基于灰色理论与统计学比较的包头市经济发展预测研究

本文研究了基于灰色理论与统计学比较的系统建模方法来对包头市未来的经济发展做出预测。在分析了包头市的经济发展状况后,作者通过国内生产总值的时间序列这个综合信息,应用灰色理论与有关统计学分别建立了包头市的经济增长的数学模型,并应用这些模型分别进行了预测。经过比较,最后给出了包头市的"十一五"期间的国内生产总值的预测值。

A Study on Prediction of the Economic Development for Baotou City Based n Comparisons Between Grey Theory and Statistics

This paper studies on the prediction of the economic development indices of BaoTou based on comparison results of the gray system theory and statistical models.Analyzing the economical state of BaoTou,the authors get the useful information from the time series of GDP of BaoTou,then mathematical models of economical development of BaoTou are built by using the grey system theory and some related statistical methods,the predictions have been done in terms of the built models.After comparisons,the prediction of each year's the GDP of BaoTou in the 11 th Five-Year Plan period is presented finally.