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利用Logistic模型预测耐用消费品社会拥有量
引用本文:何文章,张宪彬.利用Logistic模型预测耐用消费品社会拥有量[J].数理统计与管理,1994,13(1):21-25.
作者姓名:何文章  张宪彬
作者单位:黑龙江矿业学院,鸡西矿务局党校
摘    要:本文把生物学中的Logistic模型,通过变换而线性化的方法,用于研究耐用消费品社会拥有量的发展趋势,取得了良好的预测结果.从而为生产耐用消费品的企业领导做出科学决策提供了理论上的依据,对耐用消费品的市场开拓与启动具有一定的意义.

关 键 词:Logistic模型,耐用消费品,预测

FORECAST SOCIAL POSSESSIVE QUANTITY OF DURABLE COMMODITY BY LOGISTIC MODEL
He Wen-Zhang.FORECAST SOCIAL POSSESSIVE QUANTITY OF DURABLE COMMODITY BY LOGISTIC MODEL[J].Application of Statistics and Management,1994,13(1):21-25.
Authors:He Wen-Zhang
Abstract:By means of the liearization from the transformation of variables and coefficients, Logistic model in biology is applied to research developmental trend of possessive quantity of durable commodity, so that we gained a good forecast effect. From this, a theoretical basis is provided for an enterprise leader to make scientific policy in producting durable commodity.And it is a certain significance for opening up and inspiring durable commoditys market.
Keywords:Logistic model  Durable commodity  Forecast  
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