广义Lorenz 曲线的非参数统计推断

本文讨论了广义Lorenz 曲线的经验似然统计推断. 在简单随机抽样、分层随机抽样和整群随机抽样下, 本文分别定义了广义Lorenz 坐标的pro le 经验似然比统计量, 得出这些经验似然比的极限分布为带系数的自由度为1 的χ² 分布. 对于整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法类似地得出相应的极限过程. 根据所得的经验似然理论, 本文给出了bootstrap 经验似然置信区间构造方法, 并通过数据模拟, 对新给出的广义Lorenz 坐标的bootstrap 经验似然置信区间与渐近正态置信区间以及bootstrap 置信区间等进行了对比研究. 对整个Lorenz 曲线, 基于经验似然方法对其置信域也进行了模拟研究. 最后我们将所推荐的置信区间应用到实例中.     

Confidence Intervals and Accuracy Estimation for Heavy-Tailed Generalized Pareto Distributions

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a two-parameter family of distributions which can be used to model exceedances over a threshold. We compare the empirical coverage of some standard bootstrap and likelihood-based confidence intervals for the parameters and upper p-quantiles of the GPD. Simulation results indicate that none of the bootstrap methods give satisfactory intervals for small sample sizes. By applying a general method of D. N. Lawley, correction factors for likelihood ratio statistics of parameters and quantiles of the GPD have been calculated. Simulations show that for small sample sizes accuracy of confidence intervals can be improved by incorporating the computed correction factors to the likelihood-based confidence intervals. While the modified likelihood method has better empirical coverage probability, the mean length of produced intervals are not longer than corresponding bootstrap confidence intervals. This article also investigates the performance of some bootstrap methods for estimation of accuracy measures of maximum likelihood estimators of parameters and quantiles of the GPD.     

Efficient empirical-likelihood-based inferences for the single-index model

This article proposes the efficient empirical-likelihood-based inferences for the single component of the parameter and the link function in the single-index model. Unlike the existing empirical likelihood procedures for the single-index model, the proposed profile empirical likelihood for the parameter is constructed by using some components of the maximum empirical likelihood estimator (MELE) based on a semiparametric efficient score. The empirical-likelihood-based inference for the link function is also considered. The resulting statistics are proved to follow a standard chi-squared limiting distribution. Simulation studies are undertaken to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed confidence intervals. An application to real data set is illustrated.     

具有随机右删失随机变量分位数的经验似然推断

本文研究了具有随机右删失随机变量分位数的置信域的构造.利用经验似然和截尾值估算相结合的方法,给出了分位数的对数经验似然比统计量,在较少的条件下证明了该统计量的极限分布为自由度为1的x~2分布.使得完全数据下的分位数的经验似然推断方法应用到非完全数据中.     

Empirical likelihood method for multivariate Cox regression

A unified empirical likelihood approach for three Cox-type marginal models dealing with multiple event times, recurrent event times and clustered event times is proposed. The resulting log-empirical likelihood ratio test statistics are shown to possess chi-squared limiting distributions. When making inferences, there is no need to solve estimating equations nor to estimate limiting covariance matrices. The optimal linear combination property for over-identified empirical likelihood is preserved by the proposed method and the property can be used to improve estimation efficiency. In addition, an adjusted empirical likelihood approach is applied to reduce the error rates of the proposed empirical likelihood ratio tests. The adjusted empirical likelihood tests could outperform the existing Wald tests for small to moderate sample sizes. The proposed approach is illustrated by extensive simulation studies and two real examples.     

分数填补下两非参数总体一般差异的经验似然置信区间

在一定的条件下证明了缺失数据情形基于分数填补方法得到的两非参数总体一般差异指标的经验似然比统计量的渐近分布为加权χ21,由此可构造差异指标的经验似然置信区间.     

Empirical Likelihood Semiparametric Regression Analysis under Random Censorship

This paper considers large sample inference for the regression parameter in a partly linear model for right censored data. We introduce an estimated empirical likelihood for the regression parameter and show that its limiting distribution is a mixture of central chi-squared distributions. A Monte Carlo method is proposed to approximate the limiting distribution. This enables one to make empirical likelihood-based inference for the regression parameter. We also develop an adjusted empirical likelihood method which only appeals to standard chi-square tables. Finite sample performance of the proposed methods is illustrated in a simulation study.     

