Fuzzy random renewal process and renewal reward process

So far, there have been several concepts about fuzzy random variables and their expected values in literature. One of the concepts defined by Liu and Liu (2003a) is that the fuzzy random variable is a measurable function from a probability space to a collection of fuzzy variables and its expected value is described as a scalar number. Based on the concepts, this paper addresses two processes—fuzzy random renewal process and fuzzy random renewal reward process. In the fuzzy random renewal process, the interarrival times are characterized as fuzzy random variables and a fuzzy random elementary renewal theorem on the limit value of the expected renewal rate of the process is presented. In the fuzzy random renewal reward process, both the interarrival times and rewards are depicted as fuzzy random variables and a fuzzy random renewal reward theorem on the limit value of the long-run expected reward per unit time is provided. The results obtained in this paper coincide with those in stochastic case or in fuzzy case when the fuzzy random variables degenerate to random variables or to fuzzy variables.     

A strong law of large numbers for fuzzy random variables

A limit of a sequence of fuzzy numbers is defined and its some properties are shown. Based on these concept and properties, an independent sequence of fuzzy random variables is considered and a strong law of large numbers for fuzzy random variables is shown.     

Chance-constrained programming with fuzzy stochastic coefficients

We consider fuzzy stochastic programming problems with a crisp objective function and linear constraints whose coefficients are fuzzy random variables, in particular of type L-R. To solve this type of problems, we formulate deterministic counterparts of chance-constrained programming with fuzzy stochastic coefficients, by combining constraints on probability of satisfying constraints, as well as their possibility and necessity. We discuss the possible indices for comparing fuzzy quantities by putting together interval orders and statistical preference. We study the convexity of the set of feasible solutions under various assumptions. We also consider the case where fuzzy intervals are viewed as consonant random intervals. The particular cases of type L-R fuzzy Gaussian and discrete random variables are detailed.     

A central limit theorem for exchangeable random variables on a locally compact abelian group

A central limit theorem is given for uniformly infinitesimal triangular arrays of random variables in which the random variables in each row are exchangeable and take values in a locally compact second countable abelian group. The limiting distribution in the theorem is Gaussian.     

The asymptotic distribution of the maxima of a Gaussian random field on a lattice

Under mild conditions on the covariance function of a stationary Gaussian process, the maxima behaves asymptotically the same as the maxima of independent, identically distributed Gaussian random variables. In order to achieve extremal clustering, Hsing et al. (Ann Appl Probab 6:671–686, 1996) considered a triangular array of Gaussian sequences in which the correlation between “neighboring” observations approaches 1 at a certain rate. Using analogues of the conditions of Hsing et al., which allows for strong local dependence among variables but asymptotic independence, it is possible to show that two-dimensional Gaussian random fields also exhibit extremal clustering in the limit. A closed form expression for the extremal index governing the clustering will be provided. The results apply to Gaussian random fields in which the spatial domain is rescaled.     

A fuzzy bootstrap test for the mean with <Emphasis Type="Italic">D</Emphasis><Subscript><Emphasis Type="Italic">p,q</Emphasis></Subscript>-distance

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing a simple hypothesis about the mean of a fuzzy random variable. For this purpose, we take a distance between the sample mean and the mean in the null hypothesis as a test statistic. An asymptotic test about the fuzzy mean is obtained by using a central limit theorem. The asymptotical distribution is ω ₂-distribution. The ω ₂-distribution is only known for special cases, thus we have considered random LR-fuzzy numbers. In the fuzzy concept, in addition to the existence of several versions of the central limit theorem, there is another practical disadvantage: The limit law is, in most cases, difficult to handle. Therefore, the central limit theorem for fuzzy random variable does not seem to be a very useful tool to make inferences on the mean of fuzzy random variable. Thus we use the bootstrap technique. Finally, by means of a simulation study, we show that the bootstrap method is a powerful tool in the statistical hypothesis testing about the mean of fuzzy random variables.     

A functional central limit theorem for a class of urn models

We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems are available in the two color case.     

Toward the History of the Saint Petersburg School of Probability and Statistics. I. Limit Theorems for Sums of Independent Random Variables

This is the first in a series of reviews devoted to the scientific achievements of the Leningrad–St. Petersburg school of probability and statistics in the period from 1947 to 2017. It is devoted to limit theorems for sums of independent random variables—a traditional subject for St. Petersburg. It refers to the classical limit theorems: the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem, and the law of the iterated logarithm, as well as important relevant problems formulated in the second half of the twentieth century. The latter include the approximation of the distributions of sums of independent variables by infinitely divisible distributions, estimation of the accuracy of strong Gaussian approximation of such sums, and the limit theorems on the weak almost sure convergence of empirical measures generated by sequences of sums of independent random variables and vectors.     

Asymptotic confidence regions of stochastic approximation procedures in hilbert spaces

In the framework of stochastic approximation, in separable Hilbert spaces one can often establish weak convergence for a suitable normalized, sequence of random variables to a Gaussian distributed random varible. In connection with a sequence of empirical covariance operators and estimator of the unknown radius of a ball is described, for which the Gaussian limit distribution, takes a given value. Further a stopping rule is proposed leading to asymptotic confidence balls with a fixed radius.     

Central limit theorem for Banach space valued fuzzy random variables

In this paper we prove a central limit theorem for Borel measurable nonseparably valued random elements in the case of Banach space valued fuzzy random variables.

