可解内生生育率的C-K模型

Abstract. In this paper,a C-K model with solvable endogenous fertility under the strongly addi-tive utility function is presented. The discrimination conditions of the existence of the nonzerosteady states are given. Under a kind of utility function and production function,we prove thatthese conditions are satisfied and the economy at least has an optimal growth path. The position-al relationship of the multiple steady states on the plane is discussed when multiple steady statesand multiple growth paths exist. By numerical analysis ,the fertility decreses with the per capitacapital and per capita consumption increasing and increases with the per capita capital and percapita consumption decreasing on the economic growth path are obtained.     

On the theory of option pricing

The objective of this article is to provide an axiomatic framework in order to define the concept of value function for risky operations for which there is no market. There is a market for assets, whose prices are characterized as stochastic processes. The method consists of constructing a portfolio of these assets which will mimic the risks involved in the operation. We follow the terminology of the theory of options although the set-up goes beyond that particular problem.     

Optimal investment consumption model with a higher interest rate for borrowing

This paper considers a consumption and investment decision problem with a higher interest rate for borrowing as well as the dividend rate. Wealth is divided into a riskless asset and risky asset with logrithmic Erownian motion price fluctuations. The stochastic control problem of maximizating expected utility from terminal wealth and consumption is studied. Equivalent conditions for optimality are obtained. By using duality methods ,the existence of optimal portfolio consumption is proved,and the explicit solutions leading to feedback formulae are derived for deteministic coefficients.     

Dynamic utility maximization with bounded shortfall risks

We address the dynamic portfolio optimization problem where the expected utility from terminal wealth has to be maximized. The special feature of this paper is an additional constraint on the portfolio strategy modeling bounded shortfall risks. We consider the risk, that the terminal wealth of the portfolio falls short of a certain benchmark. This benchmark is chosen to be proportional to the stock price. The risk is measured by the Expected Utility Loss. Using a continuous-time model of a complete financial market and applying martingale methods, analytic expressions for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal portfolio strategies are given. (© 2005 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Optimal investment and consumption models with non-linear stock dynamics

We study a generalization of the Merton's original problem of optimal consumption and portfolio choice for a single investor in an intertemporal economy. The agent trades between a bond and a stock account and he may consume out of his bond holdings. The price of the bond is deterministic as opposed to the stock price which is modelled as a diffusion process. The main assumption is that the coefficients of the stock price diffusion are arbitrary nonlinear functions of the underlying process. The investor's goal is to maximize his expected utility from terminal wealth and/or his expected utility of intermediate consumption. The individual preferences are of Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) type for both the consumption stream and the terminal wealth. Employing a novel transformation, we are able to produce closed form solutions for the value function and the optimal policies. In the absence of intermediate consumption, the value function can be expressed in terms of a power of the solution of a homogeneous linear parabolic equation. When intermediate consumption is allowed, the value function is expressed via the solution of a non-homogeneous linear parabolic equation.     

Data-Recursive Smoother Formulae for Partially Observed Discrete-Time Markov Chains

Abstract

We address a dynamic portfolio optimization problem where the expected utility from terminal wealth has to be maximized. The special feature of this paper is an additional constraint on the portfolio strategy modeling bounded shortfall risks, which are measured by value at risk or expected loss. Using a continuous-time model of a complete financial market and applying martingale methods, analytic expressions for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal portfolio strategies are given. Finally, some numerical results are presented.     

Portfolio Optimization in a Semi-Markov Modulated Market

We address a portfolio optimization problem in a semi-Markov modulated market. We study both the terminal expected utility optimization on finite time horizon and the risk-sensitive portfolio optimization on finite and infinite time horizon. We obtain optimal portfolios in relevant cases. A numerical procedure is also developed to compute the optimal expected terminal utility for finite horizon problem. This work was supported in part by a DST project: SR/S4/MS: 379/06; also supported in part by a grant from UGC via DSA-SAP Phase IV, and in part by a CSIR Fellowship.     

