Asymptotic solving method for seaben air coupled oscillator ENSO model

The ENSO is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere interaction. In this article, we create an asymptotic solving method for the nonlinear system of the ENSO model. The asymptotic solution is obtained. And then we can furnish weather forecasts theoretically and other behaviors and rules for the atmosphere-ocean oscillator of the ENSO.     

Perturbation method of studying the EI Nifio oscillation with two parameters by using the delay sea-air oscillator model

The EI Nio-southern oscillation (ENSO) is an interannual phenomenon involved in tropical Pacific oceanatmosphere interactions. In this paper, we develop an asymptotic method of solving the nonlinear equation using the ENSO model. Based on a class of the oscillator of the ENSO model, a approximate solution of the corresponding problem is studied employing the perturbation method.     

Perturbation method of studying the EI Niño oscillation with two parameters using delay sea—air oscillator model

The EI Niño-southern oscillation (ENSO) is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere interactions. In this paper, we develop an asymptotic method of solving the nonlinear equation using the ENSO model. Based on a class of oscillator of the ENSO model, a approximate solution of the corresponding problem is studied employing the perturbation method.     

Asymptotic solution for a class of sea-air oscillator model for El Nin^～o-southern oscillation

The El Nifio-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific Oceanatmosphere interactions. In this paper, an asymptotic method of solving the nonlinear equation for the ENSO model is used. And based on a class of oscillator of ENSO model, the approximate solution of a corresponding problem is studied by employing the perturbation method. Firstly, an ENSO model of nonlinear time delay equation of equatorial Pacific is introduced, Secondly, by using the perturbed method, the zeroth and first order asymptotic perturbed solutions are constructed. Finally, from the comparison of the values for a figure, it is seen that the first asymptotic perturbed solution using the perturbation method has a good accuracy. And it is proved from the results that the perturbation method can be used as an analytic operation for the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific of the atmosphere-ocean oscillation for the ENSO model.     

Asymptotic solving method for a seaben air oscillator model of atmospheric physics

In this paper, a class of coupled system for the El Ni no/La Ni na southern oscillation (ENSO) atmospheric physics oscillation model is considered. We propose an ENSO atmospheric physics model using a method from the asymptotic theory. It is indicated from the results that the asymptotic method can be used for analyzing the sea surface temperature anomaly and the thermocline depth anomaly of the atmosphere-ocean oscillation for the ENSO model in the equatorial Pacific.     

Asymptotic solution for the El Ni no time delay seaben air oscillator model

A sea—air oscillator model is studied using the time delay theory. The aim is to find an asymptotic solving method for the El Ni no-southern oscillation (ENSO) model. Employing the perturbed method, an asymptotic solution of the corresponding problem is obtained. Thus we can obtain the prognoses of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly and the related physical quantities.     

ENSO事件随机动力学模型的渐近分析

利用边界层型函数，研究了ENSO事件随机动力学的某一模型，给出了这一问题的n阶渐 近展开式，将相关结论应用于特殊的ENSO事件，并得到了零阶渐近解，为分析ENSO事件的变 化状态提供了依据. 关键词： ENSO事件 边界层型函数 渐近展开式     

Singularly perturbed solution of a sea--air oscillator model for the ENSO

A time delay equation for the sea--air oscillator model is studied. The aim is to create an asymptotic solving method of nonlinear equation for the El Ni\tilde{\rm n}o--Southern Oscillation model. And based on a class of oscillators of the model, employing the method of ENSO singular perturbation, the asymptotic solution of corresponding problem is obtained. It is proven from the results that the method of singular perturbation can be used for analysing the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific of the atmosphere--ocean oscillation for ENSO model.     

Homotopic method of solving a class of EI Nino/La Nina-Southern Oscillation sea-air oscillator

The EI Nino/La Nina-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific Ocean-atmosphere interactions. In this paper, an asymptotic method of solving the nonlinear equation for the ENSO model is created. And based on a class of oscillator of the ENSO model, the approximate solution of a corresponding problem is studied by employing the method of homotopic mapping. It is proved from the results that the homotopic method can be used for analysing the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific and the thermocline depth anomaly of the atmosphere-ocean oscillation for the ENSO model.     

