Sar modeling of unbalanced data sets

Abstract

The increased acceptance of SAR approaches to hazard identification has led us to investigate methods to improve the predictive performance of SAR models. In the present study we demonstrate that although on theoretical grounds the ratio of active to inactive chemicals in the learning set should be unity, SAR models can ?tolerate‘ an unbalanced range in ratios from 3 : 1 (i.e., 75% actives) to 1 : 2 (i.e., 33% actives) and still perform adequately. On the other hand SAR models derived from learning sets with ratios in excess of 4 : 1 (80% actives), even when corrected for the initial ratio do not perform satisfactorily.     

Qualitative and quantitative structure–activity relationship modelling for predicting blood-brain barrier permeability of structurally diverse chemicals

In this study, structure–activity relationship (SAR) models have been established for qualitative and quantitative prediction of the blood–brain barrier (BBB) permeability of chemicals. The structural diversity of the chemicals and nonlinear structure in the data were tested. The predictive and generalization ability of the developed SAR models were tested through internal and external validation procedures. In complete data, the QSAR models rendered ternary classification accuracy of >98.15%, while the quantitative SAR models yielded correlation (r²) of >0.926 between the measured and the predicted BBB permeability values with the mean squared error (MSE) <0.045. The proposed models were also applied to an external new in vitro data and yielded classification accuracy of >82.7% and r² > 0.905 (MSE < 0.019). The sensitivity analysis revealed that topological polar surface area (TPSA) has the highest effect in qualitative and quantitative models for predicting the BBB permeability of chemicals. Moreover, these models showed predictive performance superior to those reported earlier in the literature. This demonstrates the appropriateness of the developed SAR models to reliably predict the BBB permeability of new chemicals, which can be used for initial screening of the molecules in the drug development process.     

Physicochemical and Graph Theoretical Descriptors in Developmental Toxicity SAR: A Comparative Study

Abstract

Chemical insults to the developing fetus can lead to growth retardation, malformation, death, and functional deficits. The present study seeks to determine if physicochemical and/or graph theoretical parameters can be used to determine a structure-activity relationship (SAR) for developmental toxicity, and if consistency is observed among the selected features. The biological data utilized consists of a diverse series of compounds evaluated within the Chernoff-Kavlock in vivo mouse assay. Physicochemical parameters calculated correspond to electronic, steric, and transport properties. Graph theoretical parameters calculated include the simple, valence, and kappa indices. Both sets of parameters were independently applied to derive SARs in order to compare the quality of the respective models. Multiple random sampling, without replacement, was utilized to obtain ten training/test partitions. Models were built by linear discriminant analysis, decision trees, and neural networks respectively. Comparisons on identical sets of data were carried out to determine if any of the model building procedures had a significant advantage in terms of predictive performance. Furthermore, comparison of the features selected within and across the model building processes led to the determination of model consistency. Our results indicate that consistent features related to developmental toxicity are observed and that both physicochemical and graph theoretical parameters have equal utility.     

Correlative and Mechanistic QSAR Models in Toxicology

Abstract

An outline is provided on the development and use of correlative and mechanistic approaches to predictive toxicology, with particular emphasis on the experience at the U.S. EPA as applied to assessing the potential hazard posed by new industrial chemicals for which little or no test data are provided under the Toxic Substances Control Act. This information is presented with a historical perspective.     

Computational Toxicology and the Generation of Mechanistic Hypotheses: γ-Butyrolactone

Abstract

In this study, we use SAR approaches in an attempt to elucidate the action of γ-butyrolactone (GBL), an illicit drug and a dietary supplement, that can cause coma and deaths in humans while exhibiting low systemic toxicity towards rodents.

The lack of systemic toxicity of GBL and of its metabolite(s) was also predicted by validated SAR models. In fact using diverse SAR models, the only significant SAR prediction was that GBL had the potential for inhibiting human cytochrome P4502D6 (CYP2D6). However, inhibition of that isozyme is not necessarily associated with toxicity. It is suggested that GBL users also abuse other substances. When GBL inhibits CYP2D6 this may prevent the CYP2D6-mediated detoxification of other toxicants simultaneously consumed by the GBL user.     

Improving confidence in (Q)SAR predictions under Canada’s Chemicals Management Plan – a chemical space approach$

Abstract

One of the key challenges of Canada’s Chemicals Management Plan (CMP) is assessing chemicals with limited/no empirical hazard data for their risk to human health. In some instances, these chemicals have not been tested broadly for their toxicological potency; as such, limited information exists on their potential to induce human health effects following exposure. Although (quantitative) structure activity relationship ((Q)SAR) models are able to generate predictions to address data gaps for certain toxicological endpoints, the confidence in predictions also needs to be addressed. One way to address this issue is to apply a chemical space approach. This approach uses international toxicological databases, for example, those available in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) QSAR Toolbox. The approach,assesses a model’s ability to predict the potential hazards of chemicals that have limited hazard data that require assessment under the CMP when compared to a larger, data-rich chemical space that is structurally similar to chemicals of interest. This evaluation of a model’s predictive ability makes (Q)SAR analysis more transparent and increases confidence in the application of these predictions in a risk-assessment context. Using this approach, predictions for such chemicals obtained from four (Q)SAR models were successfully classified into high, medium and low confidence levels to better inform their use in decision-making.     

