Stochastic multiobjective acceptability analysis for the Choquet integral preference model and the scale construction problem

The Choquet integral preference model is adopted in Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA) to deal with interactions between criteria, while the Stochastic Multiobjective Acceptability Analysis (SMAA) is an MCDA methodology considered to take into account uncertainty or imprecision on the considered data and preference parameters. In this paper, we propose to combine the Choquet integral preference model with the SMAA methodology in order to get robust recommendations taking into account all parameters compatible with the preference information provided by the Decision Maker (DM). In case the criteria are on a common scale, one has to elicit only a set of non-additive weights, technically a capacity, compatible with the DM’s preference information. Instead, if the criteria are on different scales, besides the capacity, one has to elicit also a common scale compatible with the preferences given by the DM. Our approach permits to explore the whole space of capacities and common scales compatible with the DM’s preference information.     

Multiple criteria sorting with a set of additive value functions

We present a new multiple criteria sorting method that aims at assigning actions evaluated on multiple criteria to p pre-defined and ordered classes. The preference information supplied by the decision maker (DM) is a set of assignment examples on a subset of actions relatively well known to the DM. These actions are called reference actions. Each assignment example specifies a desired assignment of a corresponding reference action to one or several contiguous classes. The set of assignment examples is used to build a preference model of the DM represented by a set of general additive value functions compatible with the assignment examples. For each action a, the method computes two kinds of assignments to classes, concordant with the DM’s preference model: the necessary assignment and the possible assignment. The necessary assignment specifies the range of classes to which the action can be assigned considering all compatible value functions simultaneously. The possible assignment specifies, in turn, the range of classes to which the action can be assigned considering any compatible value function individually. The compatible value functions and the necessary and possible assignments are computed through the resolution of linear programs.     

A posterior preference articulation approach to multiresponse surface optimization

In multiresponse surface optimization (MRSO), responses are often in conflict. To obtain a satisfactory compromise, the preference information of a decision maker (DM) on the tradeoffs among the responses should be incorporated into the problem. In most existing work, the DM expresses a subjective judgment on the responses through a preference parameter before the problem-solving process, after which a single solution is obtained. In this study, we propose a posterior preference articulation approach to MRSO. The approach initially finds a set of nondominated solutions without the DM’s preference information, and then allows the DM to select the best solution from among the nondominated solutions. An interactive selection method based on pairwise comparisons made by the DM is adopted in our method to facilitate the DM’s selection process. The proposed method does not require that the preference information be specified in advance. It is easy and effective in that a satisfactory compromise can be obtained through a series of pairwise comparisons, regardless of the type of the DM’s utility function.     

Selection of a representative value function in robust multiple criteria ranking and choice

We introduce the concept of a representative value function in robust ordinal regression applied to multiple criteria ranking and choice problems. The proposed method can be seen as a new interactive UTA-like procedure, which extends the UTA^GMS and GRIP methods. The preference information supplied by the decision maker (DM) is composed of a partial preorder and intensities of preference on a subset of reference alternatives. Robust ordinal regression builds a set of general additive value functions which are compatible with the preference information, and returns two binary preference relations: necessary and possible. They identify recommendations which are compatible with all or at least one compatible value function, respectively. In this paper, we propose a general framework for selection of a representative value function from among the set of compatibles ones. There are a few targets which build on results of robust ordinal regression, and could be attained by a representative value function. In general, according to the interactively elicited preferences of the DM, the representative value function may emphasize the advantage of some alternatives over the others when all compatible value functions acknowledge this advantage, or reduce the ambiguity in the advantage of some alternatives over the others when some compatible value functions acknowledge an advantage and other ones acknowledge a disadvantage. The basic procedure is refined by few extensions. They enable emphasizing the advantage of alternatives that could be considered as potential best options, accounting for intensities of preference, or obtaining a desired type of the marginal value functions.     

Robust ordinal regression for value functions handling interacting criteria

We present a new method called UTA^GMS–INT for ranking a finite set of alternatives evaluated on multiple criteria. It belongs to the family of Robust Ordinal Regression (ROR) methods which build a set of preference models compatible with preference information elicited by the Decision Maker (DM). The preference model used by UTA^GMS–INT is a general additive value function augmented by two types of components corresponding to “bonus” or “penalty” values for positively or negatively interacting pairs of criteria, respectively. When calculating value of a particular alternative, a bonus is added to the additive component of the value function if a given pair of criteria is in a positive synergy for performances of this alternative on the two criteria. Similarly, a penalty is subtracted from the additive component of the value function if a given pair of criteria is in a negative synergy for performances of the considered alternative on the two criteria. The preference information elicited by the DM is composed of pairwise comparisons of some reference alternatives, as well as of comparisons of some pairs of reference alternatives with respect to intensity of preference, either comprehensively or on a particular criterion. In UTA^GMS–INT, ROR starts with identification of pairs of interacting criteria for given preference information by solving a mixed-integer linear program. Once the interacting pairs are validated by the DM, ROR continues calculations with the whole set of compatible value functions handling the interacting criteria, to get necessary and possible preference relations in the considered set of alternatives. A single representative value function can be calculated to attribute specific scores to alternatives. It also gives values to bonuses and penalties. UTA^GMS–INT handles quite general interactions among criteria and provides an interesting alternative to the Choquet integral.     

