模糊系统可靠性仿真方法的研究与应用

探讨模糊系统可靠性仿真的方法和实现步骤，为缺乏实验与现场数据资料的新型、复杂装备储存可靠性的研究提供了技术途径。     

一类连续系统的模糊仿真算法

本文考虑一类连续系统具有模糊初始状态,运用文［１］中的模糊仿真原理,求得该系统的数值解．     

模糊离散事件动态系统及模糊数输入法仿真技术

本文以时间论域上的模糊集为基本模糊事件，定义了模糊离散事件动态系统，给出了系统的数学模型，以ＦＭ／ＦＭ／１排队系统为例，演示了模糊数输入法仿真技术，给出了有关结果，为管理系统仿真应用模糊集理论提出了一条新的途径。     

基于模糊双线性模型的非线性系统的跟踪控制

研究一种基于T-S模糊双线性系统的跟踪控制器设计及稳定性分析.使用分布并行补偿法(PDC)设计了模糊控制器,得到模糊双线性系统跟踪控制渐近稳定的充分条件,仿真结果验证了该方法改进了闭环系统的性能.     

F初始状态下一阶微分方程组的数值解法

本运用模糊数的扩展运算,给出了一阶微分方程组（常系数或变系数,线性或非线性系）当其初始状态具有模糊不确定性,用模糊仿真原理求数值解的方法。     

模糊时间序列模型的辨识

可能性线性系统的输出时间序列可用模糊数来表示，我们称其为模糊时间序列（ＦＴＳ），这篇论文提出了ＦＴＳ分析的新方法，并研究它的参数估计和模型定价。两个仿真例子表明本文提出的方法对ＦＴＳ分析是非常有效的。     

基于龙格-库塔方法的-阶微分方程组的初值问题

本文在Runge-Kutta方法的基础上，讨论了一阶微分方程组当其初始状态具有模糊不确定性时，运用模糊仿真的近似推理规则，求其数值解的方法．     

一类不确定多输入模糊双线性系统的输出反馈控制

针对一类具有范数有界参数不确定性的多输入模糊双线性系统,在系统的状态不完全可测的情况下,提出一种模糊镇定控制方法。设计模糊观测器估计系统的状态,基于模糊观测器,设计模糊控制器保证闭环系统的渐近稳定性。模糊控制器可以通过求解线性矩阵不等式(LMI)求得。仿真示例验证了设计方法的有效性。     

基于R—K—F方法的模糊初值问题

本在Runge-Kutta-Fehlberg方法的基础上，运用模糊仿真的近似推理规则，讨论了当初始状态具有模糊不确定性时，求微分方程数值解的问题。     

二阶微分方程第二边值问题模糊状态的数值求解

本讨论二阶微分方程的第二边值问题具有模糊不确定性时，运用模糊仿真原理和差分方法，求其边值问题的数值解法。     

基于模糊模拟的AHP在风险投资项目评价中的应用

利用基于模糊模拟的层次分析法评价风险投资项目,其中评价因素和评价因素的权重用模糊变量代替,利用模糊模拟技术处理评价模型,计算投资项目的期望值,这样可以弥补传统的层次分析法的缺点。最后,运用基于模糊模拟的层次分析法对三个风险投资项目进行评价。     

A fuzzy theoretic approach to simulation metamodeling

In this paper, we explore the potential application of fuzzy linear regression in developing simulation metamodels. It should be noted that the basic construct for simulation metamodels involves uncertainties and ambiguities that may be better addressed through fuzzy linear regression application. The solution techniques employed by fuzzy linear regression are very familiar, and the generation of fuzzy outputs may offer a wide range of solution space to the decision maker, thereby reducing the risk of making an incorrect economic decision. A numerical example is presented to show how a possibility distribution is used to capture the vagueness in a dependent variable for a regression metamodel.     