     

On a stochasticprocess determined by the conditional expectation and the conditionalvariance

The aim of this paper isto give a characterization theorem for Gaussian processes.It is wellknown that for Gaussian processes the conditional expectation is alinear function of the states of the process and the conditionalvariance is a deterministic function. In the presentpaper we show aconverse implication. We prove that these two conditions and Lipschitz condition for the covariance function characteristicGaussian processes. The proof is based on a limit theorem for sums ofdependent random variables.     

Fuzzy random regression based multi-attribute evaluation and its application to oil palm fruit grading

Multi-attribute decision-making is usually concerned with weighting alternatives, thereby requiring weight information for decision attributes from a decision maker. However, the assignment of an attribute’s weight is sometimes difficult, and may vary from one decision maker to another. Additionally, imprecision and vagueness may affect each judgment in the decision-making process. That is, in a real application, various statistical data may be imprecise or linguistically as well as numerically vague. Given this coexistence of random and fuzzy information, the data cannot be adequately treated by simply using the formalism of random variables. To address this problem, fuzzy random variables are introduced as an integral component of regression models. Thus, in this paper, we proposed a fuzzy random multi-attribute evaluation model with confidence intervals using expectations and variances of fuzzy random variables. The proposed model is applied to oil palm fruit grading, as the quality inspection process for fruits requires a method to ensure product quality. We include simulation results and highlight the advantage of the proposed method in handling the existence of fuzzy random information.     

Random fuzzy renewal process

This paper attempts to discuss a random fuzzy renewal process based on random fuzzy theory. The interarrival times are characterized as nonnegative random fuzzy variables which is a more reasonable consideration in the real world. Under this setting, the rate of the random fuzzy renewal process is discussed and a random fuzzy elementary renewal theorem is presented. Furthermore, the expected value of renewals in an arbitrary interval is investigated and Blackwell’s theorem in random fuzzy sense is also established.     

Maximum of partial sums and an invariance principle for a class of weak dependent random variables

The aim of this paper is to investigate the properties of the maximum of partial sums for a class of weakly dependent random variables which includes the instantaneous filters of a Gaussian sequence having a positive continuous spectral density. The results are used to obtain an invariance principle and the convergence of the moments in the central limit theorem.

     

Fractional normal inverse Gaussian diffusion

A fractional normal inverse Gaussian (FNIG) process is a fractional Brownian motion subordinated to an inverse Gaussian process. This paper shows how the FNIG process emerges naturally as the limit of a random walk with correlated jumps separated by i.i.d. waiting times. Similarly, we show that the NIG process, a Brownian motion subordinated to an inverse Gaussian process, is the limit of a random walk with uncorrelated jumps separated by i.i.d. waiting times. The FNIG process is also derived as the limit of a fractional ARIMA processes. Finally, the NIG densities are shown to solve the relativistic diffusion equation from statistical physics.     

Limit theorem for the maximum of dependent Gaussian random elements in a Banach space

The well-known Nisio result on the asymptotie equality for the maximum of real-valued Gaussian random variables is generalized to the case of Gaussian random variables taking values in a Banach space.     

A linear regression model for imprecise response

A linear regression model with imprecise response and p real explanatory variables is analyzed. The imprecision of the response variable is functionally described by means of certain kinds of fuzzy sets, the LR fuzzy sets. The LR fuzzy random variables are introduced to model usual random experiments when the characteristic observed on each result can be described with fuzzy numbers of a particular class, determined by 3 random values: the center, the left spread and the right spread. In fact, these constitute a natural generalization of the interval data. To deal with the estimation problem the space of the LR fuzzy numbers is proved to be isometric to a closed and convex cone of R³ with respect to a generalization of the most used metric for LR fuzzy numbers. The expression of the estimators in terms of moments is established, their limit distribution and asymptotic properties are analyzed and applied to the determination of confidence regions and hypothesis testing procedures. The results are illustrated by means of some case-studies.     

Weak convergence of random polygonal lines to a Gaussian process

We obtain a limit theorem of convergence in distribution for random polygonal lines defined by sums of independent random variables with replacements. In a particular case, the limit is the Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.__________Translated from Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, Vol. 45, No. 1, pp. 33–44, January–March, 2005.Translated by V. Mackeviius     

Interval optimization based line sampling method for fuzzy and random reliability analysis

For structural system with fuzzy variables as well as random variables, a novel algorithm for obtaining membership function of fuzzy reliability is presented on interval optimization based Line Sampling (LS) method. In the presented algorithm, the value domain of the fuzzy variables under the given membership level is firstly obtained according to their membership functions. Then, in the value domain of the fuzzy variables, bounds of reliability of the structure are obtained by the nesting analysis of the interval optimization, which is performed by modern heuristic methods, and reliability analysis, which is achieved by the LS method in the reduced space of the random variables. In this way the uncertainties of the input variables are propagated to the safety measurement of the structure, and the membership function of the fuzzy reliability is obtained. The presented algorithm not only inherits the advantage of the direct Monte Carlo method in propagating and distinguishing the fuzzy and random uncertainties, but also can improve the computational efficiency tremendously in case of acceptable precision. Several examples are used to illustrate the advantages of the presented algorithm.     

A non-central banach valued limit theorem and its application

This note is devoted to the generalization of a limit theorem on sums of strongly dependent random variables (non-central limit theorem) to the case when the initial Gaussian sequence, functions of which are considered, assumes values in the Banach space of continuous functions on a compactum; special attention is given to the transition case, when the limit distribution changes by a jump.Translated from Zapiski Nauchnykh Seminarov Leningradskogo Otdeleniya Matematicheskogo Instituta im. V. A. Steklova Akademii Nauk SSSR, Vol. 177, pp. 114–119, 1989.