Ordinal regression revisited: Multiple criteria ranking using a set of additive value functions

We present a new method, called UTA^GMS, for multiple criteria ranking of alternatives from set A using a set of additive value functions which result from an ordinal regression. The preference information provided by the decision maker is a set of pairwise comparisons on a subset of alternatives A^R ⊆ A, called reference alternatives. The preference model built via ordinal regression is the set of all additive value functions compatible with the preference information. Using this model, one can define two relations in the set A: the necessary weak preference relation which holds for any two alternatives a, b from set A if and only if for all compatible value functions a is preferred to b, and the possible weak preference relation which holds for this pair if and only if for at least one compatible value function a is preferred to b. These relations establish a necessary and a possible ranking of alternatives from A, being, respectively, a partial preorder and a strongly complete relation. The UTA^GMS method is intended to be used interactively, with an increasing subset A^R and a progressive statement of pairwise comparisons. When no preference information is provided, the necessary weak preference relation is a weak dominance relation, and the possible weak preference relation is a complete relation. Every new pairwise comparison of reference alternatives, for which the dominance relation does not hold, is enriching the necessary relation and it is impoverishing the possible relation, so that they converge with the growth of the preference information. Distinguishing necessary and possible consequences of preference information on the complete set of actions, UTA^GMS answers questions of robustness analysis. Moreover, the method can support the decision maker when his/her preference statements cannot be represented in terms of an additive value function. The method is illustrated by an example solved using the UTA^GMS software. Some extensions of the method are also presented.     

An interactive desirability function method to multiresponse optimization

Multiresponse optimization problems often involve incommensurate and conflicting responses. To obtain a satisfactory compromise in such a case, a decision maker (DM)’s preference information on the tradeoffs among the responses should be incorporated into the problem. This paper proposes an interactive method based on the desirability function approach to facilitate the preference articulation process. The proposed method allows the DM to adjust any of the preference parameters, namely, the shape, bound, and target of a desirability function in a single, integrated framework. The proposed method would be highly effective in generating a compromise solution that is faithful to the DM’s preference structure.     

Constructing a monotonic quadratic objective function in n variables from a few two-dimensional indifferences

We develop a model for constructing quadratic objective functions in n target variables. At the input, a decision maker is asked a few simple questions about his ordinal preferences (comparing two-dimensional alternatives in terms `better', `worse', `indifferent'). At the output, the model mathematically derives a quadratic objective function used to evaluate n-dimensional alternatives.Thus the model deals with some imaginary decisions (criteria aggregates) at the input, and disaggregates the decision maker's preference into partial criteria and their cross-correlations (=a quadratic objective function). Therefore, the model provides an approximation step which is next to the disaggregation of a preference into additively separable linear criteria with weight coefficients.The model is based on least squares fitting a quadratic indifference hypersurface (if n=2, indifference curve) to several alternatives which are supposed to be equivalent in preference. The resulting ordinal preference is independent of the cardinal utility scale used in intermediate computations which implies that the model is ordinal. The monotonicity of the quadratic objective function is implemented by means of a finite number of linear constraints, so that the computational model is reduced to restricted least squares.In illustration, we construct a quadratic objective function of German economic policy in four target variables: inflation, unemployment, GNP growth, and increase in public debt. This objective function is used to evaluate the German economic development in 1980–1994.In another application, we construct a quadratic objective function of ski station customers. Then it is used to adjust prices of 10 ski stations to the South of Stuttgart.In Appendix A we provide an original fast algorithm for restricted least squares and quadratic programming used in the main model.     

Building a set of additive value functions representing a reference preorder and intensities of preference: GRIP method

We present a method called Generalized Regression with Intensities of Preference (GRIP) for ranking a finite set of actions evaluated on multiple criteria. GRIP builds a set of additive value functions compatible with preference information composed of a partial preorder and required intensities of preference on a subset of actions, called reference actions. It constructs not only the preference relation in the considered set of actions, but it also gives information about intensities of preference for pairs of actions from this set for a given decision maker (DM). Distinguishing necessary and possible consequences of preference information on the considered set of actions, GRIP answers questions of robustness analysis. The proposed methodology can be seen as an extension of the UTA method based on ordinal regression. GRIP can also be compared to the AHP method, which requires pairwise comparison of all actions and criteria, and yields a priority ranking of actions. As for the preference information being used, GRIP can be compared, moreover, to the MACBETH method which also takes into account a preference order of actions and intensity of preference for pairs of actions. The preference information used in GRIP does not need, however, to be complete: the DM is asked to provide comparisons of only those pairs of reference actions on particular criteria for which his/her judgment is sufficiently certain. This is an important advantage comparing to methods which, instead, require comparison of all possible pairs of actions on all the considered criteria. Moreover, GRIP works with a set of general additive value functions compatible with the preference information, while other methods use a single and less general value function, such as the weighted-sum.     

