-static costs of adjustment, technological change, quasi-fixed inputs and investment budget constraints. The new dynamic DEA models provide valuable extra information relative to the standard static DEA models—they identify an optimal path of adjustment for the input quantities, and provide a measure of the potential cost savings that result from recognising the costs of adjusting input quantities towards the optimal point. The new models are illustrated using data relating to a chain of 35 retail department stores in Chile. The empirical results illustrate the wealth of information that can be derived from these models, and clearly show that static models overstate potential cost savings when adjustment costs are non-zero. This paper arises out the senior author's PhD thesis at the University of New England, Australia. The authors gratefully acknowledge Dr. George E. Battese for his comments on earlier drafts of this work.     

Measuring dynamic efficiency: Theories and an integrated methodology

Almost all dynamic production systems are subject to lagged productive effects, which are an often-ignored latent source of interference in the efficiency measuring process. Existing data envelopment analysis (DEA) approaches rely on a static production environment. They can easily lead to biased evaluation results due to the erroneous assumption. To tackle this issue, this paper develops a dynamic DEA model that allows intertemporal effects in efficiency measuring. Specifically, the dynamic DEA model incorporates dynamic factors via a linear parametric formulation. Our model can be applied in place of static DEA models to a wide range of applications, such as analyzing longitudinal firm performance and productivity changes. As for the empirical efficiencies, we demonstrate how the lag parameters in the dynamic model can be estimated by the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR). We use our methodology to evaluate advertising efficiencies of several major automobile and pharmaceutical firms in North America. The result shows that using static DEA in dynamic production can lead to both rank reversals and changes in efficiency scores.     

Constant and variable returns to scale DEA models for socially responsible investment funds

In order to evaluate the performance of socially responsible investment (SRI) funds, we propose some models which use data envelopment analysis (DEA) and can be computed in all phases of the business cycle. These models focus on the most crucial elements of an investment in mutual funds.     

Applying integrated DEA/AHP to evaluate the economic performance of local governments in China

This paper aims at integrating data envelopment analysis (DEA) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to evaluate the economic development achieved by local governments in China. Since most similar evaluations are multi-objection problems, which both DEA and AHP are capable of solving, the integration of these two approaches is shown to be even more powerful. The proposed integrated DEA/AHP model can evaluate and rank different alternatives. In addition, a time-scale comparison of the economic performances of local governments in China was carried out using the malmquist productivity index (MPI), which indicated that there is a trend of economic growth. However, empirical results indicate that after discounting the advantages of location and political connections, the east district provinces of China do not have superior economic performance or a better MPI index, as compared with other districts. This result is contrary to our original hypothesis.     

A new method for evaluating decision making units in DEA

This paper provides a new structure in data envelopment analysis (DEA) for assessing the performance of decision making units (DMUs). It proposes a technique to estimate the DEA efficient frontier based on the Arash Method in a way different from the statistical inferences. The technique allows decisions in the target regions instead of points to benchmark DMUs without requiring any more information in the case of interval/fuzzy DEA methods. It suggests three efficiency indexes, called the lowest, technical and highest efficiency scores, for each DMU where small errors occur in both input and output components of the Farrell frontier, even if the data are accurate. These efficiency indexes provide a sensitivity index for each DMU and arrange both inefficient and technically efficient DMUs together while simultaneously detecting and benchmarking outliers. Two numerical examples depicted the validity of the proposed method.     

Three fuzzy goal programming models for index portfolios

Studies show that most actively managed mutual funds struggle to beat the market, driving an increase in the popularity of index investing. Index investing instruments, including index funds and Exchange-traded Funds, aim to track market performance. This study pursues both tracking error minimization and excess return maximization, two conflicting objectives, to construct an index portfolio. In the real-world financial environment, the desires and expectations of decision makers are generally imprecise. This study applies fuzzy theory to deal with imprecise objectives. This study represents minimizing tracking error and maximizing excess return as ‘fuzzy goals’ to improve traditional goal programming, which is suitable for handling multiple conflicting objectives, but subject to establishing crisp goals. Three fuzzy goal programming (FGP) models that track indexes are compared and discussed, and the results show that through certain membership functions and tracking models, an index tracking portfolio with a tracking error lower than the 0050 index fund, and a similar excess return to 0050 index fund can be constructed using additive type FGP. max-min type FGP underperforms the additive type FGP in index fund construction.     

