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1.
We present a transform–free analysis of the following model. The state of the system is initially 0 and thereafter increases jumpwise due to compound Poisson shocks. Each shock increases the state by a random amount. The system is inspected at random points in time. If the state is above a threshold at an inspection, the system is replaced, otherwise no action is taken. Each replacement instantaneously brings the state back to 0. (Existing models assume either exponential interinspection times or discrete shock magnitudes.) This model can be applied to reliability, inventory, and queueing problems.Interpretations are given throughout to make the results easier to understand and to apply  相似文献   

2.
A system is subject to shocks that arrive according to a non-homogeneous pure birth process. As shocks occur, the system has two types of failures. Type-I failure (minor failure) is removed by a general repair, whereas type-II failure (catastrophic failure) is removed by an unplanned replacement. The occurrence of the failure type is based on some random mechanism which depends on the number of shocks occurred since the last replacement. Under an age replacement policy, a planned (or scheduled) replacement happens whenever an operating system reaches age T. The aim of this note is to derive the expected cost functions and characterize the structure of the optimal replacement policy for such a general setting. We show that many previous models are special cases of our general model. A numerical example is presented to show the application of the algorithm and several useful insights.  相似文献   

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Traditionally, in the studies of the optimal maintenance policies for repairable systems, the nonhomogeneous Poisson process model, which corresponds to the minimal repair process, has been intensively applied. However, in many practical situations, the repair type is not necessarily minimal. In this article, a new repair process based on a new counting process model (so‐called the generalized Polya process) is introduced. Then, the issue of the optimal replacement problem is discussed. A bivariate preventive replacement policy is developed and the properties of the optimal policy are studied. Illustrative examples are also presented. In addition, a comparison with a conventional replacement policy is performed.  相似文献   

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《Optimization》2012,61(2):139-154
Summary: A system experiences a shock of magnitude γ i at time τ i . Each shock deteriorate system to some extent and due to the decrease in efficiency, the system becomes more expensive to run. Assuming that the shock process is a general birth process and the cost structure depends on the magnitude of the shocks and time, the optimum replacement period of the system has been derived Optimum replacement periods for particular cases of general birth process are discussed in detail with suitable examples.  相似文献   

7.
A system is subject to shocks that arrive according to a non-homogeneous Poisson process. As shocks occur a system has two types of failures: type I failure (minor failure) is rectified by a minimal repair, whereas type II failure (catastrophic failure) is removed by replacement. The probability of a type II failure is permitted to depend on the number of shocks since the last replacement. This paper proposes a generalized replacement policy where a system is replaced at the nth type I failure or first type II failure or at age T, whichever occurs first. The cost of the minimal repair of the system at age t depends on the random part C(t) and deterministic paper c(t). The expected cost rate is obtained. The optimal n1 and optimal T1 which would minimize the cost rate are derived and discussed. Various special cases are considered and detailed.  相似文献   

8.
The reliability of a multi-state system is considered. The system is subject to both internal wear-out and external shocks causing damage that cumulates as shocks follow one another. As a consequence of this cumulating damage, the system wear-out process can be affected.  相似文献   

9.
An extended stochastic failure model for a system subject to random shocks   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
In this article, a stochastic failure model for a system subject to a random shock process is studied. It is assumed that a fatal shock results in an immediate system failure, whereas a non-fatal shock may increase the susceptibility of the system to failure. The lifetime distribution of the system and its failure rate function are derived, and the effect of environmental factors on the failure process of the system is also investigated. Lifetimes of systems operated under different environmental conditions are stochastically compared.  相似文献   

10.
An operating system is subject to shocks that arrive according to a non-homogeneous Poisson process. As shocks occur the system has two types of failure: type I failure (minor) or type II failure (catastrophic). A generalization of the age replacement policy for such a system is proposed and analyzed in this study. Under such a policy, if an operating system suffers a shock and fails at age y (⩽t), it is either replaced by a new system (type II failure) or it undergoes minimal repair (type I failure). Otherwise, the system is replaced when the first shock after t arrives, or the total operating time reaches age T (0  t  T), whichever occurs first. The occurrence of those two possible actions occurring during the period [0, t] is based on some random mechanism which depends on the number of shocks suffered since the last replacement. The aim of this paper is to find the optimal pair (t1, T1) that minimizes the long-run expected cost per unit time of this policy. Various special cases are included, and a numerical example is given.  相似文献   

11.
An inspection and replacement policy for a protection system is described in which the inspection process is subject to error, and false positives (false alarms) and false negatives are possible. We develop two models: one in which a false positive implies renewal of the protection system; the other not. These models are motivated by inspection of a protection system on the production line of a beverage manufacturer. False negatives reduce the efficiency of inspection. Another notion of imperfect maintenance is also modelled: that of poor installation of a component at replacement. These different aspects of maintenance quality interact: false alarms can, in a worst case scenario, lead to the systematic and unnecessary replacement of good components by poor components, thus reducing the availability of the system. The models also allow situations in which maintenance quality differs between alternative maintainers to be investigated.  相似文献   

12.
Under the generalized age replacement policy, the system is replaced either at the predetermined age or upon failure if its corresponding repair time exceeds the threshold, whichever comes first. In this paper, we investigate the optimal choice of the pre‐determined preventive replacement age for a nonwarranted system, which minimizes the expected cost rate during the life cycle of the system from the customer's perspective under certain cost structures. Furthermore, we discuss several properties of such a generalized age replacement policy in comparison with the traditional age replacement policy. An efficiency, which represents the fractional time that the system is on, is defined under the proposed generalized age replacement policy and its monotonicity properties are investigated as well. The main objective of this study is to investigate the advantageous features of the generalized age replacement policy over the traditional age replacement policy with regard to the availability of the repairable system. Assuming that the system deteriorates with age, we illustrate our proposed optimal policies numerically and observe the impact of relevant parameters on the optimal preventive replacement age.  相似文献   

