Stability and bifurcation analysis for a discrete-time model of Lotka-Volterra type with delay

A discrete model of Lotka-Volterra type with delay is considered, and a bifurcation analysis is undertaken for the model. We derive the precise conditions ensuring the asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium, with respect to two characteristic parameters of the system. It is shown that for certain values of these parameters, fold or Neimark-Sacker bifurcations occur, but codimension 2 (fold-Neimark-Sacker, double Neimark-Sacker and resonance 1:1) bifurcations may also be present. The direction and the stability of the Neimark-Sacker bifurcations are investigated by applying the center manifold theorem and the normal form theory.     

Bifurcation analysis of a modified Holling-Tanner predator-prey model with time delay

In this paper, a modified Holling-Tanner predator-prey model with time delay is considered. By regarding the delay as the bifurcation parameter, the local asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium is investigated. Meanwhile, we find that the system can also undergo a Hopf bifurcation of nonconstant periodic solution at the positive equilibrium when the delay crosses through a sequence of critical values. In particular, we study the direction of Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcated periodic solutions, an explicit algorithm is given by applying the normal form theory and the center manifold reduction for functional differential equations. Finally, numerical simulations supporting the theoretical analysis are also included.     

Hopf bifurcation analysis for a model of genetic regulatory system with delay

This paper deals with a mathematical model that describe a genetic regulatory system. The model has a delay which affects the dynamics of the system. We investigate the stability switches when the delay varies, and show that Hopf bifurcations may occur within certain range of the model parameters. By combining the normal form method with the center manifold theorem, we are able to determine the direction of the bifurcation and the stability of the bifurcated periodic solutions. Finally, some numerical simulations are carried out to support the analytic results.     

Bottom up and top down effect on toxin producing phytoplankton and its consequence on the formation of plankton bloom

We consider a plankton-nutrient interaction model consisting of phytoplankton, zooplankton and dissolved limiting nutrient with general nutrient uptake functions and instantaneous nutrient recycling. In this model, it is assumed that phytoplankton releases toxic chemical for self defense against their predators. The model system is studied analytically and the threshold values for the existence and stability of various steady states are worked out. It is observed that if the maximal zooplankton conversion rate crosses a certain critical value, the system enters into Hopf bifurcation. Finally it is observed that to control the planktonic bloom and to maintain stability around the coexistence equilibrium we have to control the nutrient input rate specially caused by artificial eutrophication. In case if it is not possible to control the nutrient input rate, one could use toxic phytoplankton to prevent the recurrence bloom.     

Dynamical analysis of a sex-structured Chlamydia trachomatis transmission model with time delay

The effect of using time delay to model the latency period of Chlamydia trachomatis infection is explored, by designing a deterministic two-sex model for Chlamydia transmission dynamics in a population. The resulting delay differential equation model is shown to undergo the phenomenon of backward bifurcation, where a stable disease-free equilibrium co-exists with one or more stable endemic equilibria when the associated reproduction threshold is less than unity. This phenomenon arises due to the re-infection of individuals who recovered from the disease. Using permanence theory, it is shown that Chlamydia will persist in the population whenever the associated reproduction threshold exceeds unity. It is further shown that long latency period could induce positive (decrease disease burden) or negative (increase disease burden) population-level impact depending on the sign of a certain epidemiological threshold quantity and some other conditions. Furthermore, this study shows that adding a time delay (to model the latency period) does not alter the main equilibrium dynamics (with respect to the effective control or persistence of the disease in the community) of the corresponding non-delayed Chlamydia transmission model considered in our earlier study Sharomi and Gumel (2009) [7].     

Codimension-two bifurcation analysis of the continuous stirred tank reactor model with delay

The aim of this paper is to research the dynamical behaviors of the continuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR) model with delay. Firstly, we discuss the situation that its related characteristic equation has a simple zero root and a pair of purely imaginary roots. Secondly, the center manifold method and the normal form method are used to reduce the equation of CSTR model. Finally, some characteristics about the CSTR model can be obtained. We analyze three different topological structure and give entire bifurcation diagrams and phase portraits, which are innovative phenomenon. At the end, we obtain the stable and unstable periodic solutions by numerical simulation.     