A two-stage DEA model to evaluate the overall performance of Canadian life and health insurance companies

A two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is created to provide valuable managerial insights when assessing the dual impacts of operating and business strategies for the Canadian life and health (L&H) insurance industry. This new model allows integration of the production performance and investment performance for the insurance companies and provides management overall performance evaluation and how to achieve efficiency systematically for the insurers involved. The results also show that the Canadian L&H insurance industry operated fairly efficiently during the period examined (the year 1998). In addition, the scale efficiency in the Canadian L&H insurance industry is found in this study.     

Impacts of random noise and specification on estimates of capacity derived from data envelopment analysis

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is widely used to estimate the efficiency of firms and has also been proposed as a tool to measure technical capacity and capacity utilization (CU). Random variation in output data can lead to downward bias in DEA estimates of efficiency and, consequently, upward bias in estimates of technical capacity. This can be particularly problematic for industries such as agriculture, aquaculture and fisheries where the production process is inherently stochastic due to environmental influences. This research uses Monte Carlo simulations to investigate possible biases in DEA estimates of technically efficient output and capacity output attributable to noisy data and investigates the impact of using a model specification that allows for variable returns to scale (VRS). We demonstrate a simple method of reducing noise induced bias when panel data is available. We find that DEA capacity estimates are highly sensitive to noise and model specification. Analogous conclusions can be drawn regarding DEA estimates of average efficiency.     

Data envelopment analysis applied to quality in primary health care

The performance of primary care should ultimately be judged on its effect on the health outcome of individual patients. However, for the foreseeable future, it is inconceivable that the outcome data necessary to come to a judgement on performance will be available. And in any case, specification of the statistical model necessary to analyze outcome is fraught with difficulty. This paper therefore sets out a model of primary care performance which is based on the premise that certain measurable quality indicators can act as proxies for outcome. This being the case, a model of performance can be deduced which takes into account the effect of resources and patient characteristics on outcome. The most appropriate analytic technique to make this model operational is data envelopment analysis (DEA). It is argued that DEA can handle multiple dimensions of performance more comfortably, and is less vulnerable to the misspecification bias that afflicts statistically based models. The issues are illustrated with an example from English Family Health Service Authorities.     

A generalized model for data envelopment analysis with interval data

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a method to estimate the relative efficiency of decision-making units (DMUs) performing similar tasks in a production system that consumes multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs. So far, a number of DEA models with interval data have been developed. The CCR model with interval data, the BCC model with interval data and the FDH model with interval data are well known as basic DEA models with interval data. In this study, we suggest a model with interval data called interval generalized DEA (IGDEA) model, which can treat the stated basic DEA models with interval data in a unified way. In addition, by establishing the theoretical properties of the relationships among the IGDEA model and those DEA models with interval data, we prove that the IGDEA model makes it possible to calculate the efficiency of DMUs incorporating various preference structures of decision makers.     

Explaining inefficiency in nonparametric production models: the state of the art

The performance of economic producers is often affected by external or environmental factors that, unlike the inputs and the outputs, are not under the control of the Decision Making Units (DMUs). These factors can be included in the model as exogenous variables and can help to explain the efficiency differentials, as well as improve the managerial policy of the evaluated units. A fully nonparametric methodology, which includes external variables in the frontier model and defines conditional DEA and FDH efficiency scores, is now available for investigating the impact of external-environmental factors on the performance. In this paper, we offer a state-of-the-art review of the literature, which has been proposed to include environmental variables in nonparametric and robust (to outliers) frontier models and to analyse and interpret the conditional efficiency scores, capturing their impact on the attainable set and/or on the distribution of the inefficiency scores. This paper develops and complements the approach of B?din et al. (2012) by suggesting a procedure that allows us to make local inference and provide confidence intervals for the impact of the external factors on the process. We advocate for the nonparametric conditional methodology, which avoids the restrictive “separability” assumption required by the two-stage approaches in order to provide meaningful results. An illustration with real data on mutual funds shows the usefulness of the proposed approach.     

