Dynamic uncapacitated lot sizing with random demand under a fillrate constraint

This paper deals with the single-item dynamic uncapacitated lot sizing problem with random demand. We propose a model based on the “static uncertainty” strategy of Bookbinder and Tan (1988). In contrast to these authors, we use exact expressions for the inventory costs and we apply a fillrate constraint. We present an exact solution method and modify several well-known dynamic lot sizing heuristics such that they can be applied for the case of dynamic stochastic demands. A numerical experiment shows that there are significant differences in the performance of the heuristics whereat the ranking of the heuristics is different from that reported for the case of deterministic demand.     

A methodology to create robust job rotation schedules

This research proposes a methodology for developing robust job rotation schedules to reduce the likelihood of low back injury due to lifting. We consider settings that have uncertain task demands and different worker profiles in order to simulate real settings. We begin by considering deterministic versions of the problem and solve these using mathematical programming. Because mathematical programming cannot be readily applied to stochastic versions of the problem, heuristic solution methods are developed. The effectiveness of these methods is demonstrated by comparing the results with provably optimal solutions from the deterministic problems and with an enumerative approach that is applied to the stochastic version of the problem. Across the test problems, the proposed heuristics are effective at finding good job rotation solutions. The proposed methods could also be applied to solve other job rotation objectives such as maximizing productivity and reducing exposure to other work environmental factors such as excessive noise.     

Inventory management for dual sales channels with inventory-level-dependent demand

This paper studies the inventory management problem of dual channels operated by one vendor. Demands of dual channels are inventory-level-dependent. We propose a multi-period stochastic dynamic programming model which shows that under mild conditions, the myopic inventory policy is optimal for the infinite horizon problem. To investigate the importance of capturing demand dependency on inventory levels, we consider a heuristic where the vendor ignores demand dependency on inventory levels, and compare the optimal inventory levels with those recommended by the heuristic. Through numerical examples, we show that the vendor may order less for dual channels than those recommended by the heuristic, and the difference between the inventory levels in the two cases can be so large that the demand dependency on inventory levels cannot be neglected. In the end, we numerically examine the impact of different ways to treat unmet demand and obtain some managerial insights.     

The optimality of myopic stocking policies for systems with decreasing purchasing prices

This paper studies the stocking/replenishment decisions for inventory systems where the purchasing price of an item decreases overtime. In a periodic review setting with stochastic demands, we model the purchasing prices of successive periods as a stochastic and decreasing sequence. To minimize the expected total discounted costs (purchasing, inventory holding and shortage penalty) for systems with backlogging and lost sales, we derive conditions, regarding the cost parameters, under which myopic stocking policies are optimal.     

A multi-heuristic approach for solving the pre-marshalling problem

Minimizing the number of reshuffling operations at maritime container terminals incorporates the pre-marshalling problem (PMP) as an important problem. Based on an analysis of existing solution approaches we develop new heuristics utilizing specific properties of problem instances of the PMP. We show that the heuristic performance is highly dependent on these properties. We introduce a new method that exploits a greedy heuristic of four stages, where for each of these stages several different heuristics may be applied. Instead of using randomization to improve the performance of the heuristic, we repetitively generate a number of solutions by using a combination of different heuristics for each stage. In doing so, only a small number of solutions is generated for which we intend that they do not have undesirable properties, contrary to the case when simple randomization is used. Our experiments show that such a deterministic algorithm significantly outperforms the original nondeterministic method. The improvement is twofold, both in the quality of found solutions, and in the computational effort.     

Production strategies for a stochastic lot-sizing problem with constant capacity

This paper presents a single item capacitated stochastic lot-sizing problem motibated by a Dutch company operating in a Make-To-Order environment. Due to a highly fluctuating and unpredictable demand, it is not possible to keep any finished goods inventory. In response to a customer's order, a fixed delivery date is quoted by the company. The objective is to determine in each period of the planning horizon the optimal size of production lots so that delivery dates are met as closely as possible at the expense of minimal average costs. These include set-up costs, holding costs for orders that are finished before their promised delivery date and penalty costs for orders that are not satisfied on time and are therefore backordered. Given that the optimal production policy is likely to be too complex in this situation, attention is focused on the development of heuristic procedures. In this paper two heuristics are proposed. The first one is an extension of a simple production strategy derived by Dellaert [5] for the uncapacitated version of the problem. The second heuristic is based on the well-known Silver-Meal algorithm for the case of deterministic time-varying demand. Experimental results suggest that the first heuristic gives low average costs especially when the demand variability is low and there are large differences in the cost parameters. The Silver-Meal approach is usually outperformed by the first heuristic in situations where the available production capacity is tight and the demand variability is low.     

Integrated production and allocation policies with one direct shipping option

We consider a single period inventory problem in which a supplier faces stochastic demands and customer specific waiting costs from multiple customers. The objective is to develop integrated production, allocation, and distribution policies so that the total production and customer waiting costs are minimized. We present an optimal policy for the two customer problem and derive a heuristic for a general problem based on the structural results of the two customer case. We show, numerically, that the heuristic performs very well with error bounds of less than 2% on average, while typical approximations may lead to significant sub-optimality.     

