DISPERSION COMPARISONS OF TWO PROBABILITY VECTORS UNDER MULTINOMIAL SAMPLING

We consider testing hypotheses concerning comparing dispersions between two parameter vectors of multinomial distributions in both one-sample and two-sample cases. The comparison criterion is the concept of Schur majorization. A new dispersion index is proposed for testing the hypotheses. The corresponding test for the one-sample problem is an exact test. For the two-sample problem, the bootstrap is used to approximate the null distribution of the test statistic and the p-value. We prove that the bootstrap test is asymptotically correct and consistent. Simulation studies for the bootstrap test are reported and a real life example is presented.     

High-dimensional Tests for Mean Vector: Approaches without Estimating the Mean Vector Directly

Several tests for multivariate mean vector have been proposed in the recent literature. Generally,these tests are directly concerned with the mean vector of a high-dimensional distribution. The paper presents two new test procedures for testing mean vector in large dimension and small samples. We do not focus on the mean vector directly, which is a different framework from the existing choices. The first test procedure is based on the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic, where the dime...     

A Unit Root Test for an AR(1) Process with AR Errors by Using Random Weighted Bootstrap

A great deal of economic problems are related to detecting the stability of time series data,where the main interest is in the unit root test.In this paper,we consider the unit root testing problem with errors being long-memory processes with the LARCH structure.A new test statistic is developed by using the random weighted bootstrap method.It turns out that the proposed statistic has a chisquared distribution asymptotically regardless of the process being stationary or nonst at ionary,and with ...     

Approximation by random weighting method for M-test in linear models

The M-test has been in common use and widely studied in testing the linear hypotheses in linear models. However, the critical value for the test is usually related to the quantities of the unknown error distribution and the estimate of the nuisance parameters may be rather involved, not only for the M-test method but also for the existing bootstrap methods. In this paper we suggest a random weighting resampling method for approximating the null distribution of the M-test statistic. It is shown that, under both the null and the local alternatives, the random weighting statistic has the same asymptotic distribution as the null distribution of the M-test. The critical values of the M-test can therefore be obtained by the random weighting method without estimating the nuisance parameters. A distinguished feature of the proposed method is that the approximation is valid even the null hypothesis is not true and the power evaluation is possible under the local alternatives.     

基于残差加权经验过程方法的自回归模型分布变点监测

Change monitoring of distribution in time series models is an important issue.This paper proposes a procedure for monitoring changes in the error distribution of autoregressive time series,which is based on a weighed empirical process of residuals with weights equal to the regressors.The asymptotic properties of our monitoring statistic are derived under the null hypothesis of no change in distribution.The finite sample properties are investigated by a simulation.As it turns out,the procedure is not only able to detect distributional changes but also changes in the regression coefficient and mean.Finally,we apply the statistic to a groups of financial data.     

Inference of change-point in single index models

Single index models are widely used in medicine, econometrics and some other fields. In this paper, we consider the inference of a change point problem in single index models. Based on density-weighted average derivative estimation (ADE) method, we propose a statistic to test whether a change point exists or not. The null distribution of the test statistic is obtained using a permutation technique. The permuted statistic is rigorously shown to have the same distribution in the limiting sense under both null and alternative hypotheses. After the null hypothesis of no change point is rejected, an ADE-based estimate of the change point is proposed under assumption that the change point is unique. A simulation study confirms the theoretical results.     

改进的自回归过程结构变点检验

In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting for structural changes in the autoregressive processes including AR（p） process. In performing a test, we employ the conventional residual CUSUM of squares test （RCUSQ） statistic. The RCUSQ test is based on the subsampling method introduced by Jach and Kokoszka [J. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 25（2004）]. It is shown that under regularity conditions, the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is the function of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results as to AR（1） process and an example of real data analysis are provided for illustration.     

A theoretic study of a distance-based regression model

The distance-based regression model has many applications in analysis of multivariate response regression in various ?elds, such as ecology, genomics, genetics, human microbiomics, and neuroimaging. It yields a pseudo F test statistic that assesses the relation between the distance(dissimilarity) of the subjects and the predictors of interest. Despite its popularity in recent decades, the statistical properties of the pseudo F test statistic have not been revealed to our knowledge. This study derives the asymptotic properties of the pseudo F test statistic using spectral decomposition under the matrix normal assumption, when the utilized dissimilarity measure is the Euclidean or Mahalanobis distance. The pseudo F test statistic with the Euclidean distance has the same distribution as the quotient of two Chi-squared-type mixtures. The denominator and numerator of the quotient are approximated using a random variable of the form ξχ_d~2+ η, and the approximate error bound is given. The pseudo F test statistic with the Mahalanobis distance follows an F distribution.In simulation studies, the approximated distribution well matched the "exact" distribution obtained by the permutation procedure. The obtained distribution was further validated on H1N1 in?uenza data, aging human brain data, and embryonic imprint data.     

Sign-based Test for Mean Vector in High-dimensional and Sparse Settings

In this article, we introduce a robust sparse test statistic which is based on the maximum type statistic. Both the limiting null distribution of the test statistic and the power of the test are analysed. It is shown that the test is particularly powerful against sparse alternatives. Numerical studies are carried out to examine the numerical performance of the test and to compare it with other tests available in the literature. The numerical results show that the test proposed significantly outperforms those tests in a range of settings, especially for sparse alternatives.     