The constructive theory of preference relations on a locally compact space

This paper, which is written within a rigorously constructive framework, deals with preference relations (strict weak orders) on a locally compact space X, and with the representation of such relations by continuous utility functions (order isomorphisms) from X into ℝ. Necessary conditions are given for finding the values of a utility function algorithmically in terms of the parameters when X is a locally compact, convex subset of R^N. These conditions single out the class of admissible preference relations, which are investigated in some detail. The paper concludes with some results on the algorithmic continuity of the process which assigns utility functions to admissible preference relations.The work of this paper can be regarded as a recursive development of preference and utility theory.     

Target setting in the general combined-oriented CCR model using an interactive MOLP method

The traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA) model does not include a decision maker’s (DM) preference structure while measuring relative efficiency, with no or minimal input from the DM. To incorporate DM’s preference information in DEA, various techniques have been proposed. An interesting method to incorporate preference information, without necessary prior judgment, is the use of an interactive decision making technique that encompasses both DEA and multi-objective linear programming (MOLP). In this paper, we will use Zionts-Wallenius (Z-W) method to reflecting the DM’s preferences in the process of assessing efficiency in the general combined-oriented CCR model. A case study will conducted to illustrate how combined-oriented efficiency analysis can be conducted using the MOLP method.     

Multiutility representations for incomplete difference preorders

A difference preorder is a (possibly incomplete) preorder on a space of state changes (rather than the states themselves); it encodes information about preference intensity, in addition to ordinal preferences. We find necessary and sufficient conditions for a difference preorder to be representable by a family of cardinal utility functions which take values in linearly ordered abelian groups. We also discuss the sense in which this cardinal utility representation is unique up to affine transformations, and under what conditions it is real-valued. This has applications to interpersonal comparisons, social welfare, and decisions under uncertainty.     

Use of the equivalent attribute technique in multi-criteria planning of local energy systems

This paper discusses how the equivalent attribute technique (EAT) can be used to improve the comprehensibility of a multi-attribute utility theory study. When using EAT, ‘vague’ expected total utility values are converted into equivalent values for one of the attributes being considered, often an economic attribute. Two models are considered: a simplified linear model, and a more advanced non-linear model that includes the DM’s strength-of-preference and risk attitude. EAT is particularly useful in distinguishing between alternatives with similar utility values. When the difference between utility values is larger, the choice among the alternatives should be clear, and EAT therefore becomes less useful. The technique can still be used, although extra care is needed when choosing the equivalent attribute. A local energy-planning problem is used as a case study to illustrate and exemplify the EAT approach.     

Preference Programming with incomplete ordinal information

This paper extends possibilities for analyzing incomplete ordinal information about the parameters of an additive value function. Such information is modeled through preference statements which associate sets of alternatives or attributes with corresponding sets of rankings. These preference statements can be particularly helpful in developing a joint preference representation for a group of decision-makers who may find difficulties in agreeing on numerical parameter values. Because these statements can lead to a non-convex set of feasible parameters, a mixed integer linear formulation is developed to establish a linear model for the computation of decision recommendations. This makes it possible to complete incomplete ordinal information with other forms of incomplete information.     

Handling effects of reinforced preference and counter-veto in credibility of outranking

The aim of this paper is to generalize the way of computing the credibility of outranking in a multiple criteria aggregation procedure, in view of taking into account two new effects called reinforced preference and counter-veto. These effects concern only those criteria for which, as soon as action a is “judged very strongly preferred” to action b, one wishes that the credibility of outranking of a over b is greater than that for the case where (all things equal elsewhere) the preference is not “judged very strong”. To achieve this goal, we propose two complementary ways. The first one involves a reinforced preference threshold which affects the concordance degree, and the second one involves a counter-veto threshold which affects the insertion of discordance degree in the calculation of the credibility of outranking. The introduction of these two new effects remains compatible with the handling of ordinal preference scales. The resulting new index of the credibility of outranking can be used, in particular, in ELECTRE methods.     