一类厄尔尼诺时滞海-气振子摄动解

研究了一类厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的时滞振子耦合系统. 利用时滞理论, 摄动等方法求出了ENSO模型解的渐近式,并讨论了相应问题的渐近性态. 关键词： 非线性 摄动 ENSO模型     

赤道东太平洋厄尔尼诺—南方海涛机制的同伦解法

厄尔尼诺—南方海涛(ENSO)是涉及到赤道太平洋中的一个年际现象。本文的目的是建立一个ENSO模型的非线性方程的渐近求解方法。并在一类ENSO模型振子的基础上，借用同伦映射方法研究了对应问题的近似解。由同伦方法得到的结果去分析ENSO模型的赤道东太平洋的SST变异和气-海振子的温度深度变异。     

Variational iteration method for solving the mechanism of the Equatorial Eastern Pacific El Nino-Southern Oscillation

A class of coupled system for the E1 Nifio-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） mechanism is studied. Using the method of variational iteration for perturbation theory, the asymptotic expansions of the solution for ENSO model are obtained and the asymptotic behaviour of solution for corresponding problem is considered.     

Disturbed solution of the El Ni?no-southern oscillation sea–air delayed oscillator

A class of delayed oscillators of El Ni?o-southern oscillation (ENSO) models is considered. Using the delayed theory, the perturbed theory and other methods, the asymptotic expansions of the solutions for ENSO models are obtained and the asymptotic behaviour of solution of corresponding problem is studied.     

The homotopic mapping method for sea-air oscillator model of interdecadal climate fluctuations

The E1 Nifio/La Nifia Southern Oscillation （ENSO） is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere interactions. In this paper, a coupled system of sea-air oscillator model is studied. The aim is to create an asymptotic solving method of nonlinear equation for the ENSO model. And based on a class of oscillators of ENSO model, employing the method of homotopic mapping, the approximate solution of corresponding problem is studied. It is proven from the results that the homotopic method can be used for analysing the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific and the thermocline depth anomaly of the atmosphere-ocean oscillation for ENSO model.     

Asymptotic solution of a sea--air oscillator for ENSO mechanism

The EI Ni\~{n}o/La Ni\~{n}a--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an interannual phenomenon involved in the tropical Pacific ocean--atmosphere interactions. In this paper, a class of coupled system of the ENSO mechanism is considered. Based on a class of oscillator of ENSO model, the asymptotic solution of a corresponding problem is studied by employing the approximate method. It is proved from the results that the perturbation method can be used for analysing the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific and the thermocline depth anomaly of the atmosphere--ocean oscillation for the ENSO model.     

厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜-南方涛动非线性扰动模型孤子的渐近解法

研究了一类厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜-南方涛动(ENSO)随机扰动模型. 首先, 利用特殊的待定系数方法得到了无扰动ENSO模型下的孤子精确解. 然后利用渐近理论和方法构造了随机扰动ENSO模型的近似解, 并举例说明得到的渐近解具有较好的精度.     

海-气振子厄尔尼诺-南方涛动模型的近似解

研究了一类厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的时滞耦合系统振荡的模型.利用同伦映射方法求出了ENSO模型解的渐近展开式,并讨论了相应问题的渐近性态。     

一类厄尔尼诺海-气振子机理的摄动解

研究了一类厄尔尼诺-南方海涛(ENSO)机理耦合系统振荡.利用摄动理论和方法，较简便地得到了一类ENSO模型解的一致有效的渐近展开式. 关键词： 非线性 摄动理论 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动模型     

ENSO非线性模型的摄动解

研究了一类ENSO摄动模型.利用摄动理论和方法，构造了相应问题的渐近展开式. 关键词： 非线性 摄动 ENSO模型     

Low-dimensional nonlinearity of ENSO and its impact on predictability

Using a hybrid coupled model, we perform a bred vector (BV) analysis and retrospective ENSO (El Niño and the Southern Oscillation) forecast for the period from 1881 to 2000. The BV local dimension and BV-skewness inherent to the intensity of nonlinearity are analyzed. Emphasis is placed on exploring the nature of the low-dimensional nonlinearity of the ENSO system and the relationship between BV-skewness and model prediction skills. The results show that ENSO is a low-dimensional nonlinear system, and the BV-skewness is a good measure of its predictability at the decadal/interdecadal time scales. As the low-dimensional nonlinearity of ENSO is weakened, high predictability is attained, and vice versa. The low-dimensional nonlinearity of ENSO is also investigated and verified using observations.Another finding in this study is the relationship between the error growth rate (BV-rate) and actual prediction skill. While there is a good positive correlation between them in some decades, the BV-rate demonstrates a strong inverse correlation with the prediction skill in other decades. The BV-rate components contributed by the nonlinear process play a dominant role in quantifying ENSO predictability. The possible mechanism for the link between BV-rate, BV-skewness and ENSO predictability is discussed.