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Expansions for the distribution and the maximum from distributions with an asymptotically gamma tail when a trend is present
Authors:Christopher S Withers  Saralees Nadarajah
Institution:1. Industrial Research Limited, Lower Hutt, New Zealand; 2. University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK
Abstract:
We give expansions about the Gumbel distribution in inverse powers of n and log n for M n , the maximum of a sample size n or n+1 when the j-th observation is \(\mu (\tfrac{j}{n}) + e_j \), µ is any smooth trend function and the residuals {e j } are independent and identically distributed with
$$P(e > r) \approx \exp ( - \delta x)x^{d_0 } \sum\limits_{k = 1}^\infty {c_k x^{ - k\beta } } $$
as x→∞. We illustrate practical value of the expansions using simulated data sets.
Keywords:Bell polynomials  expansions  exponential and gamma tails  Gumbel  maximum  trend  
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