Mathematical programming for network revenue management revisited

Mathematical programming models for airline seat inventory control provide booking limits and bid-prices for all itineraries and fare classes. E.L. Williamson [Airline network seat inventory control: methodologies and revenue impacts, Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1992] finds that simple deterministic approximation methods based on average demand often outperform more advanced probabilistic heuristics. We argue that this phenomenon is due to a booking process that includes nesting of the fare classes, which is ignored in the modeling phase. The differences in the performance between these approximations are studied using a stochastic programming model that includes the deterministic model as a special case. Our study carefully examines the trade-off between computation time and the aggregation level of demand uncertainty with examples of a multi-leg flight and a single-hub network.     

An optimal solution for the stochastic version of the Wagner–Whitin dynamic lot-size model

We present an algorithm for determining the optimal solution over the entire planning horizon for the dynamic lot-size model where demand is stochastic and non-stationary. The optimal solution to the deterministic problem is the well-known Wagner–Whitin algorithm. The present work contributes principally to knowledge building and provides a tool for researchers. One potentially useful contribution to practice is the solution to an important special case, where demand follows normal distributions. Other contributions to practice will likely flow from the development of improved heuristics and the improved basis to evaluate heuristic performance.     

The Classical Economic Order Quantity Formula

Most continuous time inventory models which allow for the stochastic nature of demands usually include a delivery lag. This disguises a close link between deterministic and stochastic formulations of the inventory problem. By assuming that there is no delivery lag a stochastic version of the classical economic lot size model is developed. It yields the traditional square root formula where the constant demand term is replaced by mean demand.     

Optimal myopic policy for a stochastic inventory problem with fixed and proportional backorder costs

In this paper, we consider a single product, periodic review, stochastic demand inventory problem where backorders are allowed and penalized via fixed and proportional backorder costs simultaneously. Fixed backorder cost associates a one-shot penalty with stockout situations whereas proportional backorder cost corresponds to a penalty for each demanded but yet waiting to be satisfied item. We discuss the optimality of a myopic base-stock policy for the infinite horizon case. Critical number of the infinite horizon myopic policy, i.e., the base-stock level, is denoted by S. If the initial inventory is below S then the optimal policy is myopic in general, i.e., regardless of the values of model parameters and demand density. Otherwise, the sufficient condition for a myopic optimum requires some restrictions on demand density or parameter values. However, this sufficient condition is not very restrictive, in the sense that it holds immediately for Erlang demand density family. We also show that the value of S can be computed easily for the case of Erlang demand. This special case is important since most real-life demand densities with coefficient of variation not exceeding unity can well be represented by an Erlang density. Thus, the myopic policy may be considered as an approximate solution, if the exact policy is intractable. Finally, we comment on a generalization of this study for the case of phase-type demands, and identify some related research problems which utilize the results presented here.     

Economic order quantity models with nonlinear holding costs

We consider a generalization of the classical Economic Order Quantity Model. The traditional parameters of unit cost, selling price, demand rate and set-up cost are constant but the holding cost per unit is a non-linear function of the length of time the item is held in stock. The application is to any inventory system where the value of the item decreases non-linearily the longer it is held in stock. For the case of deterministic demands we present the cost formula and the optimal order quantity for both finite and infinite horizons. For the case of stochastic demands the cost function is examined and the optimal order amount is presented. Computational results are presented indicating the effect of the non-linearity in holding costs.     

Formulations for a problem of petroleum transportation

Oil tankers play a fundamental role in every offshore petroleum supply chain and due to its high price, it is essential to optimize its use. Since this optimization requires handling detailed operational aspects, complete optimization models are typically intractable. Thus, a usual approach is to solve a tactical level model prior to optimize the operational details. In this case, it is desirable that tactical models are as precise as possible to avoid too severe adjustments in the next optimization level. In this paper, we study tactical models for a crude oil transportation problem by tankers. We did our work on the top of a previous paper found in the literature. The previous model considers inventory capacities and discrete lot sizes to be transported, aiming to meet given demands over a finite time horizon. We compare several formulations for this model using 50 instances from the literature and proposing 25 new harder ones. A column generation-based heuristic is also proposed to find good feasible solutions with less computational burden than the heuristics of the commercial solver used.     

A multi-period ordering and clearance pricing model considering the competition between new and out-of-season products

The joint management of pricing and inventory for perishable products has become an important problem for retailers. This paper investigates a multi-period ordering and clearance pricing model under consideration of the competition between new and out-of-season products. In each period, the ordering quantity of the new product and the clearance price of the out-of-season product are determined as decision variables before the demand is realized, and the unsold new product becomes the out-of-season one of the next period. We establish a finite-horizon Markov decision process model to formulate this problem and analyze its properties. A traditional dynamic program (DP) approach with two-dimensional search is provided. In addition, a myopic policy is derived in which only the profit of the current period is considered. Finally, we apply genetic algorithm (GA) to this problem and design a GA-based heuristic approach, showing by comparison among different algorithms that the GA-based heuristic approach is more performance sound than the myopic policy and much less time consuming than the DP approach.     