A time delay model for the diffusion of a new technology

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model with time delay to describe the process of diffusion of a new technology. This model is suitable for modeling diffusion processes of all those technologies that require great initial investments and public subsidies, such as technologies used for producing renewable energy. We consider external factors, such as the government policy and the production costs, that influence the decision of adoption of the new technology. We also consider the internal influence from adopters. The adoption process is described by a delay differential equation. The time delay represents the evaluation stage at which the potential consumers decide whether to adopt the new technology or not. A qualitative analysis is carried out in order to assess the stability of the equilibrium for certain parameters and to find the final level of adopters.     

Optimal policies for a delay time model with postponed replacement

We develop a delay time model (DTM) to determine the optimal maintenance policy under a novel assumption: postponed replacement. Delay time is defined as the time lapse from the occurrence of a defect up until failure. Inspections can be performed to monitor the system state at non-negligible cost. Most works in the literature assume that instantaneous replacement is enforced as soon as a defect is detected at an inspection. In contrast, we relax this assumption and allow replacement to be postponed for an additional time period. The key motivation is to achieve better utilization of the system’s useful life, and reduce replacement costs by providing a sufficient time window to prepare maintenance resources. We model the preventive replacement cost as a non-increasing function of the postponement interval. We then derive the optimal policy under the modified assumption for a system with exponentially distributed defect arrival time, both for a deterministic delay time and for a more general random delay time. For the settings with a deterministic delay time, we also establish an upper bound on the cost savings that can be attained. A numerical case study is presented to benchmark the benefits of our modified assumption against conventional instantaneous replacement discussed in the literature.     

Existence-uniqueness and monotone approximation for a phytoplankton-zooplankton aggregation model

In this paper, we study a model that describes the dynamics of phytoplankton and zooplankton prey-predator system within the context of phytoplankton aggregation. Existence-uniqueness results of the solution are established via a comparison principle and the upper-lower solution technique. (Received: December 12, 2004)     

基于RBF和PSO的双喉道气动矢量喷管优化设计

本文探索了一种能多变量综合优化的方法,即对喷管进行参数化设计后,用均匀试验设计(UED)将试验样本均匀散布在设计区间内,求出各性能参数后,利用径向基神经网络(RBF)对试验样本进行拟合,再用粒子群算法(PSO)对训练好的神经网络进行寻优,找出了更好的双喉道气动矢量喷管设计参数组合。数值模拟结果显示,优化后的双喉道气动矢量喷管的矢量角有了明显提高。试验表明这种优化方法具有很好的优化能力,可以用来对喷管几何外形进行参数优化。      

Dynamical analysis of a Lotka-Volterra learning-process model

A Lotka-Volterra learning-process model was proposed by Monteiro and Notargiacomo in [{\it Commum. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simulat.} {\bf 47}(2017), 416-420] to approach learning process as an interplay between understanding and doubt. They studied the stability of the boundary equilibria and gave some numerical simulations but no further discussion for bifurcations. In this paper, we study the qualitative properties of the interior equilibria and a singular line segment completely. Moreover, we discuss their bifurcations such as transcritical, pitchfork, Hopf bifurcation on isolated equilibria and transcritical bifurcation without parameters on non-isolated equilibria. Finally, we also demonstrate these analytical theory by numerical simulations.     

一类具时滞SIR传染病模型的动力行为

分析传染病模型的稳定性,并考虑到已感染者对易感染者的作用的时滞影响.文中首先在R_01时,构造一个Lyapunov泛函,证明了无病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性.当R_01时,证明了正平衡点的局部渐近稳定性和持久性.     

