一类过程需求存贮系统的策略研究及其费用弹性分析

本文首先讨论了需求到达为复合泊松随机过程的库存管理问题,给出了在单位时间内期望总成本费用最小的条件下的确定性的最优订货策略(Q,T).然后分析了在订购量和订购周期为随机变量,其联合分布已知的条件下,基于随机局部弹性理论,分析了总费用关于订购量和订购周期的局部弹性的联合分布,为订购策略的制定提供了合理的依据.     

模糊随机需求的连续盘点存储策略研究

考虑到需求的模糊随机性,建立模糊随机需求情况下连续盘点存储策略的模糊随机成本模型。利用模糊随机变量的期望值理论,推导出了其成本期望值模型的解析表达式,进而给出了最优再订货点所属区间的判别条件以及最优再订货点和经济订货量的计算式;基于此,设计了一模糊随机需求的连续盘点最优存储策略算法。最后结合数值算例,分析了模糊随机需求概率分布及缺货成本对最优存储策略的影响。     

A limit field for orthogonal range searches in two-dimensional random point search trees

We consider the cost of general orthogonal range queries in random quadtrees. The cost of a given query is encoded into a (random) function of four variables which characterize the coordinates of two opposite corners of the query rectangle. We prove that, when suitably shifted and rescaled, the random cost function converges uniformly in probability towards a random field that is characterized as the unique solution to a distributional fixed-point equation. We also state similar results for 2-d trees. Our results imply for instance that the worst case query satisfies the same asymptotic estimates as a typical query, and thereby resolve an open question of Chanzy et al. (2001).     

Topology Optimization of Trusses—Random Cost Method Versus Evolutionary Algorithms

The recently proposed random cost method is applied to the topology optimization of trusses. Its performance is compared to previous genetic algorithm and evolution strategy simulations. Random cost turns out to be an optimization method with attractive features. In comparison to the genetic algorithm approach of Hajela, Lee and Lin, random cost turns out to be simpler and more efficient. Furthermore it is found that in contrast to evolution strategy, the random cost strategy's ability to find optima, is independent of the initial structure. This characteristic is related to the important capacity of escaping from local optima.     

Random equilibrium problems on networks

We apply the theory of random variational inequalities to study a class of random equilibrium problems on networks. By means of two classical test problems we treat the case of random demand and random cost and compute mean values and variances for two special probability distributions.     

Optimal age-replacement model with age-dependent type of failure and random lead time based on a cumulative repair-cost limit policy

In this paper, we consider an age-replacement model with minimal repair based on a cumulative repair cost limit and random lead time for replacement delivery. A cumulative repair cost limit policy uses information about a system’s entire repair cost history to decide whether the system is repaired or replaced; a random lead time models delay in delivery of a replacement once it is ordered. A general cost model is developed for the average cost per unit time based on the stochastic behavior of the assumed system, reflecting the costs of both storing a spare and of system downtime. The optimal age for preventive replacement minimizing that cost rate is derived, its existence and uniqueness is shown, and structural properties are presented. Various special cases are included, and a numerical example is given for illustration. Because the framework and analysis are general, the proposed model extends several existing results.     

An integrated economic lot-size model for vendor–buyer inventory system when input is random

An integrated strategy is discussed for both vendor and buyer when the input is random. It is shown numerically that the cooperative approach is beneficial to reduce the cost when compared with an independent decision by both the parties. Though the integrated total cost decreases, the buyer’s cost increases due to random input in his inventory. To encourage the buyer to order a large quantity, a trade credit is offered by the vendor to the buyer to settle the account. A conciliation factor is suggested to share the benefits.     

Solving project scheduling problem with the philosophy of fuzzy random programming

Project scheduling problem is to determine the schedule of allocating resources to achieve the trade-off between the project cost and the completion time. In real projects, the trade-off between the project cost and the completion time, and the uncertainty of the environment are both considerable aspects for managers. Due to the complex external environment, this paper considers project scheduling problem with coexisted uncertainty of randomness and fuzziness, in which the philosophy of fuzzy random programming is introduced. Based on different ranking criteria of fuzzy random variables, three types of fuzzy random models are built. Besides, a searching approach by integrating fuzzy random simulations and genetic algorithm is designed for searching the optimal schedules. The goal of the paper is to provide a new method for solving project scheduling problem in hybrid uncertain environments.     