Merton problem in a discrete market with frictions

We study the classical optimal investment and consumption problem of Merton in a discrete time model with frictions. Market friction causes the investor to lose wealth due to trading. This loss is modeled through a nonlinear penalty function of the portfolio adjustment. The classical transaction cost and the liquidity models are included in this abstract formulation. The investor maximizes her utility derived from consumption and the final portfolio position. The utility is modeled as the expected value of the discounted sum of the utilities from each step. At the final time, the stock positions are liquidated and a utility is obtained from the resulting cash value. The controls are the investment and the consumption decisions at each time. The utility function is maximized over all controls that keep the after liquidation value of the portfolio non-negative. A dynamic programming principle is proved and the value function is characterized as its unique solution with appropriate initial data. Optimal investment and consumption strategies are constructed as well.     

Power utility maximization under partial information: Some convergence results

In this paper we consider the power utility maximization problem under partial information in a continuous semimartingale setting. Investors construct their strategies using the available information, which possibly may not even include the observation of the asset prices. Resorting to stochastic filtering, the problem is transformed into an equivalent one, which is formulated in terms of observable processes. The value process, related to the equivalent optimization problem, is then characterized as the unique bounded solution of a semimartingale backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). This yields a unified characterization for the value process related to the power and exponential utility maximization problems, the latter arising as a particular case. The convergence of the corresponding optimal strategies is obtained by means of BSDEs. Finally, we study some particular cases where the value process admits an explicit expression.     

Consumption-Investment Problem with Subsistence Consumption,Bankruptcy, and Random Market Coefficients

We consider a general continuous-time finite-horizon single-agent consumption and portfolio decision problem with subsistence consumption and value of bankruptcy. Our analysis allows for random market coefficients and general continuously differentiable concave utility functions. We study the time of bankruptcy as a problem of optimal stopping, and succeed in obtaining explicit formulas for the optimal consumption and wealth processes in terms of the optimal bankruptcy time. This paper extends the results of Karatzas, Lehoczky, and Shreve (Ref. 1) on the maximization of expected utility from consumption in a financial market with random coefficients by incorporating subsistence consumption and bankruptcy. It also addresses the random coefficients and finite-horizon version of the problem treated by Sethi, Taksar, and Presman (Ref. 2). The mathematical tools used in our analysis are optimal stopping, stochastic control, martingale theory, and Girsanov change of measure.     

On the multi-dimensional portfolio optimization with stochastic volatility

In a recent paper by Mnif [18], a solution to the portfolio optimization with stochastic volatility and constraints problem has been proposed, in which most of the model parameters are time-homogeneous. However, there are cases where time-dependent parameters are needed, such as in the calibration of financial models. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to generalize the work of Mnif [18] to the time-inhomogeneous case. We consider a time-dependent exponential utility function of which the objective is to maximize the expected utility from the investor’s terminal wealth. The derived Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman(HJB) equation, is highly nonlinear and is reduced to a semilinear partial differential equation (PDE) by a suitable transformation. The existence of a smooth solution is proved and a verification theorem presented. A multi-asset stochastic volatility model with jumps and endowed with time-dependent parameters is illustrated.     

Constrained nonsmooth utility maximization without quadratic inf convolution

We address a constrained utility maximization problem in an incomplete market for a utility function defined on the whole real line. We extend current research in two directions, firstly we allow for constraints on the portfolio process. Secondly we prove our results without relying on the technique of quadratic inf convolution, simplifying the proofs in this area.     

Stochastic Differential Games with Multiple Modes and Applications to Portfolio Optimization

Abstract

We study a zero-sum stochastic differential game with multiple modes. The state of the system is governed by “controlled switching” diffusion processes. Under certain conditions, we show that the value functions of this game are unique viscosity solutions of the appropriate Hamilton–Jacobi–Isaac' system of equations. We apply our results to the analysis of a portfolio optimization problem where the investor is playing against the market and wishes to maximize his terminal utility. We show that the maximum terminal utility functions are unique viscosity solutions of the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Isaac' system of equations.     

