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1.
Decision workshops, sometimes called decision conferences, help a group of decision makers gain a shared understanding of a decision problem, analyse issues and commit to an action plan under the guidance of an experienced facilitator. This work seeks to identify best practice in the early stages of the facilitation of such workshops when the emphasis is placed on problem structuring and the main issues of a complex decision problem are identified and explored. Four decision workshops, based on the same hypothetical scenario but facilitated by a different person, were organized. Video material of the simulated workshops was analysed to compare and contrast the facilitated meetings including the problem structuring methods used. A framework for studying facilitation practices emerged. The effect of a facilitator on the structuring of the problem, the group decision process and the outcome of the workshop was studied. The results of the work indicate that a facilitator's style and approach to the workshop may have an impact on the action plan devised. Further research is required to generalize the findings of our work.  相似文献   

2.
The European Union’s efforts for poverty reduction are based on the principle of Sustainable Human Development. Meeting the terms of this principle entails the consideration of aspects of general interest, known as “cross-cutting issues”, at all levels of intervention. Cross-cutting issues comprise issues like human rights, gender equity, environmental concern, democracy as a social value, or the participation and empowerment of the beneficiaries of development. These issues concern social phenomena that are difficult to isolate in time or capture empirically, causing operational difficulties when projects are subjected to evaluation. Traditional methods of project evaluation, such as Cost Benefit Analysis or the Logic Framework, struggle to incorporate impacts that are difficult to measure or estimate in terms of indicators or monetary value. Therefore, in the field work at a rural development programme located in Bolivia, a need arose spontaneously to find and implement an approach that, complementary to traditional methods of project evaluation, could allow project managers to keep an eye on project performances in terms of cross-cutting issues. This article describes how the MACBETH multicriteria approach was implemented in practice, in order to help an important rural development programme build a project evaluation tool, taking into account cross-cutting issues through a series of interviews and decision conferences attended by specialists and the programme staff.  相似文献   

3.
This paper provides an empirical study based on action research in which expert and novice facilitators in facilitated modelling workshops are compared. There is limited empirical research analysing the differences between expert and novice facilitators. Aiming to address this gap we study the behaviour of one expert and two novice facilitators during a Viable System Model workshop. The findings suggest common facilitation patterns in the behaviour of experts and novices. This contrasts literature claiming that experts and novices behave and use their available knowledge differently, and empirically supports the claim that facilitation skills can be taught to participants to enable them to self-facilitate workshops. Differences were also found, which led to the introduction of a new dimension—‘internal versus external’ facilitation. The implications of our findings for effective training and facilitation strategies in contexts in which external, expert facilitation is not always possible are also discussed, and limitations of this study are provided.  相似文献   

4.
The paper describes the development of the Operational Research Group at the National Institute of Agricultural Engineering from its formation in 1969. The initial projects produced some models which are still of use now, notably a linear programme of grass-cutting/grazing and a combine-harvesting model. The projects changed into evaluations of research projects in other departments at the Institute, leading to general models of dairy-cow feeding, forage conservation, machinery costing and an arable-farm model. The projects have evolved now into studies of broader areas which are usually less contentious. Many of the models developed can also aid decision making in agriculture generally, and several are now available from the Group as interactive microcomputer programs.  相似文献   

5.
This paper discusses the use of multi-criteria decision analysis for supporting strategic decision making in organisations. It begins by exploring the notions of strategic decisions and the strategic decision-making process. We suggest that structuring strategic objectives, dealing with high levels of uncertainty about the future, as well as considering the interconnectedness of strategic options and their long-term consequences are key aspects of strategic decision making support. We then consider the discursive nature of the processes within which strategic decisions are created and negotiated. Our exploration of these concepts leads us to propose a number of adaptations to the standard multi-criteria decision analysis approach, if it were to provide effective strategic decision support, particularly in strategy workshops. We make suggestions on how to implement these proposals, and illustrate their potential with examples drawn from real-world interventions in which we have provided strategic decision support.  相似文献   

6.
This paper contributes a new methodology called Waste And Source-matter ANalyses (WASAN) which supports a group in building agreeable actions for safely minimising avoidable waste. WASAN integrates influences from the Operational Research (OR) methodologies/philosophies of Problem Structuring Methods, Systems Thinking, simulation modelling and sensitivity analysis as well as industry approaches of Waste Management Hierarchy, Hazard Operability (HAZOP) Studies and As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP). The paper shows how these influences are compiled into facilitative structures that support managers in developing recommendations on how to reduce avoidable waste production. WASAN is being designed as Health and Safety Executive Guidance on what constitutes good decision making practice for the companies that manage nuclear sites. In this paper we report and reflect on its use in two soft OR/problem structuring workshops conducted on radioactive waste in the nuclear industry.  相似文献   