Dynamical behavior of a delay virus dynamics model with CTL immune response

In this paper, the dynamical behavior of a virus dynamics model with CTL immune response and time delay is studied. Time delay is used to describe the time between the infected cell and the emission of viral particles on a cellular level. The effect of time delay on stability of the equilibria of the CTL immune response model has been studied and sufficient criteria for local asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium, immune-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium and global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium are given. Some conditions for Hopf bifurcation around immune-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium to occur are also obtained by using the time delay as a bifurcation parameter. Numerical simulation with some hypothetical sets of data has been done to support the analytical findings.     

Asymptotic stability of a mechanical robotics model with damping and delay

In this paper we study the asymptotic stability of a mechanical robotics model with damping and delay. This model yields a certain linear third order delay differential equation. In proving our results we make use of Pontryagin's theory for quasi-polynomials.     

Stability and Hopf bifurcations in a business cycle model with delay

In this paper, a business cycle model with discrete delay is considered. We first investigate the stability of the equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcations, and then the direction and the stability criteria of the bifurcating periodic solutions are obtained by the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. This research has an important theoretical value as well as practical meaning.     

Dynamics of an epidemic model with relapse and delay

In this paper, we consider a new epidemiological model with delay and relapse phenomena. Firstly, a basic reproduction number $R_0$ is identified, which serves as a threshold parameter for the stability of the equilibria of the model. Then, beginning with the delay-free model, the global asymptotic stability of the equilibria is obtained through the construction of suitable Lyapunov functions. For the delay model, the stability of the positive equilibrium and the existence of the local Hopf bifurcation are discussed. Furthermore, the application of the normal form theory and center manifold theorem is used to determine the direction and stability of these Hopf bifurcations. Finally, we shed light on corresponding biological implications from a numerical perspective. It turns out that time delay affects the stability of the positive equilibrium, leading to the occurrence of periodic oscillations and disease recurrence.     

Hopf bifurcation analysis of a general non-linear differential equation with delay

This work represents Hopf bifurcation analysis of a general non-linear differential equation involving time delay. A special form of this equation is the Hutchinson–Wright equation which is a mile stone in the mathematical modeling of population dynamics and mathematical biology. Taking the delay parameter as a bifurcation parameter, Hopf bifurcation analysis is studied by following the theory in the book by Hazzard et al. By analyzing the associated characteristic polynomial, we determine necessary conditions for the linear stability and Hopf bifurcation. In addition to this analysis, the direction of bifurcation, the stability and the period of a periodic solution to this equation are evaluated at a bifurcation value by using the Poincaré normal form and the center manifold theorem. Finally, the theoretical results are supported by numerical simulations.     

Dynamical behaviors on a delay differential neoclassical growth model with patch structure

In this paper, by applying the fluctuation lemma and some differential inequality technique, delay‐dependent criteria are obtained for the global attractivity of a differential neoclassical growth model with patch structure and multiple time‐varying delays. Moreover, some numerical examples are provided to illustrate the validity of the obtained results.     

Permanence and global attractivity of an impulsive delay Logistic model

In this paper, we consider an impulsive delay Logistic model. First by mathematical analysis, we obtain the maximum and minimum values of solutions of the corresponding autonomous Logistic model. Then by applying the comparison theorem and constructing some suitable Lyapunov functionals, we discuss the permanence and the global attractivity of the model, based on the boundedness of solutions of the corresponding autonomous Logistic model. An example together with its numerical simulation is given to verify our main result.     

Asymptotic properties of an HIV/AIDS model with a time delay

A mathematical model for HIV/AIDS with explicit incubation period is presented as a system of discrete time delay differential equations and its important mathematical features are analysed. The disease-free and endemic equilibria are found and their local stability investigated. We use the Lyapunov functional approach to show the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. Qualitative analysis of the model including positivity and boundedness of solutions, and persistence are also presented. The HIV/AIDS model is numerically analysed to asses the effects of incubation period on the dynamics of HIV/AIDS and the demographic impact of the epidemic using the demographic and epidemiological parameters for Zimbabwe.