Inventory rationing in an (<Emphasis Type="Italic">s,Q</Emphasis>) inventory model with lost sales and two demand classes

Whenever demand for a single item can be categorised into classes of different priority, an inventory rationing policy should be considered. In this paper we analyse a continuous review (s, Q) model with lost sales and two demand classes. A so-called critical level policy is applied to ration the inventory among the two demand classes. With this policy, low-priority demand is rejected in anticipation of future high-priority demand whenever the inventory level is at or below a prespecified critical level. For Poisson demand and deterministic lead times, we present an exact formulation of the average inventory cost. A simple optimisation procedure is presented, and in a numerical study we compare the optimal rationing policy with a policy where no distinction between the demand classes is made. The benefit of the rationing policy is investigated for various cases and the results show that significant cost reductions can be obtained.     

Managing an integrated production inventory system with information on the production and demand status and multiple non-unitary demand classes

In this paper, we study a system consisting of a manufacturer or supplier serving several retailers or clients. The manufacturer produces a standard product in a make-to-stock fashion in anticipation of orders emanating from n retailers with different contractual agreements hence ranked/prioritized according to their importance. Orders from the retailers are non-unitary and have sizes that follow a discrete distribution. The total production time is assumed to follow a k₀-Erlang distribution. Order inter-arrival time for class l demand is assumed to follow a k_l-Erlang distribution. Work-in-process as well as the finished product incur a, per unit per unit of time, carrying cost. Unsatisfied units from an order from a particular demand class are assumed lost and incur a class specific lost sale cost. The objective is to determine the optimal production and inventory allocation policies so as to minimize the expected total (discounted or average) cost. We formulate the problem as a Markov decision process and show that the optimal production policy is of the base-stock type with base-stock levels non-decreasing in the demand stages. We also show that the optimal inventory allocation policy is a rationing policy with rationing levels non-decreasing in the demand stages. We also study several important special cases and provide, through numerical experiments, managerial insights including the effect of the different sources of variability on the operating cost and the benefits of such contracts as Vendor Managed Inventory or Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment. Also, we show that a heuristic that ignores the dependence of the base-stock and rationing levels on the demands stages can perform very poorly compared to the optimal policy.     

Optimal integrated production and inventory control of an assemble-to-order system with multiple non-unitary demand classes

We study a pure assemble-to-order system subject to multiple demand classes where customer orders arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The finished product is assembled from m different components that are produced on m distinct production facilities in a make-to-stock fashion. We show that the optimal production policy of each component is a state-dependent base-stock policy and the optimal inventory allocation policy is a multi-level state-dependent rationing policy. Using numerical experimentation, we first study the system behavior as a function of order size variability and order size. We show that the optimal average cost rate is more sensitive to order size variability than to order size. We also compare the optimal policy to the first-come first-serve policy and show that there is great benefit to inventory rationing. We also propose two simple heuristics and show that these can effectively mimic the optimal policy which is generally much more difficult to determine and, especially, to implement.     

Rationing policies for some inventory systems

This paper considers inventory systems which maintain stocks to meet various demand classes with different priorities. We use the concept of a support level control policy. That is rationing is accomplished by maintaining a support level, say K, such that when on hand stock reaches K, all low priority demands are backordered. We develop four analytical and simulation models to improve the existing models. Firstly, multiple support levels are used instead of using a single support level. Secondly, a simulation model with a more realistic assumption on the demand process has been provided. Thirdly, a single period deterministic cost minimisation model has been developed analytically. Finally, we address a continuous review (Q, r) model with a compound Poisson process.     

Optimal production and rationing policies of a make-to-stock production system with batch demand and backordering

In this paper, we consider the stock rationing problem of a single-item make-to-stock production/inventory system with multiple demand classes. Demand arrives as a Poisson process with a randomly distributed batch size. It is assumed that the batch demand can be partially satisfied. The facility can produce a batch up to a certain capacity at the same time. Production time follows an exponential distribution. We show that the optimal policy is characterized by multiple rationing levels.     

Modelling and computing (Rn, Sn) policies for inventory systems with non-stationary stochastic demand

This paper addresses the single-item, non-stationary stochastic demand inventory control problem under the non-stationary (R, S) policy. In non-stationary (R, S) policies two sets of control parameters—the review intervals, which are not necessarily equal, and the order-up-to-levels for replenishment periods—are fixed at the beginning of the planning horizon to minimize the expected total cost. It is assumed that the total cost is comprised of fixed ordering costs and proportional direct item, inventory holding and shortage costs. With the common assumption that the actual demand per period is a normally distributed random variable about some forecast value, a certainty equivalent mixed integer linear programming model is developed for computing policy parameters. The model is obtained by means of a piecewise linear approximation to the non-linear terms in the cost function. Numerical examples are provided.     