Cash flow optimization in delivery scheduling

The paper examines the inventory routing problem from the perspective of the present value of the cash flow associated with the distribution of a commodity such as propane. We analyze this problem for both deterministic and stochastic customer demands and validate our results on data from a real life distribution operation of propane. The analysis based on the present value of the cash flow indicates that optimization of propane deliveries based on efficiency/cost criteria alone will generate inferior solutions and it would be more advantageous for the company to set deliveries for a large percentage of the customers based on the present value of cash flow. In addition, in the case of stochastic demands, deliveries based on the cash flow consideration will tend to reduce the number of stockouts (i.e. improve both profit and service).     

Continuous review inventory models for perishable items ordered in batches

This paper is an in-depth treatment of an inventory control problem with perishable items. We focus on two prototypes of perishability for items that have a common shelflife and that arrive in batches with zero lead time: (i) sudden deaths due to disasters (e.g., spoilage because of extreme weather conditions or a malfunction of the storage place) and (ii) outdating due to expirations (e.g., medicine or food items that have an expiry date). By using known mathematical tools we generalize the stochastic analysis of continuous review (s, S) policies to our problems. This is achieved by integrating with each inventory cycle stopping times that are independent of the inventory level. We introduce special cases of compound Poisson demand processes with negative jumps and consider demands (jumps) that are exponentially distributed or of a unit (i.e., Poisson) demand. For these special cases we derive a closed form expression of the total cost, including that of perishable items, given any order up to level. Since the stochastic analysis leads to tractable expressions only under specific assumptions, as an added benefit we use a fluid approximation of the inventory level to develop efficient heuristics that can be used in general settings. Numerical results comparing the solution of the heuristics with exact or simulated optimal solutions show that the approximation is accurate.     

Stochastic Multiproduct Inventory Models with Limited Storage

This paper studies multiproduct inventory models with stochastic demands and a warehousing constraint. Finite horizon as well as stationary and nonstationary discounted-cost infinite-horizon problems are addressed. Existence of optimal feedback policies is established under fairly general assumptions. Furthermore, the structure of the optimal policies is analyzed when the ordering cost is linear and the inventory/backlog cost is convex. The optimal policies generalize the base-stock policies in the single-product case. Finally, in the stationary infinite-horizon case, a myopic policy is proved to be optimal if the product demands are independent and the cost functions are separable.     

Managing inventory and service levels in a safety stock‐based inventory routing system with stochastic retailer demands

The inherent uncertainty in supply chain systems compels managers to be more perceptive to the stochastic nature of the systems' major parameters, such as suppliers' reliability, retailers' demands, and facility production capacities. To deal with the uncertainty inherent to the parameters of the stochastic supply chain optimization problems and to determine optimal or close to optimal policies, many approximate deterministic equivalent models are proposed. In this paper, we consider the stochastic periodic inventory routing problem modeled as chance‐constrained optimization problem. We then propose a safety stock‐based deterministic optimization model to determine near‐optimal solutions to this chance‐constrained optimization problem. We investigate the issue of adequately setting safety stocks at the supplier's warehouse and at the retailers so that the promised service levels to the retailers are guaranteed, while distribution costs as well as inventory throughout the system are optimized. The proposed deterministic models strive to optimize the safety stock levels in line with the planned service levels at the retailers. Different safety stock models are investigated and analyzed, and the results are illustrated on two comprehensively worked out cases. We conclude this analysis with some insights on how safety stocks are to be determined, allocated, and coordinated in stochastic periodic inventory routing problem. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Easily searched encodings for number partitioning

Can stochastic search algorithms outperform existing deterministic heuristics for the NP-hard problemNumber Partitioning if given a sufficient, but practically realizable amount of time? In a thorough empirical investigation using a straightforward implementation of one such algorithm, simulated annealing, Johnson et al. (Ref. 1) concluded tentatively that the answer is negative. In this paper, we show that the answer can be positive if attention is devoted to the issue of problem representation (encoding). We present results from empirical tests of several encodings ofNumber Partitioning with problem instances consisting of multiple-precision integers drawn from a uniform probability distribution. With these instances and with an appropriate choice of representation, stochastic and deterministic searches can—routinely and in a practical amount of time—find solutions several orders of magnitude better than those constructed by the best heuristic known (Ref. 2), which does not employ searching.     

A multi-space sampling heuristic for the vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands

The vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands consists in designing transportation routes of minimal expected cost to satisfy a set of customers with random demands of known probability distributions. This paper proposes a simple yet effective heuristic approach that uses randomized heuristics for the traveling salesman problem, a tour partitioning procedure, and a set partitioning formulation to sample the solution space and find high-quality solutions for the problem. Computational experiments on benchmark instances from the literature show that the proposed approach is competitive with the state-of-the-art algorithm for the problem in terms of both accuracy and efficiency. In experiments conducted on a set of 40 instances, the proposed approach unveiled four new best-known solutions (BKSs) and matched another 24. For the remaining 12 instances, the heuristic reported average gaps with respect to the BKS ranging from 0.69 to 0.15 % depending on its configuration.