7.
Information System (IS) project selection is a critical decision making task that can significantly impact operational excellence and competitive advantage of modern enterprises and also can involve them in a long-term commitment. This decision making is complicated due to availability of numerous IS projects, their increasing complexities, importance of timely decisions in a dynamic environment, as well as existence of multiple qualitative and quantitative criteria. This paper proposes a Data Envelopment Analysis approach to find most efficient IS projects while considering subjective opinions and intuitive senses of decision makers. The proposed approach is validated by a real world case study involving 41 IS projects at a large financial institution as well as 18 artificial projects which are defined by the decision makers.  相似文献   

8.
9.
While the facilitated modelling literature recognises the importance of the group process within facilitated modelling workshops, published empirical research rarely examines their dynamic nature. In this paper, we address this gap in the literature in two ways. First, we propose to locate facilitated modelling workshops as the main focus of investigation, and adopt decision development as the analytical lens. Second, we provide guidance regarding how to implement a research strategy that is informed by such a focus. We start by mapping the different conceptualisations of decision development that seem embedded within the facilitated modelling tradition, and contrast them with theoretical models from the group communication field. Our analysis identifies a number of potentially useful areas for the study of facilitated modelling workshops from a decision development perspective, and articulates a number tentative research questions and testable propositions amenable to empirical research. Central to our proposal are research methods for the study of dynamic group processes. We thus discuss the steps required to extract group process data from facilitated modelling workshops that are usable and open to analysis. This includes a review of issues regarding research design, coding scheme development, data coding and choice of analytical techniques. Finally, we offer conclusions and briefly discuss some feasibility issues related to the implementation of our proposal.  相似文献   

10.
在Becker时间配置模型基础上,构建农村居民在城镇化进程中的行为决策模型,农村入口时间资源分配在农村活动、城市活动、教育活动和闲暇上,根据福利水平最大化的基本原则,分析农村人口城市化决策中影响因素.解释了农村人口城镇化和逆城镇化现象,发现城乡差异、教育影响、时间间接成本等因素是影响人们时间效率的主要因素,为提高全民福利水平,政府的农村政策应以增加农民收入为主,城市政策集中于城市基础设施和公共服务布局合理性方面.  相似文献   

11.
The risks and uncertainties inherent in most enterprise resources planning (ERP) investment projects are vast. Decision making in multistage ERP projects investment is also complex, due mainly to the uncertainties involved and the various managerial and/or physical constraints to be enforced. This paper tackles the problem using a real-option analysis framework, and applies multistage stochastic integer programming in formulating an analytical model whose solution will yield optimum or near-optimum investment decisions for ERP projects. Traditionally, such decision problems were tackled using lattice simulation or finite difference methods to compute the value of simple real options. However, these approaches are incapable of dealing with the more complex compound real options, and their use is thus limited to simple real-option analysis. Multistage stochastic integer programming is particularly suitable for sequential decision making under uncertainty, and is used in this paper and to find near-optimal strategies for complex decision problems. Compared with the traditional approaches, multistage stochastic integer programming is a much more powerful tool in evaluating such compound real options. This paper describes the proposed real-option analysis model and uses an example case study to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.  相似文献   

12.
Problems related to the management of construction projects are addressed in many studies. Falling behind schedule and being over budget are examples of bad results, due to the uncertainties and the dynamic environment of the construction process. This study proposes a decision model for helping project managers to focus on the main tasks of a project network during the life cycle of a project based on a MCDA (multiple criteria decision analysis) method. The model assigns priorities classes to activities in project management, taking into account several points of view. The model is based on the ELECTRE TRI-C method, which permits activities to be assigned to categories. As the environment is very dynamic, the model was built taking into consideration changes that may occur while a project is being carried out, and therefore the model must be reassessed during the project life cycle. Furthermore, the model supports a decision making environment where responsibilities are distributed amongst project team members and it brings the benefit of developing disciplines that lead to the team??s greater effectiveness. An application of the model, based on a realistic situation, is presented in the context of a construction project in order to demonstrate the use of the model. The results show that by using the model, managers can improve their performance with regard to controlling project activities.  相似文献   