Fuzzy profit measures for a fuzzy economic order quantity model

Changing economic conditions make the selling price and demand quantity more and more uncertain in the market. The conventional inventory models determine the selling price and order quantity for a retailer’s maximal profit with exactly known parameters. This paper develops a solution method to derive the fuzzy profit of the inventory model when the demand quantity and unit cost are fuzzy numbers. Since the parameters contained in the inventory model are fuzzy, the profit value calculated from the model should be fuzzy as well. Based on the extension principle, the fuzzy inventory problem is transformed into a pair of two-level mathematical programs to derive the upper bound and lower bound of the fuzzy profit at possibility level α. According to the duality theorem of geometric programming, the pair of two-level mathematical programs is transformed into a pair of conventional geometric programs to solve. By enumerating different α values, the upper bound and lower bound of the fuzzy profit are collected to approximate the membership function. Since the profit of the inventory problem is expressed by the membership function rather than by a crisp value, more information is provided for making decisions.     

Inventory rationing for the News-Vendor problem with a drop-shipping option

We consider a single-period inventory model for a bricks-and-clicks business. Store inventory can be used to fulfill both store demand and internet demand. Drop-shipping is used as an additional option for internet sale. We analyze two rationing policies for store inventory: a threshold policy and a fixed-portion policy. We formulate the expected profit for both and prove concavity. There exists an optimal order quantity for store inventory and an optimal stock rationing level below which the manager starts to use drop-shipping for internet demand. Numerical examples show that considering the rationing problem for the single-period inventory model, which is ignored in some earlier works, can result in remarkable differences.     

基于战略顾客行为的最优定价与容量选择模型

研究了当市场中同时存在战略顾客和短视顾客时零售商的最优定价与容量选择问题。零售商在正常销售阶段和出清销售阶段制定不同的销售价格,同时通过容量选择影响战略顾客的购买行为,而战略顾客则根据零售商的定价和容量选择确定最优购买时机。分别分析了零售商在无限容量时的定价决策、固定价格时的容量选择、固定容量时的定价决策以及有限容量下的定价与容量选择四种情形。研究结果表明,零售商在无容量限制时的最优定价决策是制定两阶段定价策略,在固定价格时的最优容量选择依赖于模型的参数,而当零售商的容量固定时,部分满足出清销售阶段的顾客需求始终优于完全满足出清销售阶段的顾客需求。     

Base stock policy with retrial demands

In this work, we consider a continuous review base stock policy inventory system with retrial demands. The maximum storage capacity is S. It is assumed that primary demand is of unit size and primary demand time points form a Poisson process. A one-to-one ordering policy is adopted. According to this policy, orders are placed for one unit, as and when the inventory level drops due to a demand. We assume that the demands occur during the stock-out periods enter into the orbit of infinite size. The lead time is assumed to be exponential. The joint probability distribution of the inventory level and the number of demands in the orbit are obtained in the steady state case. Various system performance measures in the steady state are derived. The results are illustrated with suitable numerical examples.     

Augmenting the lot sizing order quantity when demand is probabilistic

In this paper we consider a single item, discrete time, lot sizing situation where demand is random and its parameters (e.g., mean and standard deviation) can change with time. For the appealing criterion of minimizing expected total relevant costs per unit time until the moment of the next replenishment we develop two heuristic ways of selecting an appropriate augmentation quantity beyond the expected total demand through to the planned (deterministic) time of the next replenishment. The results of a set of numerical experiments show that augmentation is important, particularly when orders occur frequently (i.e., the fixed cost of a replenishment is low relative to the costs of carrying one period of demand in stock) and the coefficient of variability of demand is relatively low, but also under other specified circumstances. The heuristic procedures are also shown to perform very favourably against a hindsight, baseline (s, S) policy, especially for larger levels of non-stationarity.     

Scheduling production of multiple part-types in a system with pre-known demands and deterministic inactive time intervals

We introduce and formalise a scheduling problem that consists in determining an optimum policy (i.e. one that minimises total inventory holding costs) to produce n part-types using a system that is able to share its capacity at all times among these part-types and that switches between an active and an inactive state for pre-known periods of time. Consequently, when active the system must produce enough reserves to meet the demand during the inactive interval. We show that there is always a simple optimum policy in which the production of the part-types is prioritised and, provided the units are properly defined, the optimum priority ordering corresponds to a non-decreasing sequence of the unit holding costs of the part-types.     

Selling to the “Newsvendor” with a forecast update: Analysis of a dual purchase contract

We consider a supply chain in which a manufacturer sells to a procure-to-stock retailer facing a newsvendor problem with a forecast update. Under a wholesale price contract, the retailer waits as long as she can and optimally places her order after observing the forecast update. We show that the retailer’s wait-and-decide strategy, induced by the wholesale price contract, hinders the manufacturer’s ability to (1) set the wholesale price and maximize his profit, (2) hedge against excess inventory risk, and (3) reduce his profit uncertainty. To mitigate the adverse effect of wholesale price contract, we propose the dual purchase contract, through which the manufacturer provides a discount for orders placed before the forecast update. We characterize how and when a dual purchase contract creates strict Pareto improvement over a wholesale price contract. To do so, we establish the retailer’s optimal ordering policy and the manufacturer’s optimal pricing and production policies. We show how the dual purchase contract reduces profit variability and how it can be used as a risk hedging tool for a risk averse manufacturer. Through a numerical study, we provide additional managerial insights and show, for example, that market uncertainty is a key factor that defines when the dual purchase contract provides strict Pareto improvement over the wholesale price contract.     