基于DEA的二阶段网络系统的固定成本分摊方法

结合DEA和博弈的思想研究二阶段网络系统的固定成本分摊问题,将分摊成本作为新的投入,可以证明存在某种分摊使DMU整体效率达到最优,在此基础上考虑各个DMU之间以及DMU内部之间的博弈,首先建立讨价还价乘积最大化模型,求出各DMU唯一的分摊解,然后建立DMU子系统之间的讨价还价模型,给出子系统的分摊解,最终的分摊方案满足系统效率和子系统效率为1,与现有的方法相比具有一定的优势.     

A study on the persistence of Farrell’s efficiency measure under a dynamic framework

This article introduces a sequence of four systematic methods to examine the extent to which the economic efficiency of Taiwan’s commercial banks persists and to uncover the potential dynamic link between bank performance and various financial indicators. Quasi-fixed inputs are explicitly incorporated in the DEA model to account for possible adjustment costs, regulation, or indivisibilities. Among the four methods, the dynamic panel data model and the Markov model appear to be exploited for the first time in the area of the DEA approach. Evidence is found that bank efficiency exhibits moderate persistence over the sample period, implying that the given sample banks fail to adjust their production techniques in a timely manner. Regulatory authorities and bank managers are suggested to be aware of the level of undesirable non-performing loans due to their close relationship with bank performance.     

An input relaxation measure of efficiency in stochastic data envelopment analysis

We introduce stochastic version of an input relaxation model in data envelopment analysis (DEA). The input relaxation model, recently developed in DEA, is useful to resource management [e.g. G.R. Jahanshahloo, M. Khodabakhshi, Suitable combination of inputs for improving outputs in DEA with determining input congestion, Appl. Math. Comput. 151(1) (2004) 263–273]. This model allows more changes in the input combinations of decision making units than those in the observed inputs of evaluating decision making units. Using this extra flexibility in input combinations we can find better outputs. We obtain a non-linear deterministic equivalent to this stochastic model. It is shown that under fairly general conditions this non-linear model can be replaced by an ordinary deterministic DEA model. The model is illustrated using a real data set.     

Sensitivity analysis of efficient units in the presence of non-discretionary inputs

Discretionary models of data envelopment analysis (DEA) assume that all inputs and outputs can be varied at the discretion of management or other users. In any realistic situation, however, there may exist “exogenously fixed” or non-discretionary factors that are beyond the control of a DMU’s management, which also need to be considered. This paper discusses and reviews the use of super-efficiency approach in data envelopment analysis (DEA) sensitivity analyses when some inputs are exogenously fixed. Super-efficiency data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is obtained when a decision making unit (DMU) under evaluation is excluded from the reference set. In this paper by means of modified Banker and Morey’s (BM hereafter) model [R.D. Banker, R. Morey, Efficiency analysis for exogenously fixed inputs and outputs, Operations Research 34 (1986) 513–521], in which the test DMU is excluded from the reference set, we are able to determine what perturbations of discretionary data can be tolerated before frontier DMUs become nonfrontier.     

DEA models for resource reallocation and production input/output estimation

This paper discusses the “inverse” data envelopment analysis (DEA) problem with preference cone constraints. An inverse DEA model can be used for a decision making unit (DMU) to estimate its input/output levels when some or all of its input/output entities are revised, given its current DEA efficiency level. The extension of introducing additional preference cones to the previously developed inverse DEA model allows the decision makers to incorporate their preferences or important policies over inputs/outputs into the production analysis and resource allocation process. We provide the properties of the inverse DEA problem through a discussion of its related multi-objective and weighted sum single-objective programming problems. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the application procedure of our extended inverse DEA model. In particular, we demonstrate how to apply the model to the case of a local home electrical appliance group company for its resource reallocation decisions.