相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断

本文利用了强平稳$m-$相依序列的特殊性质,讨论了$m-$相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断, 给出了似然比统计量的极限分布,可构造参数的经验似然置信区间. 并且通过模拟计算来说明有限样本下应用经验似然方法的合理性.     

Corrected empirical likelihood inference for right-censored partially linear single-index model

This article deals with the inference on a right-censored partially linear single-index model (RCPLSIM). The main focus is the local empirical likelihood-based inference on the nonparametric part in RCPLSIM. With a synthetic data approach, an empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the nonparametric part is defined and it is shown that its limiting distribution is not a central chi-squared distribution. To increase the accuracy of the confidence interval, we also propose a corrected empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the nonparametric function. The resulting statistic is proved to follow a standard chi-squared limiting distribution. Simulation studies are undertaken to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed confidence intervals. A real example is also considered.     

核实数据下响应变量缺失的线性EV模型经验似然推断

考虑响应变量随机缺失而协变量带有误差的线性模型,借助于核实数据和借补方法,构造了回归系数的两种经验似然比,证明了所提出的估计的经验对数似然比渐近于一个自由度为1的独立χ2变量的加权和;而经调整后所得的调整经验对数似然比渐近于自由度为p的χ2分布,该结果可以用来构造未知参数的置信域.此外,我们也构造了响应均值的调整经验对数似然比统计量,并证明了所提出的统计量渐近于x2分布,可用此结果构造响应均值的置信域.通过模拟研究比较了置信域的精度及其平均区间长度.     

Estimation for nearly unit root processes with GARCH errors

In this paper the limiting distribution of the least square estimate for the autoregressive coefficient of a nearly unit root model with GARCH errors is derived. Since the limiting distribution depends on the unknown variance of the errors, an empirical likelihood ratio statistic is proposed from which confidence intervals can be constructed for the nearly unit root model without knowing the variance. To gain an intuitive sense for the empirical likelihood ratio, a small simulation for the asymptotic distribution is given.     

Empirical likelihood for semiparametric regression model with missing response data

A bias-corrected technique for constructing the empirical likelihood ratio is used to study a semiparametric regression model with missing response data. We are interested in inference for the regression coefficients, the baseline function and the response mean. A class of empirical likelihood ratio functions for the parameters of interest is defined so that undersmoothing for estimating the baseline function is avoided. The existing data-driven algorithm is also valid for selecting an optimal bandwidth. Our approach is to directly calibrate the empirical log-likelihood ratio so that the resulting ratio is asymptotically chi-squared. Also, a class of estimators for the parameters of interest is constructed, their asymptotic distributions are obtained, and consistent estimators of asymptotic bias and variance are provided. Our results can be used to construct confidence intervals and bands for the parameters of interest. A simulation study is undertaken to compare the empirical likelihood with the normal approximation-based method in terms of coverage accuracies and average lengths of confidence intervals. An example for an AIDS clinical trial data set is used for illustrating our methods.     

线性混合效应模型的正交经验似然推断

基于经验似然方法和QR分解技术, 对线性混合效应模型提出了一个基于正交经验似然的估计方法. 在一些正则条件下, 证明了所提出的经验对数似然比函数渐近服从卡方分布, 进而给出了模型固定效应的置信区间估计. 所提出估计过程不受模型随机效应的影响, 进而保证了所给出的估计是比较有效的. 一些数值模拟和实例分析进一步表明了所提出的估计方法是行之有效的.     

基于混合Ⅱ型删失数据的Weibull模型精确推断和可接受抽样计划(英文)

本文考虑基于混合Ⅱ型删失数据的Weibull模型精确推断和可接受抽样计划.得到威布尔分布未知参数最大似然估计的精确分布以及基于精确分布的置信区间.由于精确分布函数较为复杂,给出未知参数的另外几种置信区间,基于近似方法的置信区间.为了评价本文的方法,给出一些数值模拟的结果.且讨论了可靠性中的可接受抽样计划问题.利用参数最大似然估计的精确分布,给出一个可接受抽样计划的执行程序和数值模拟结果.     

