首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

基于STIRPAT模型的我国制造业碳排放影响因素研究
引用本文:丁唯佳,吴先华,孙宁,王桂芝,巢惟忐.基于STIRPAT模型的我国制造业碳排放影响因素研究[J].数理统计与管理,2012,31(3):499-506.
作者姓名:丁唯佳  吴先华  孙宁  王桂芝  巢惟忐
作者单位:1. 中央财经大学会计学院,北京,102206
2. 南京信息工程大学,江苏南京,210044
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71173116);国家自然科学基金项目(71140014),国家自然科学基金项目(70873063);教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(08JJD630006);2010年度江苏高校哲学社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(SK2010135-5)
摘    要:本文采用岭估计法和STIRPAT模型,定量分析了人口、财富和技术因素对我国制造业碳排放的影响,认为人口和财富因素对我国制造业碳排放存在正向作用,影响系数值分别为0.529和0.2565;技术因素有负向作用,其影响系数为-0.0965。构建了引入人口和财富二次方项的STIRPAT模型,二次方项的系数都为正,说明环境库兹涅茨倒U型曲线不适用于我国目前制造业碳排放,即我国制造业碳排放短期内不会出现拐点。最后给出了相应的对策建议。

关 键 词:制造业  碳排放  STIRPAT模型

Analyzing Impact Factors of Manufacturing CO2 Emissions in China Based on the STIRPAT Model
DING Wei-jia,WU Xian-hua,SUN Ning,WANG Gui-zhi,CHAO Wei-tan.Analyzing Impact Factors of Manufacturing CO2 Emissions in China Based on the STIRPAT Model[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2012,31(3):499-506.
Authors:DING Wei-jia  WU Xian-hua  SUN Ning  WANG Gui-zhi  CHAO Wei-tan
Institution:1.School of Accountancy of Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 102206,China; 2.Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Jiangsu Nanjing 210044,China)
Abstract:Through ridge estimation method STIRPAT model,quantitative analysis of population, wealth and technological factors on the impact of carbon emissions which China’s manufacturing industry caused,the results prove that the factors of population and wealth of China’s manufacturing industry are positive roles in carbon emissions.The values were separately 0.529 and 0.2565 while technical factors showed the negative role of -0.0965.Then constructed and introduced population and wealth of the STIRPAT quadratic model,results showed that the coefficient of the second side for being on the Environmental Kuznets inverted U-curve does not apply to the manufacturing sector carbon emissions in China,that China’s manufacturing carbon emissions within the industry will not be short-term inflection point,Which made China’s manufacturing sector carbon emission reduction a wake-up call.Finally, given for the manufacturing of related carbon emissions,proposed reduction policy recommendations.
Keywords:manufacturing  carbon emissions  STIRPAT model
本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号