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Preventive maintenance policies have been studied in the literature without considering the risk due to the cost variability. In this paper, we consider the two most popular preventive replacement policies, namely, age and block replacement policies under long-run average cost and expected unit time cost criteria. To quantify the risk in the preventive maintenance policies, we use the long-run variance of the accumulated cost over a time interval. We numerically derive the Risk-sensitive preventive replacement policies and study the impact of the Risk-sensitive optimality criterion on the managerial decisions. We also examine the performance of the expected unit time cost criterion as an alternative to the traditional long-run average cost criterion.  相似文献   

15.
An operating system is subject to random shocks that arrive according to a non-homogeneous Poisson process and cause the system failed. System failures experience to be divided into two categories: a type-I failure (minor), rectified by a minimal repair; or a type-II failure (catastrophic) that calls for a replacement. An age-replacement model is studied by considering both a cumulative repair-cost limit and a system’s entire repair-cost history. Under such a policy, the system is replaced at age T, or at the k-th type-I failure at which the accumulated repair cost exceeds the pre-determined limit, or at any type-II failure, whichever occurs first. The object of this article is to study analytically the minimum-cost replacement policy for showing its existence, uniqueness, and the structural properties. The proposed model provides a general framework for analyzing the maintenance policies, and presents several numerical examples for illustration purposes.  相似文献   

16.
In general, the initiation of preventive maintenance should be based on the technical state as well as the operating state of a production system. Since the operating state of a production system is often subject to fluctuations in time, the planning of preventive maintenance at preset points in time (e.g. age/block replacement) cannot be optimal. Therefore, we propose a so-called two-stage maintenance policy, which - in a first stage - uses the technical state of the production system to determine a finite interval [t, t + At] during which preventive maintenance must be carried out, and - in a second stage - uses the operating state of the production system to determine the optimal starting time t̂ for preventive maintenance within that interval. A generalized age maintenance policy optimizing both t and At is formulated in the first stage. To this end, the actual starting time of preventive maintenance is modelled in terms of a uniform distribution over the maintenance interval. Moreover, the expected costs of preventive maintenance are modelled as a decreasing function of the interval size. An efficient algorithm is developed to demonstrate the optimal strategy for a queue-like production system, via numerical results that offer useful insights.  相似文献   

17.
In the present paper, a collocation finite element approach based on cubic splines is presented for the numerical solution of a generalized wave equation subject to non-local conservation condition. The efficiency, accuracy and stability of the method are assessed by applying it to a number of test problems. The results are compared with the existing closed-form solutions; the scheme demonstrates that the numerical outcomes are reliable and quite accurate when contrasted with the analytical solutions and an existing numerical method.  相似文献   

18.
In this article, we consider a discrete-time order replacementproblem. More precisely, we treat a generalized model with morecomplex cost structure than Kaio & Osaki (1979, IEEE Trans.Reliab., R-29, 405–406) and with two decision variables:allowable inventory time and ordering time. Based on the discreteprobabilistic argument, we derive the optimal ordering policyto deliver a spare unit preventively by a regular order, soas to minimize the expected cost per unit time in the steadystate. Numerical examples are devoted to carrying out the sensitivityanalysis of model parameters on the optimal ordering policyand its associated expected cost value.  相似文献   

19.
This paper proposes a multi-objective approach to model a replacement policy problem applicable to equipment with a predetermined period of use (a planning horizon), which may undergo critical and non-critical failures. Corrective replacements and imperfect repairs are taken to restore the system to operation respectively when critical and non-critical failures occur. Generalized Renewal Process (GRP) is used to model imperfect repairs. The proposed model supports decisions on preventive replacement intervals and the number of spare parts purchased at the beginning of the planning horizon. A Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA) coupled with discrete event simulation (DES) is proposed to provide a set of solutions (Pareto-optimum set) committed to the different objectives of a maintenance manager in the face of a replacement policy problem, that is, maintenance cost, rate of occurrence of failures, unavailability, and investment on spare parts. The proposed MOGA is validated by an application example against the results obtained via the exhaustive approach. Moreover, examples are presented to evaluate the behavior of objective functions on Pareto set (trade-off analysis) and the impact of the repair effectiveness on the decision making.  相似文献   

20.
Novel replacement policies that are hybrids of inspection maintenance and block replacement are developed for an n identical component series system in which the component parts used at successive replacements arise from a heterogeneous population. The heterogeneous nature of components implies a mixed distribution for time to failure. In these circumstances, a hybrid policy comprising two phases, an early inspection phase and a later wear-out replacement phase, may be appropriate. The policy has some similarity to burn-in maintenance. The simplest policy described is such a hybrid and comprises a block-type or periodic replacement policy with an embedded block or periodic inspection policy. We use a three state failure model, in which a component may be good, defective or failed, in order to consider inspection maintenance. Hybrid block replacement and age-based inspection, and opportunistic hybrid policies will also arise naturally in these circumstances and these are briefly investigated. For the simplest policy, an approximation is used to determine the long-run cost and the system reliability. The policies have the interesting property that the system reliability may be a maximum when the long-run cost is close to its minimum. The failure model implies that the effect of maintenance is heterogeneous. The policies themselves imply that maintenance is carried out more prudently to newer than to older systems. The maintenance of traction motor bearings on underground trains is used to illustrate the ideas in the paper.  相似文献   

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