Testing for changes in the mean or variance of long memory processes

In this paper, we study the asymptotic CUSUM tests for detecting changes in the mean or variance of a moving-average process with long memory. When there is no change over [O,T], the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is derived, which allows us to find asymptotic critical values. When there is a change, the behavior of the test statistic is discussed. Conditions for the consistency of these tests are also discussed. Based on the asymptotic results, simulation studies of testing for changes in the mean show that the CUSUM test proposed performs well.     

$\beta$-ARCH模型的经验似然推断

研究β-ARCH模型的经验似然估计及相应似然比统计量的渐近性质,证得了相合性和极限分布．     

RESAMPLING METHOD UNDER DEPENDENT MODELS

As well known,the jackknife and the bootstrap methods fail for the mean of thedependent observations.Recently,the moving blocks jackknife and bootstrap havebeen proposed in the case of the dependent observations.For the mean of the strictlystationary and m-dependent observations,it has been proved that the proposeddistribution and variance estimators are weakly consistent.This paper proves that thedistribution and variance estimators are strongly consistent for the mean(and theregular functions of mean)of the strictly stationary and m-dependent or(?)-mixingobservations.     

至多一个变点的$\Gamma$分布的统计推断及在金融中的应用

对至多一个变点的Γ分布,即X1,X2…,Xn为一列相互独立的随机变量序列,且X1,X2,…,X[nΥ0]i．i．d～Γ(x;ν1,λ1),X[nΥ0] 1,X[nΥ0] 2,…,Xn i．i．d～Γ(x;ν2,λ2),其中Υ0未知,称Υ0为该序列的变点．在利用第一型极值分布逼近文中提出统计量的分布的基础上,给出了变点Υ0估计(?)的相合性及强弱收敛速度．最后给出了在金融序列上的应用．     

多元正态分布的VDR条件拟合优度检验

提出多元正态性χ2检验统计量.多元正态分布转换样本Yd=RVd服从PearsonII型分布,证明了R2服从贝塔分布.基于贝塔分布和单位球均匀分布,得到多元正态性检验统计量χ2的渐近卡方分布.功效模拟显示,χ2统计量优于已有主要多元正态性检验统计量.做iris数据多元正态性的拟合优度检验.     

方差未知时两样本正态混合模型齐一性的修正似然比检验

本文讨论了方差未知时检验两样本正态混合模型齐一性的修正似然比统计量的极限性质,证明了原假设下修正似然比统计量的渐近分布为自由度为1的卡方分布.     

Abrupt change in mean using block bootstrap and avoiding variance estimation

We deal with sequences of weakly dependent observations that are naturally ordered in time. Their constant mean is possibly subject to change at most once at some unknown time point. The aim is to test whether such an unknown change has occurred or not. The change point methods presented here rely on ratio type test statistics based on maxima of the cumulative sums. These detection procedures for the abrupt change in mean are also robustified by considering a general score function. The main advantage of the proposed approach is that the variance of the observations neither has to be known nor estimated. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the no change null hypothesis is derived. Moreover, we prove the consistency of the test under the alternatives. A block bootstrap method is developed in order to obtain better approximations for the test’s critical values. The validity of the bootstrap algorithm is shown. The results are illustrated through a simulation study, which demonstrates computational efficiency of the procedures. A practical application to real data is presented as well.     

$\alpha$混合下非参数回归函数改良分割估计的强相合性及收敛速度

本文研究了在样本$(X_1,Y_1),(X_2,Y_2),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ 为取值于$R^{d}\times R^{1}$的同分布的$\alpha$混合序列时,回归函数改良分割估计的强相合性和收敛速度.     

Consistency of general bootstrap methods for degenerate -type and -type statistics

We provide general results on the consistency of certain bootstrap methods applied to degree-2 degenerate statistics of U-type and V-type. While it follows from well known results that the original statistic converges in distribution to a weighted sum of centred chi-squared random variables, we use a coupling idea of Dehling and Mikosch to show that the bootstrap counterpart converges to the same distribution. The result is applied to a goodness-of-fit test based on the empirical characteristic function.     

The bootstrap: Some large sample theory and connections with robustness

The bootstrap, discussed by Efron (1979, 1981), is a powerful tool for the nonparametric estimation of sampling distributions and asymptotic standard errors. We demonstrate consistency of the bootstrap distribution estimates for a general class of robust differentiable statistical functionals. Our conditions for consistency of the bootstrap are variants of previously considered criteria for robustness of the associated statistics. A general example shows that, for almost any location statistic, consistency of the bootstrap variance estimator requires a tail condition on the distribution from which samples are taken. A modification of Efron's estimator of standard error is shown to circumvent this problem.     

Resampling time series using missing values techniques

Several techniques for resampling dependent data have already been proposed. In this paper we use missing values techniques to modify the moving blocks jackknife and bootstrap. More specifically, we consider the blocks of deleted observations in the blockwise jackknife as missing data which are recovered by missing values estimates incorporating the observation dependence structure. Thus, we estimate the variance of a statistic as a weighted sample variance of the statistic evaluated in a “complete” series. Consistency of the variance and the distribution estimators of the sample mean are established. Also, we apply the missing values approach to the blockwise bootstrap by including some missing observations among two consecutive blocks and we demonstrate the consistency of the variance and the distribution estimators of the sample mean. Finally, we present the results of an extensive Monte Carlo study to evaluate the performance of these methods for finite sample sizes, showing that our proposal provides variance estimates for several time series statistics with smaller mean squared error than previous procedures.