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PANDERIVATIVE BLOWN-UP OF GROUND TEMPERATUREAND PREDICTING EARTHQUAKE
作者姓名:李超  欧阳首承  汤懋苍
作者单位:Li Chao(Chengdu Intitute of Meteorology,Chengdu 610041,P. R. China)Ouyang Shoucheng(Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Science,Lanzhou 730000,P. R. China)Tang Maocang(Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics,C
摘    要:I.IntroductionEarthquakeisanaturalphenomenonofthemovementinsidetheearthitself.Itisalwaysadamageprocesstohumanbeing,biosphereandsoon.itsreflectiollispreltlyseriotls.Itissignificanttoinvestigateitsactivityfeatureandconcerningprocess,tounderstallditsphysicalSubstancetoformulateproventingmeasuresandimprovemonitoringpossibility.Groundthermalheatcurrentcontainsplentit'ulinformationofgeology,geophysicalilndgeochemistry.Itisimportantforgeoscienceresearch.Ithasbeenprovedthatthereexigtgoutgoinggeother…

关 键 词:ground  temperature  ’flow’  blown-up  panderivative  predicting
收稿时间:26 June 1996

Panderivative blown-up of ground temperature and predicting earthquake
Li Chao,Ouyang Shoucheng,Tang Maocang.PANDERIVATIVE BLOWN-UP OF GROUND TEMPERATUREAND PREDICTING EARTHQUAKE[J].Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition),1998,19(3):253-262.
Authors:Li Chao  Ouyang Shoucheng  Tang Maocang
Institution:(1) Chengdu Intitute of Meteorology, 610041 Chengdu, PR China;(2) Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science, 730000 Lanzhou, PR China
Abstract:According to the blown-up theory (deseribed in references 1, 2]) for nonlineardynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation ,optimsationand panderivative blown-up,, by means of blown-up theory we demonstrate that theblolwn-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution ofobservational ground temperature temperature 'flow 'in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates thatthe blown-up of ground temperature 'flow 'around earthquake can be applied to prediclearthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months.If ground temperature 'flow' that embodies the earth's crust satisfies theunintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.
Keywords:ground temperature 'flow'  blown-up  panderivative  predicting
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