Large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums of independent random variables with dominatedly varying tails

We prove large deviation results on the partial and random sums Sn = ∑i=1n Xi,n≥1; S(t) = ∑i=1N(t) Xi, t≥0, where {N(t);t≥0} are non-negative integer-valued random variables and {Xn;n≥1} are independent non-negative random variables with distribution, Fn, of Xn, independent of {N(t); t≥0}. Special attention is paid to the distribution of dominated variation.     

关于重尾随机和大偏差的一个注记

设｛Xκ，κ≥1｝为一列独立同分布的非随机变量，且具有共同的分布函数F。记Sn为序列｛Xκ，κ≥1｝的前n项部分和。在F属于ERV分布族的假定下，文中证明了关于随机和SN(t)的随机中心化的精细大偏差结果。这里N（t）为一个与｛Xκ，κ≥1｝独立的非负整数值的随机过程。     

关于大偏差概率的一个界

研究得到了关于随机和S(t)=∑N(t)i=1Xi,t≥0大偏差的幂的一个界,其中(N(t))t≥0是一族非负整值随机变量,(Xn)n∈N是独立同分布的随机变量,其共同的分布函数是F与(N(t))t≥0独立.本结论是在假设分布函数F的右尾属于ERV族的情况下得到的.     

Precise large deviations for a customer-based individual risk model

In this paper,we propose a customer-based individual risk model,in which potential claims by customers are described as i.i.d.heavy-tailed random variables,but different insurance policy holders are allowed to have different probabilities to make actual claims.Some precise large deviation results for the prospective-loss process are derived under certain mild assumptions,with emphasis on the case of heavy-tailed distribution function class ERV(extended regular variation).Lundberg type limiting results on the finite time ruin probabilities are also investigated.     

Tails of random sums of a heavy-tailed number of light-tailed terms

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a random number of claims. If the tail of the claim number is heavier than the tail of the claim sizes, then under certain conditions the tail of the total claim size does not change asymptotically if the individual claim sizes are replaced by their expectations. The conditions allow the claim number distribution to be of consistent variation or to be in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel distribution with a mean excess function that grows to infinity sufficiently fast. Moreover, the claim number is not necessarily required to be independent of the claim sizes.     

Large Deviations for Sums of Independent Heavy-Tailed Random Variables

We obtain precise large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums , of independent random variables. are nonnegative integer-valued random variables independent of r.v. (X _i )i N with distribution functions F _i. We assume that the average of right tails of distribution functions F _i is equivalent to some distribution function with regularly varying tail. An example with the Pareto law as the limit function is given.     

风险模型中重尾随机变量和的若干大偏差结果

进一步研究随机变量部分和与随机和的大偏差,其中S(n)=∑ni=1Xi,S(t)=∑N(t)i=1Xi(t>0).{Xn,n≥1}是一个独立同分布的随机变量(未必是非负的)序列具有共同的分布F(定义于R上)和有限期望μ=EX1.{N(t),t≥0}是一个非负的整数值的随机变量的更新计数过程且与{Xn,n≥1}相互独立.本文在假定F∈C条件下,进一步推广并改进了由Klüppelberg等和Kaiw等人给出的一些大偏差结果.这些结果可应用到某些金融保险方面的一些特定的问题中去.     

Moderate Deviations for Random Sums of Heavy-Tailed Random Variables

Let {Xn;n≥ 1} be a sequence of independent non-negative random variables with common distribution function F having extended regularly varying tail and finite mean μ = E（X1） and let {N（t）; t ≥0} be a random process taking non-negative integer values with finite mean λ（t） = E（N（t）） and independent of {Xn; n ≥1}. In this paper, asymptotic expressions of P（（X1 ＋… ＋XN（t）） -λ（t）μ 〉 x） uniformly for x ∈[γb（t）, ∞） are obtained, where γ〉 0 and b（t） can be taken to be a positive function with limt→∞ b（t）/λ（t） = 0.     

A property of the renewal counting process with application to the finite-time ruin probability

We consider the renewal counting process , where θ ₁ , θ ₂ ,… are nonnegative independent identically distributed nondegenerate random variables with finite mean. The asymptotics for the tail of the exponential moment are derived. The obtained results are applied to the finite-time ruin probability in a renewal risk model.     

A unified approach to the large deviations for small perturbations of random evolution equations

LetX ^ɛ = {X ^ɛ (t ; 0 ⩽t ⩽ 1 } (ɛ > 0) be the processes governed by the following stochastic differential equations:

On large deviations for sums of random vectors in Rk

The paper deals with limit theorems for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent identically distributed random vectors. We give more detailed bounds for the remainder in von Bahr's limit theorem. New asymptotic formulas for probabilities of large deviations on the outside of balls are established.     

Precise large deviations for widely orthant dependent random variables with dominatedly varying tails

For the widely orthant dependent (WOD) structure, this paper mainly investigates the precise large deviations for the partial sums ofWOD and non-identically distributed random variables with dominatedly varying tails. The obtained results extend some corresponding results.     

Large deviations for generalized compound Poisson risk models and its bankruptcy moments

We extend the classical compound Poisson risk model to the case where the premium income process, based on a Poisson process, is no longer a linear function. For this more realistic risk model, Lundberg type limiting results on the finite time ruin probabilities are derived. Asymptotic behaviour of the tail probabilities of the claim surplus process is also investigated.     

Large Deviations for Random Sums on Some Kind of Heavy-tailed Classes in Risk Models

This paper is a further investigation into the large deviations for random sums of heavy-tailed,we extended and improved some results in ref. [1] and [2]. These results can applied to some questions in Insurance and Finance.     

Ruin probability of the renewal model with risky investment and large claims

The ruin probability of the renewal risk model with investment strategy for a capital market index is investigated in this paper. For claim sizes with common distribution of extended regular variation, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability. As a corollary, we establish a simple asymptotic formula for the ruin probability for the case of Pareto-like claims. This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10571167, 70501028), the Beijing Sustentation Fund for Elitist (Grant No. 20071D1600800421), the National Social Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 05&ZD008) and the Research Grant of Renmin University of China (Grant No. 08XNA001)     

Tail behavior of random sums under consistent variation with applications to the compound renewal risk model

In this paper, we consider the random sums of i.i.d. random variables ξ ₁,ξ ₂,... with consistent variation. Asymptotic behavior of the tail P(ξ₁ + ... + ξ_η > x), where η is independent of ξ ₁,ξ ₂,..., is obtained for different cases of the interrelationships between the tails of ξ ₁ and η. Applications to the asymptotic behavior of the finite-time ruin probability ψ(x,t) in a compound renewal risk model, earlier introduced by Tang et al. (Stat Probab Lett 52, 91–100 (2001)), are given. The asymptotic relations, as initial capital x increases, hold uniformly for t in a corresponding region. These asymptotic results are illustrated in several examples.      

关于更新风险模型中破产概率的若干结果

进一步研究了更新风险模型中破产概率的问题，在假定索赔额分布是重尾时，证明了若干重要结果，得到了与经典的Crammer—Lunderberg模型相一致的结论．并义推广和改进了部分已有文献中的结果。