Functional ANOVA,ultramodularity and monotonicity: Applications in multiattribute utility theory

Utility function properties as monotonicity and concavity play a fundamental role in reflecting a decision-maker’s preference structure. These properties are usually characterized via partial derivatives. However, elicitation methods do not necessarily lead to twice-differentiable utility functions. Furthermore, while in a single-attribute context concavity fully reflects risk aversion, in multiattribute problems such correspondence is not one-to-one. We show that Tsetlin and Winkler’s multivariate risk attitudes imply ultramodularity of the utility function. We demonstrate that geometric properties of a multivariate utility function can be successfully studied by utilizing an integral function expansion (functional ANOVA). The necessary and sufficient conditions under which monotonicity and/or ultramodularity of single-attribute functions imply the monotonicity and/or ultramodularity of the corresponding multiattribute function under additive, preferential and mutual utility independence are then established without reliance on the utility function differentiability. We also investigate the relationship between the presence of interactions among the attributes of a multiattribute utility function and the decision-maker’s multivariate risk attitudes.     

A way to deal with fuzzy preferences in multi-criteria decision problems

This paper presents a special multiple criteria decision making approach for solving problems in context with fuzzy individual preferences.At first we briefly expose the proposed methodology. The individual preferences are explicitly given by a complete transitive relation R on a set of reference actions. The modelling of the decision-maker's preferences is obtained by means of fuzzy outranking relations. These fuzzy relations are based on a system of additive utility functions which are estimated by means of ordinal regression methods analysing the preference relation R.This is followed by a presentation of two real multicriteria problems which the proposed methodology has been applied to, i.e. a highway plan choice problem and a problem in marketing research dealing with the launching of a new product. In each application we tried to specify this method according to the specific structure of the problem considered.     

Experiments with an interactive paired comparison simplex method for molp problems

In this paper, an interactive paired comparison simplex based method formultiple objective linear programming (MOLP) problems is developed and compared to other interactive MOLP methods. The decision maker (DM)’s utility function is assumed to be unknown, but is an additive function of his known linearized objective functions. A test for ‘utility efficiency’ for MOLP problems is developed to reduce the number of efficient extreme points generated and the number of questions posed to the DM. The notion of ‘strength of preference ’ is developed for the assessment of the DM’s unknown utility function where he can express his preference for a pair of extreme points as ‘strong ’, ‘weak ’, or ‘almost indifferent ’. The problem of ‘inconsistency of the DM’ is formalized and its resolution is discussed. An example of the method and detailed computational results comparing it with other interactive MOLP methods are presented. Several performance measures for comparative evaluations of interactive multiple objective programming methods are also discussed. All rights reserved. This study, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form without written permission of the authors.     

Solving multiple criteria problems by interactive decomposition

An interactive decomposition method is developed for solving the multiple criteria (MC) problem. Based on nonlinear programming duality theory, the MC problem is decomposed into a series of subproblems and relaxed master problems. Each subproblem is a bicriterion problem, and each relaxed master problem is a standard linear program. The prime objective of the decomposition is to simplify and facilitate the process of making preference assessments and tradeoffs across many conflicting objectives. Therefore, the decision-maker's preference function is not assumed to be known explicitly; rather, the decision maker is required to make only limited local preference assessments in the context of feasible and nondominated alternatives. Also, the preference assessments are of the form of ordinal paired comparisons, and in most of them only two criteria are allowed to change their values simultaneously, while the remaining (l–2) criteria are held fixed at certain levels.     

ELECTRE: Robust ordinal regression for outranking methods

We present a new method, called ELECTRE^GKMS, which employs robust ordinal regression to construct a set of outranking models compatible with preference information. The preference information supplied by the decision maker (DM) is composed of pairwise comparisons stating the truth or falsity of the outranking relation for some real or fictitious reference alternatives. Moreover, the DM specifies some ranges of variation of comparison thresholds on considered pseudo-criteria. Using robust ordinal regression, the method builds a set of values of concordance indices, concordance thresholds, indifference, preference, and veto thresholds, for which all specified pairwise comparisons can be restored. Such sets are called compatible outranking models. Using these models, two outranking relations are defined, necessary and possible. Whether for an ordered pair of alternatives there is necessary or possible outranking depends on the truth of outranking relation for all or at least one compatible model, respectively. Distinguishing the most certain recommendation worked out by the necessary outranking, and a possible recommendation worked out by the possible outranking, ELECTRE^GKMS answers questions of robustness concern. The method is intended to be used interactively with incremental specification of pairwise comparisons, possibly with decreasing confidence levels. In this way, the necessary and possible outranking relations can be, respectively, enriched or impoverished with the growth of the number of pairwise comparisons. Furthermore, the method is able to identify troublesome pieces of preference information which are responsible for incompatibility. The necessary and possible outranking relations are to be exploited as usual outranking relations to work out recommendation in choice or ranking problems. The introduced approach is illustrated by a didactic example showing how ELECTRE^GKMS can support real-world decision problems.