提前期需求为模糊随机条件下的连续库存补货策略

考虑提前期内需求为模糊随机变量且提前期为可缩短情形下,建立由购买商和供应商所组成的简单供应链连续库存补货策略优化模型,其中订单量、再订货点和提前期为决策变量.首先推导出模糊随机需求条件下购买商和供应链的成本函数,然后,进一步考虑总需求为三角模糊数,推导出供应商、购买商和供应链的模糊成本函数.在此基础上分别从购买商成本最小和供应链成本最小角度对模型进行求解,结合具体算例对模型进行应用分析和比较分析,结果表明模型具有有效性和实用性,并得出如下结论:从购买商本身角度考虑订购策略所产生的供应链成本总是大于从供应链整体角度考虑订货策略所产生的供应链成本,同时从购买商本身角度考虑订货策略所产生的最优订购量、购买商成本低于从供应链整体角度考虑订货策略所产生的最优订购量、购买商成本.     

An economic production quantity model with a positive resetup point under random demand

In this paper, an extended economic production quantity (EPQ) model is investigated, where demand follows a random process. This study is motivated by an industrial case for precision machine assembly in the machinery industry. Both a positive resetup point s and a fixed lot size Q are implemented in this production control policy. To cope with random demand, a resetup point, i.e., the lowest inventory level to start the production, is adapted to minimize stock shortage during the replenishment cycle. The considered cost includes setup cost, inventory carrying cost, and shortage cost, where shortage may occur at the production stage and/or at the end of one replenishment cycle. Under some mild conditions, the expected cost per unit time can be shown to be convex with respect to decision parameters s and Q. Further computational study has demonstrated that the proposed model outperforms the classical EPQ when demand is random. In particular, a positive resetup point contributes to a significant portion of this cost savings when compared with that in the classical lot sizing policy.     

Optimal Guaranteed Cost Control of Stochastic Discrete-Time Systems with States and Input Dependent Noise Under Markovian Switching

A problem of robust guaranteed cost control of stochastic discrete-time systems with parametric uncertainties under Markovian switching is considered. The control is simultaneously applied to both the random and the deterministic components of the system. The noise (the random) term depends on both the states and the control input. The jump Markovian switching is modeled by a discrete-time Markov chain and the noise or stochastic environmental disturbance is modeled by a sequence of identically independently normally distributed random variables. Using linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) approach, the robust quadratic stochastic stability is obtained. The proposed control law for this quadratic stochastic stabilization result depended on the mode of the system. This control law is developed such that the closed-loop system with a cost function has an upper bound under all admissible parameter uncertainties. The upper bound for the cost function is obtained as a minimization problem. Two numerical examples are given to demonstrate the potential of the proposed techniques and obtained results.     

An inventory system with investment to reduce yield variability and set-up cost

The set-up cost and yield variability are given and fixed in existing production/inventory models with random yields. However, in many practical situations, they can be reduced by investment in modern production technology. In this paper, we consider an inventory system with random yield in which both the set-up cost and yield variability can be reduced through capital investment. The objective is to determine the optimal capital investment and ordering policies that minimize the expected total annual costs for the system. In addition, an iterative solution procedure is presented to find the optimal order quantity and reorder point and then the optimal set-up cost and yield standard deviation. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the results obtained and assess the cost savings by adopting capital investments. Managerial implications are also included.     

Optimal Sequential Sampling Policy of Partitioned Random Search and Its Approximation

The paper studies the optimal sequential sampling policy of the partitioned random search (PRS) and its approximation. The PRS is a recently proposed approach for function optimization. It takes explicitly into consideration computation time or cost, assuming that there exist both a cost for each function evaluation and a finite total computation time constraint. It is also motivated at improving efficiency of the widely used crude random search. In particular, the PRS considers partitioning the search region of an objective function into K subregions and employing an independent and identically distributed random sampling scheme for each of K subregions. A sampling policy decides when to terminate the sampling process or which subregion to be sampled next.     