Empirical likelihood for first-order mixed integer-valued autoregressive model

In this paper, we not only construct the confidence region for parameters in a mixed integer-valued autoregressive process using the empirical likelihood method, but also establish the empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic and obtain its limiting distribution. And then, via simulation studies we give coverage probabilities for the parameters of interest. The results show that the empirical likelihood method performs very well.     

基于混合Ⅰ型删失数据的威布尔模型精确推断（英文）

威布尔分布是可靠性和寿命测试试验中常用的模型.本文中,我们考虑了基于混合Ⅰ型删失数据的威布尔模型精确推断.我们得到了威布尔分布未知参数最大似然估计的精确分布以及基于精确分布的置信区间.由于精确分布函数较为复杂,我们也给出了未知参数的另外几种置信区间,比如,基于近似方法的置信区间,Bootstrap置信区间.为了评价本文的方法,我们给出了一些数值模拟的结果.     

Empirical likelihood for linear models with missing responses

The purpose of this article is to use an empirical likelihood method to study the construction of confidence intervals and regions for the parameters of interest in linear regression models with missing response data. A class of empirical likelihood ratios for the parameters of interest are defined such that any of our class of ratios is asymptotically chi-squared. Our approach is to directly calibrate the empirical log-likelihood ratio, and does not need multiplication by an adjustment factor for the original ratio. Also, a class of estimators for the parameters of interest is constructed, and the asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators are obtained. Our results can be used directly to construct confidence intervals and regions for the parameters of interest. A simulation study indicates that the proposed methods are comparable in terms of coverage probabilities and average lengths/areas of confidence intervals/regions. An example of a real data set is used for illustrating our methods.     

Statistical inference for the Weitzman overlapping coefficient in a family of distributions

A usual problem in applied statistics is the one related to the estimation of the common area under two distributions, which is usually estimated by means of an overlapping coefficient. Particularly, for the Weitzman overlapping coefficient, we found that it is possible to provide a general expression that facilitates making inferences on this coefficient, for many distributions. This expression depends only on two parameters which are actually functions of the parameters of the selected models, among which we can mention the exponential, Weibull, Gumbel, Fréchet and some other distributions that arise under certain transformations of an exponential random variable. The simplicity of our unifying proposal is illustrated considering three well known distributions that have been individually analyzed in statistical literature. To illustrate the performance of the likelihood confidence intervals obtained for this overlapping coefficient, under our proposal, we carried out some simulation studies that yielded adequate coverage frequencies, and just for the sake of comparison we also computed Bootstrap confidence intervals. A real data set is analyzed to exemplify our proposal.     

Empirical likelihood inferences for semiparametric instrumental variable models

This paper studies the empirical likelihood inferences for a class of semiparametric instrumental variable models. We focus on the case that some covariates are endogenous variables, and some auxiliary instrumental variables are available. An instrumental variable based empirical likelihood method is proposed, and it is shown that the proposed empirical log-likelihood ratio is asymptotically chi-squared. Then, the confidence intervals for the regression coefficients are constructed. Some simulation studies are undertaken to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed empirical likelihood procedure.     

Semiparametric analysis in double-sampling designs via empirical likelihood

Double-sampling designs are commonly used in real applications when it is infeasible to collect exact measurements on all variables of interest. Two samples, a primary sample on proxy measures and a validation subsample on exact measures, are available in these designs. We assume that the validation sample is drawn from the primary sample by the Bernoulli sampling with equal selection probability. An empirical likelihood based approach is proposed to estimate the parameters of interest. By allowing the number of constraints to grow as the sample size goes to infinity, the resulting maximum empirical likelihood estimator is asymptotically normal and its limiting variance-covariance matrix reaches the semiparametric efficiency bound. Moreover, the Wilks-type result of convergence to chi-squared distribution for the empirical likelihood ratio based test is established. Some simulation studies are carried out to assess the finite sample performances of the new approach.