| 上海市电力需求的协整与误差修正分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王海鹏,田澎,尹茂华.上海市电力需求的协整与误差修正分析[J].数理统计与管理,2006,25(2):127-131. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王海鹏 田澎 尹茂华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海交通大学管理学院,上海,200030
2. 中国人民大学经济学院,北京,100872 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用协整与误差修正模型技术研究了上海市电力需求的决定因素,建立了上海电力需求函数,检验了电力需求与国内生产总值、电力价格、经济结构、电力使用效率之间的长期均衡关系及短期波动关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力需求 协整 误差纠正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566(2006)02-0127-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-11-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-10 |
An Analysis of Power Demand in Shanghai Using Co-integration and Error Correction Model |
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| WANG Hai-peng,TIAN Peng,YIN Mao-hua.An Analysis of Power Demand in Shanghai Using Co-integration and Error Correction Model[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2006,25(2):127-131. |
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| Authors: | WANG Hai-peng TIAN Peng YIN Mao-hua |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China 200030; 2. School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing,China 100872 |
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| Abstract: | Based on co-integration theory and error correction model,this paper studies the determinants of power demand,constructs a power demand function,and tests the long-run equilibrium relationship and short-term fluctuation relationship between aggregate power demand and the main economic variables,such as GDP,price,economic structure and efficiency. |
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| Keywords: | Electric power demand Co-integration Error correction model |
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