| 中国工业化发展态势分析:1981～2001 |
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| 引用本文： | 杜兰英,张赞.中国工业化发展态势分析:1981～2001[J].数理统计与管理,2005,25(4):1-5. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杜兰英 张赞 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华中科技大学管理学院,武汉,430074
2. 复旦大学管理学院,上海,200433 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用时序全局主成分分析法对1981～2001年中国的工业化发展作了动态描绘,结果表明,1981～2001年中国的工业化发展处于整体攀升并伴有小幅波动态势。动态轨迹与客观实际能较好的吻合,可为中国工业化进一步健康发展提供参考依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 工业化 发展态势 时序分析 主成分分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566(2005)04-0001-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年10月24 |
The Analysis of Chinese Industrialization Developing Situation from 1981 to 2001 |
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| DU Lan-ying,ZHANG Zan.The Analysis of Chinese Industrialization Developing Situation from 1981 to 2001[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2005,25(4):1-5. |
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| Authors: | DU Lan-ying ZHANG Zan |
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| Institution: | Du Lan-ying1,Zhang Zan2 |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyses Chinese industialization development from 1981 to 2001 by means of time series analysis and all-around PCA.The result has shown that China’s industrialization development from 1981 to 2001 was climbing on the whole,but had fluctuation within low range, and its dynamic track can well reflect the fact,so it can be regarded as a reference for farther industrialization development. |
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| Keywords: | industrialization development time series analysis all-around PCA |
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