考虑中间库存缓冲区的多目标设备不完美预防维修策略研究

针对考虑库存缓冲区的多目标设备维修问题,以设备维修能力为约束条件,获得随机故障设备的不完美预防维修策略。首先,利用准更新过程,表示出设备的随机故障次数。其次,结合设备故障次数表达式,以最大设备可用度和最小生产总成本为多目标构建不完美预防维修模型,使用粒子群算法求解,优化设备可用度与生产总成本,获得更新周期内的库存量和预防维修周期两个决策变量的最优值。最后,通过算例分析,验证了多目标不完美预防维修模型的可用性。     

Random fuzzy EOQ model with imperfect quality items

This paper investigates an economic order quantity (EOQ) problem with imperfect quality items, where the percentage of imperfect quality items in each lot is characterized as a random fuzzy variable while the setup cost per lot, the holding cost of each unit item per day, and the inspection cost of each unit item are characterized as fuzzy variables, respectively. In order to maximize the expected long-run average profit, a random fuzzy EOQ model is constructed. Since it is almost impossible to find an analytic method to solve the proposed model, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based on the random fuzzy simulation is designed. Finally, the effectiveness of the designed algorithm is illustrated by a numerical example.     

Multiple delay-dependent guaranteed cost control for uncertain switched random nonlinear systems against intermittent sensor and actuator faults

In this paper, guaranteed cost control is investigated for switched random nonlinear systems against multiple state delays, model uncertainties, intermittent sensor and actuator faults. Other factors containing nonlinear dynamics, external disturbances as well as measurement noise are also considered. This is the first try to realize guaranteed cost control for uncertain switched random nonlinear systems against multiple time delays. In practice, color noise is more common than white noise in some specific situations. Thus, this paper considers random systems with color noise. In contrast to the previous study works, the suggested system can be applied to a wider range. First, a dynamic full-order output feedback controller is established to make the system stable. And an entire closed-loop system is got to achieve guaranteed cost control. Then, the multiple delay-dependent sufficient conditions are acquired through the piecewise Lyapunov function in the framework of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). In the meantime, controller gain matrices are obtained. At last, two simulation examples are presented to verify the availability of the suggested approach.     

Robust Averaged Control of Vibrations for the Bernoulli–Euler Beam Equation

This paper proposes an approach for the robust averaged control of random vibrations for the Bernoulli–Euler beam equation under uncertainty in the flexural stiffness and in the initial conditions. The problem is formulated in the framework of optimal control theory and provides a functional setting, which is so general as to include different types of random variables and second-order random fields as sources of uncertainty. The second-order statistical moment of the random system response at the control time is incorporated in the cost functional as a measure of robustness. The numerical resolution method combines a classical descent method with an adaptive anisotropic stochastic collocation method for the numerical approximation of the statistics of interest. The direct and adjoint stochastic systems are uncoupled, which permits to exploit parallel computing architectures to solve the set of deterministic problem that arise from the stochastic collocation method. As a result, problems with a relative large number of random variables can be solved with a reasonable computational cost. Two numerical experiments illustrate both the performance of the proposed method and the significant differences that may occur when uncertainty is incorporated in this type of control problems.     

随机波动害虫种群的最优防治阈值与防治时刻

以随机过程为数学工具，用金融风险管理的思想，研究随机波动的害虫种群对作物造成的损失和药物防治费用之间的关系，依据最优经济效益原则确定害虫的最优防治阈值与防治时刻。     

An efficient sampling method for stochastic inverse problems

A general framework is developed to treat inverse problems with parameters that are random fields. It involves a sampling method that exploits the sensitivity derivatives of the control variable with respect to the random parameters. As the sensitivity derivatives are computed only at the mean values of the relevant parameters, the related extra cost of the present method is a fraction of the total cost of the Monte Carlo method. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated on an example problem governed by the Burgers equation with random viscosity. It is specifically shown that this method is two orders of magnitude more efficient compared to the conventional Monte Carlo method. In other words, for a given number of samples, the present method yields two orders of magnitude higher accuracy than its conventional counterpart.     

A replacement model for an additive damage model with restoration

A system existing in a random environment receives shocks at random points of time. Each shock causes a random amount of damage which accumulates over time. A breakdown can occur only upon the occurrence of a shock according to a known failure probability function. Upon failure the system is replaced by a new identical one with a given cost. When the system is replaced before failure, a smaller cost is incurred. Thus, there is an incentive to attempt to replace the system before failure. The damage process is controlled by means of a maintenance policy which causes the accumulated damage to decrease at a known restoration rate. We introduce sufficient conditions under which an optimal replacement policy which minimizes the total expected discounted cost is a control limit policy. The relationship between the undiscounted case and the discounted case is examined. Finally, an example is given illustrating computational procedures.