基于模糊模拟的风险投资项目决策

由于风险投资的高不确定性和风险性,使得人们难以准确预测风险投资项目的收益和状态概率,而只能得到其大致的区间范围。鉴于这种情况,本文将投资项目收益和状态概率描述为模糊变量,利用模糊变量的均值和方差建立了模糊风险投资决策模型,并给出利用模糊模拟方法计算的实例。     

自组织结构的变论域模糊控制

针对变论域模糊控制,提出一种新的自组织结构的变论域模糊控制方法。自组织结构算法可以调整变论域模糊系统结构以及动态获得模糊规则,进一步减小变论域模糊控制项的稳态逼近误差。通过进一步理论分析可知,自组织结构算法仅仅保证了系统瞬时的切换是平稳的,但不能保证系统的闭环稳定性。给出了所提出控制方法的适用条件。通过与固定模糊系统结构的变论域模糊控制比较,仿真结果表明,所提出控制方法不仅使得系统的稳态跟踪误差更平稳,而且使得输入控制信号更加平滑。     

Application of fuzzy control to a road tunnel ventilation system

This paper deals with the serious problems of ventilation system in a large road tunnel. Higher visibility and lower concentration of carbon monoxide are the key issues concerning the ventilation system. Prior to designing the fuzzy control model, a configuration layout of the ventilation system including sensing, control and traffic prediction as well is conceptually constructed. Based on the layout that offers assignments of sensors and control elements, a fuzzy logic control model is developed. Membership functions of sensor errors and control increments are physically submitted in order to set up the fuzzy logic rules. Timing and spacing filtering in terms of weighting approaches is employed in the fuzzy logic rules. A dynamic equation describing the concentration of air pollution is also given so as to cooperate with the fuzzy logic rules and to play roles in the computer simulation. The result of computer simulation involving five cases indicates that a multi-level scheme is able to solve the engineering problems.     

A note on chance constrained programming with fuzzy coefficients

This paper deals with nonlinear chance constrained programming as well as multiobjective case and goal programming with fuzzy coefficients occurring in not only constraints but also objectives. We also present a fuzzy simulation technique for handling fuzzy objective constraints and fuzzy goal constraints. Finally, a fuzzy simulation based genetic algorithm is employed to solve a numerical example.     

带模糊参数的系统模糊可靠度分析

含模糊参数系统的可靠性理论研究具有广泛的实际应用背景,但由于模糊数运算的隶属函数表达困难,影响和制约着模糊参数系统的模糊可靠性理论与应用的研究。本文利用模糊数的结构元表示,给出了模糊表达式隶属函数确定的两种方法,进而得到了具有模糊参数的不可修复串联和并联系统模糊可靠度的隶属函数表达式。     

基于Nie-Tan算法的区间二型模糊集质心计算:改变主变量采样个数

计算区间二型模糊集的质心(也称降型)是区间二型模糊逻辑系统中的一个重要模块。Karnik-Mendel(KM)迭代算法通常被认为是计算区间二型模糊集质心的标准算法。尽管如此,KM算法涉及复杂的计算过程,不利于实时应用。在各种改进类算法中,非迭代的Nie-Tan(NT)算法可节省计算消耗。此外,连续版本NT(CNT,continuous version of NT)算法被证明是计算质心的准确算法。本文比较了离散版本NT算法中求和运算和连续版本NT算法中求积分运算,通过四个计算机仿真例子证实了当适度增加区间二型模糊集主变量采样个数时,NT算法的计算结果可以精确地逼近CNT算法。     

An integrated decision support approach for project investors in risky and uncertain environments

In project investment decisions, it is often assumed that estimated values of project parameters are certain and they would not deviate by the time. However, project parameters normally change during a life cycle of the project. Therefore, an existence of a deviation or gap between forecasted values and actual values is inevitable. Because of the uncertainty of the future, forecasting the true and exact values of project parameters is almost impossible. In this study, an integrated decision support approach based on simulation and fuzzy set theory is proposed for project investors in risky and uncertain environments. This approach determines the risk levels of the projects and helps investors to make investment decisions. In the scope of the study, a flowchart is presented to guide to decision maker in different situations of information uncertainty that belongs to project parameter values. Via this flowchart, the values of project parameters can be chosen depending on how they are determined (deterministic, stochastic or fuzzy) by project analyst. Besides, calculating and analyzing the project risk in all possible situations would be easier. Illustrative examples are given to demonstrate the application of this approach.     

模糊半群上的模糊同余及其扩张

给出模糊半群上的模糊同余的概念，并进一步研究它的一些基本代数性质。同时研究带有模糊半群上的模糊同余扩张性质(FCEPF)的半群类，得到一个半群有模糊半群上的模糊同余扩张性质、有模糊同余扩张性质(FCEP)、有同余扩张性质(CEP)三个条件是等价的。