PASS-based prediction of metabolites detection in biological systems

ABSTRACT

Metabolite identification is an essential part of the drug discovery and development process. Experimental methods allow identifying metabolites and estimating their relative amount, but they require cost-intensive and time-consuming techniques. Computational methods for metabolite prediction are devoid of these shortcomings and may be applied at the early stage of drug discovery. In this study, we investigated the possibility of creating SAR models for the prediction of the qualitative metabolite yield (‘major’, ‘minor’, ”trace” and ”negligible”) depending on species and biological experimental systems. In addition, we have created models for prediction of xenobiotic excretion depending on its administration route for different species. The prediction is based on an algorithm of naïve Bayes classifier implemented in PASS software. The average accuracy of prediction was 0.91 for qualitative metabolite yield prediction and 0.89 for prediction of xenobiotic excretion. The created models were included as a component of MetaTox web application, which allows predicting the xenobiotic metabolism pathways (http://www.way2drug.com/mg).     

Books Section

Abstract

The availability of validated and characterized SAR models of toxicological phenomena provides a method to apply SAR technology to a variety of environmental, public health and industrial situations. These include (i) the prioritization of environmental pollutants for control and or regulation, (ii) the design of multi-action optimized therapeutics from which the potential for unwanted side-effects have been engineered out, (iii) the development of SAR-based computer-driven screening procedure to identify candidate therapeutics based upon combinatorial chemistry or compilations of molecular structures, (iv) the generation of toxicological profiles to be used in the selection of benign chemicals in the early stages of product development.     

Decision tree SAR models for developmental toxicity based on an FDA/TERIS database

Humans are exposed to thousands of environmental chemicals for which no developmental toxicity information is available. Structure-activity relationships (SARs) are models that could be used to efficiently predict the biological activity of potential developmental toxicants. However, at this time, no adequate SAR models of developmental toxicity are available for risk assessment. In the present study, a new developmental database was compiled by combining toxicity information from the Teratogen Information System (TERIS) and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) guidelines. We implemented a decision tree modeling procedure, using Classification and Regression Tree software and a model ensemble approach termed bagging. We then assessed the empirical distributions of the prediction accuracy measures of the single and ensemble-based models, achieved by repeating our modeling experiment many times by repeated random partitioning of the working database. The decision tree developmental SAR models exhibited modest prediction accuracy. Bagging tended to enhance the accuracy of prediction. Also, the model ensemble approach reduced the variability of prediction measures compared to the single model approach. Further research with data derived from animal species- and endpoint-specific components of an extended and refined FDA/TERIS database has the potential to derive SAR models that would be useful in the developmental risk assessment of the thousands of untested chemicals.     

SAR—The U.S. Regulatory Perspective

Abstract

Structure-Activity Relationships (SAR) have been used for over a decade by the U.S. EPA's Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics (OPPT) in their new chemicals program. The development and use of SAR resulted from the need to make rapid risk-based decisions on thousands of new chemicals per year while seldom receiving data on chemical properties, potential exposures, or hazards to humans or organisms in the environment. Qualitative SAR and quantitative SAR methods (QSAR) have been used to fill some of these data gaps by estimating the potential properties and hazards of such chemicals. SAR has been used to assess chemical hazards, identify testing needs, and set priorities. Validation of these SAR assessment tools is an ongoing process.     

REACTIONS IN THE CHLOROSILANE-SILANOL-SILOXANE SYSTEM

Abstract

We obtained the first σ?-values and E_s -values for siloxy groups by spectroscopic and kinetic methods. Detailed mechanistic investigations are performed on the hydrolysis of chlorosiloxanes, the cleavage of Si[sbnd]O[sbnd]Si bonds by HCl, and the substituent exchange reaction between silanols and chlorosilanes.     

REACTIONS OF COMPOUNDS OF PHOSPHORUS HAVING POSITIVELY POLARIZED DIVALENT SULFUR WITH DISILATHIANES. SYNTHETIC AND MECHANISTIC ASPECTS

Abstract

Reactions of hexamethyldisilathiane with oxophosphoranesulfenyl chlorides, oxophosphorane sulfenates and bis-phosphoranyldisulfides were studied. These processes lead to mono o-silyl thionesters of phosphorus. The mechanistic pathways are discussed.     

STEREOCHEMISTRIES OF SOME REACTIONS OF CYCLIC STEREOISOMETRIC PHOSPHITES

Abstract

The reaction of the isomeric phosphites, 1 and 2, with ozone have been shown to be stereospecific and to proceed with retention of configuration about phosphorus. Similarly ozonization of mixtures of 3 and 4 were found to be stereospecific or very nearly so with retention of configuration about phosphorus. The mechanistic implications of these findings are discussed. Reactions of 1 and 2 with neopentyl and t-butyl hypochlorites proceed in a stereochemically random manner. The formation of a pentacoordinated intermediate is implicated. Reactions of a mixture of 1 and 2 with ethyl thiyl radicals provided phosphorothionates with complete retention of configuration.