13.
本通过建立一个数学模型对高技术企业的创新决策问题进行了具体分析,认为经济原因(利益)是其创新激励的主要源泉,高技术企业可以通过选择只生产一种核心产品的所谓“集中生产战略”来提高自身的创新水平,从而保持长期的竞争优势。  相似文献   

14.
将结构元理论引入到模糊多属性决策中,按照经典多属性决策的乐观型准则、悲观型准则和乐观-悲观结合型准则,对应地建立了基于模糊结构元理论的模糊乐观型、模糊悲观型、模糊乐观-悲观结合型决策方法。借助一个实例,本文运用这三种算法进行了决策,得出了和传统决策算法一致的结论。本文提出的算法不仅易于理解,而且计算的速度也远比传统算法要快,对于进一步研究模糊多属性决策问题有很好的参考作用。  相似文献   

15.
为适应全球经济一体化的快速发展,企业应选择最优的技术创新项目,从而提升其竞争力。首先定义了直觉模糊二元语义,探讨了将其区间化的方法,建立了直觉模糊二元语义与区间模糊二元语义之间的联系。接着重新定义了直觉模糊二元语义的距离和相似度,给出了群决策的集结算子。通过集结决策者的意见和进行交互式决策,使得群体的决策意见达到满意的一致性水平。最后以技术创新项目选择为例说明了本文提出的方法。  相似文献   

16.
This paper presents the results of an experiment investigating the effects of using different formats for representing uncertain attribute evaluations on decision making. Study participants make a series of hypothetical choices using six uncertainty formats - probability distributions, expected values, standard deviations, three-point (minimum-median-maximum) approximations, quantiles, and scenarios - and effects on decision making are tracked in terms of the quality of the final choice, the specific characteristics of the selected alternatives, and the difficulty experienced in making a decision. The results provide insights into how subjects make single- and multi-criteria choices in the presence of uncertainty (and some format for representing uncertainty) but in the absence of any real facilitation. The use of probability distributions appeared to overload subjects with information, leading to poorer and more difficult choices than if some intermediate level of summary was used - in particular three-point approximations or quantiles.  相似文献   

17.
18.
基于联系数的属性权重未知的区间数多属性决策研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
针对一类属性权重未知且属性值用区间数表示的不确定多属性决策问题,把区间数表示的属性值转换为二元联系数,并改写成三角函数,按决策方案属性值方差确定属性权重,根据各方案属性加权综合值确定方案初排序,再通过不确定性分析方法做出最终排序.实例应用表明上述方法简明实用有效,而且能方便地开展方案排序的不确定分析.  相似文献   

19.
When using linguistic approaches to solve decision problems, we need linguistic representation models. The symbolic model, the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic representation model and the continuous linguistic model are three existing linguistic representation models based on position indexes. Together with these three linguistic models, the corresponding ordered weighted averaging operators, such as the linguistic ordered weighted averaging operator, the 2-tuple ordered weighted averaging operator and the extended ordered weighted averaging operator, have been developed, respectively. In this paper, we analyze the internal relationship among these operators, and propose a consensus operator under the continuous linguistic model (or the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic representation model). The proposed consensus operator is based on the use of the ordered weighted averaging operator and the deviation measures. Some desired properties of the consensus operator are also presented. In particular, the consensus operator provides an alternative consensus model for group decision making. This consensus model preserves the original preference information given by the decision makers as much as possible, and supports consensus process automatically, without moderator.  相似文献   

20.
This paper reports on novice teacher leaders’ efforts to enact mathematics PD through an analysis of their facilitation in workshops conducted at their schools. We consider the extent to which teacher leaders facilitated the Problem-Solving Cycle model of PD with integrity to its key characteristics. We examine the characteristics they enacted particularly well and those that were the most problematic to enact. Facilitators were generally successful with respect to workshop culture and selecting video clips for use in the PD workshops. They had more difficulty supporting discussions to foster aspects of mathematics teachers’ specialized content knowledge and pedagogical content knowledge. We suggest a number of activities that may help to better prepare novice PD leaders to hold effective workshops. Furthermore, we conjecture that leaders of mathematics PD draw from a construct we have labeled Mathematical Knowledge for Professional Development (MKPD), and we posit some domains that may comprise this construct.  相似文献   

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