Risk-Based Integration of Strategic and Tactical Capacity Planning

We consider capacity management with a long-term strategic choice, such as the number of production lines to install before demand is known, and short-term tactical decisions relating to production, inventory, and subcontracting (recourse actions made after demand is known). We present an integrated scenario-based mathematical modeling and solution framework. For a single-product environment, we examine properties of total profit as a function of demand and the long-term capacity z. We investigate two measures of risk (profit variance and mean downside risk) and their corresponding profit-risk frontiers. Computational experiments are used to illustrate parameter sensitivity results obtained from the model.     

An economic production quantity model with a positive resetup point under random demand

In this paper, an extended economic production quantity (EPQ) model is investigated, where demand follows a random process. This study is motivated by an industrial case for precision machine assembly in the machinery industry. Both a positive resetup point s and a fixed lot size Q are implemented in this production control policy. To cope with random demand, a resetup point, i.e., the lowest inventory level to start the production, is adapted to minimize stock shortage during the replenishment cycle. The considered cost includes setup cost, inventory carrying cost, and shortage cost, where shortage may occur at the production stage and/or at the end of one replenishment cycle. Under some mild conditions, the expected cost per unit time can be shown to be convex with respect to decision parameters s and Q. Further computational study has demonstrated that the proposed model outperforms the classical EPQ when demand is random. In particular, a positive resetup point contributes to a significant portion of this cost savings when compared with that in the classical lot sizing policy.     

Dynamic inventory rationing strategies for inventory systems with two demand classes,Poisson demand and backordering

We study inventory systems with two demand classes (critical and non-critical), Poisson demand and backordering. We analyze dynamic rationing strategies where the number of items reserved for critical demand depends on the remaining time until the next order arrives. Different from results in the literature, we do not discretize demand but derive a set of formulae that determine the optimal rationing level for any possible value of the remaining time. Moreover, we show that the cost parameters can be captured in a single relevant dimension, which allows us to present the optimal rationing levels in charts and lookup tables that are easy to implement. Numerical examples illustrate that the optimal dynamic rationing strategy outperforms all static strategies with fixed rationing levels.     

随机需求下有产能约束的技术创新策略研究

在随机需求和技术变革的环境下,基于有产能约束的单供应商-单零售商的供应链结构,研究供应商分销价格决策和技术创新策略以及零售商订货决策。建立了三阶段Stackelberg博弈模型,通过逆推方法求得了供应商最优分销价格和技术创新策略以及零售商最优订货量,深入探讨了供应商产能、新技术出现概率以及市场需求期望与波动分别对供应商、零售商和供应链整体利润的影响。结果表明当供应商产能不足时进行技术创新会提高供应商和供应链的利润,但零售商因间接承担供应商技术创新的投资成本而利润下降;当供应商产能过剩时进行技术创新则会降低供应商及供应链的利润,而零售商的利润增加。新技术出现概率增加会提高供应链各成员的利润;提高市场需求期望并减小市场波动对供应商及供应链有利,但可能会降低零售商的利润。     

GM(1,1)模型在高校选修课开课规模中的应用

针对多所高校普遍存在的选修课供求比例失衡、课程资源配置不够合理等问题,笔者以浙江某高校的历史选课数据为例,利用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型对高校选修课开课数量及其规模进行了预测,并对比了四种模型的预测误差,结果表明二阶算子作用序列下的预测数据可信度较高,并以此为基础讨论了不同类型选修课布局及课程计划管理.     

The canning problem revisited: The case of capacitated production and fixed demand

We report on optimizing a ‘variable yield’ machine-fill type of production process with limited capacity n, a fixed demand d and a process yield rate that depends on a controllable mean setting. Using a profit function that includes both the cost of production and a penalty for under-production, we show that obtaining an optimal mean setting is straightforward. As the ingredient cost becomes small compared to recycling and production costs, the relative profit is found to be a strongly asymmetric function of the process mean. The resulting managerial insights suggest that, with respect to optimal mean setting, for a wide variety of cost parameters, overfilling is in general better than underfilling.     

Long-term and penalty contracts in a two-stage supply chain with stochastic demand

Recent applications of game-theoretic analysis to supply chain efficiency have focused on constructs between a buyer (the retailer or manufacturer) and a seller (the supplier) in successive stages of a supply chain. If demand for the final product is stochastic then the supplier has an incentive to keep its capacity relatively low to avoid creating unneeded capacity. The manufacturer, on the other hand, prefers the supplier’s capacity to be high to ensure that the final demand is satisfied. The manufacturer therefore constructs a contract to induce the supplier to increase its production capacity. Most research examines contracting when final demand is realized after the manufacturer places its order to the supplier. However, if final demand is realized before the manufacturer places its order to the supplier, these types of contracts can be ineffective. This paper examines two contracts under the latter timing scenario: long-term contracts in which the business relationship is repeated, and penalty contracts in which the supplier is penalized for too little capacity. Results indicate long-term contracts increase the profit potential of the supply chain. Furthermore, the penalty contracts can ensure that the supplier chooses a capacity level such that the full profit potential is achieved.