Stochastic differential portfolio games for an insurer in a jump-diffusion risk process

We discuss an optimal portfolio selection problem of an insurer who faces model uncertainty in a jump-diffusion risk model using a game theoretic approach. In particular, the optimal portfolio selection problem is formulated as a two-person, zero-sum, stochastic differential game between the insurer and the market. There are two leader-follower games embedded in the game problem: (i) The insurer is the leader of the game and aims to select an optimal portfolio strategy by maximizing the expected utility of the terminal surplus in the “worst-case” scenario; (ii) The market acts as the leader of the game and aims to choose an optimal probability scenario to minimize the maximal expected utility of the terminal surplus. Using techniques of stochastic linear-quadratic control, we obtain closed-form solutions to the game problems in both the jump-diffusion risk process and its diffusion approximation for the case of an exponential utility.     

Optimal portfolio strategies benchmarking the stock market

The paper investigates the impact of adding a shortfall risk constraint to the problem of a portfolio manager who wishes to maximize his utility from the portfolios terminal wealth. Since portfolio managers are often evaluated relative to benchmarks which depend on the stock market we capture risk management considerations by allowing a prespecified risk of falling short such a benchmark. This risk is measured by the expected loss in utility. Using the Black–Scholes model of a complete financial market and applying martingale methods, explicit analytic expressions for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal portfolio strategies are given. Numerical examples illustrate the analytic results.     

Maximum Principle for a Stochastic Optimal Control Problem and Application to Portfolio/Consumption Choice

We consider mainly an optimal control problem motivated by a portfolio and consumption choice problem in a financial market where the utility of the investor is assumed to have a given homogeneous form. A Pontryagin local maximum principle is obtained by using classical variational methods. We apply the result to make optimal portfolio and consumption decisions for the problem under consideration. The optimal selection coincides with the one obtained in Refs. 1 and 2, where the Bellman dynamic programming principle was used.     

Optimal investment of DC pension plan under short-selling constraints and portfolio insurance

In this paper we investigate an optimal investment problem under short-selling and portfolio insurance constraints faced by a defined contribution pension fund manager who is loss averse. The financial market consists of a cash bond, an indexed bond and a stock. The manager aims to maximize the expected S-shaped utility of the terminal wealth exceeding a minimum guarantee. We apply the dual control method to solve the problem and derive the representations of the optimal wealth process and trading strategies in terms of the dual controlled process and the dual value function. We also perform some numerical tests and show how the S-shaped utility, the short-selling constraints and the portfolio insurance impact the optimal terminal wealth.     

Bond portfolio management with repo contracts: the Italian case

In this paper we present a model for management of bond portfolio including financing and investment repo contracts. Different specifications are suggested in order to reduce the problem to a linear programming problem and to consider a self-financing portfolio. The models are tested on historical data assuming a technical time scale equal to the minimum length of the contracts in the portfolio. We also compared different operative strategies on a time horizon of one month. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Portfolio Optimization with Stochastic Volatilities and Constraints: An Application in High Dimension

In this paper we are interested in an investment problem with stochastic volatilities and portfolio constraints on amounts. We model the risky assets by jump diffusion processes and we consider an exponential utility function. The objective is to maximize the expected utility from the investor terminal wealth. The value function is known to be a viscosity solution of an integro-differential Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB in short) equation which could not be solved when the risky assets number exceeds three. Thanks to an exponential transformation, we reduce the nonlinearity of the HJB equation to a semilinear equation. We prove the existence of a smooth solution to the latter equation and we state a verification theorem which relates this solution to the value function. We present an example that shows the importance of this reduction for numerical study of the optimal portfolio. We then compute the optimal strategy of investment by solving the associated optimization problem.     

Optimal impulse control of a portfolio with a fixed transaction cost

The aim of this work is to investigate a portfolio optimization problem in presence of fixed transaction costs. We consider an economy with two assets: one risky, modeled by a geometric Brownian motion, and one risk-free which grows at a certain fixed rate. The agent is fully described by his/her utility function and the objective is to maximize the expected utility from the liquidation of wealth at a terminal date. We deal with different forms of utility functions (power, logarithmic and exponential utility), describing in each case how the fixed transaction costs influence the agent’s behavior. We show when it is optimal to recalibrate his/her portfolio and which are the best adjusted portfolios. We also analyze how the optimal strategy is influenced by the risk-aversion, as well as other model parameters.