| 关于我国产业结构调整与经济周期波动的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 石柱鲜,吴泰岳,邓创,王晶晶.关于我国产业结构调整与经济周期波动的实证研究[J].数理统计与管理,2009,28(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 石柱鲜 吴泰岳 邓创 王晶晶 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 吉林大学数量经济研究中心,吉林,长春,130012;吉林大学商学院,吉林,长春,130012
2. 吉林大学商学院,吉林,长春,130012 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文对我国产业结构调整与经济周期之间的相互关系进行了实证分析.首先分析了我国GDP增长与三次产业的增长之间的关系,进而对我国的经济周期和三次产业的经济周期进行了分析和对比,最后利用ADF检验,VAR模型和脉冲响应函数,对我国经济周期波动成分,三次产业比重之间的影响关系,及影响程度进行了分析和研究.
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| 关 键 词： | 产业结构 经济周期波动 脉冲响应函数 |
The Empirical Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment and Business Cycle in China |
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| SHI Zhu-xian,WU Tai-yue,DENG Chuang,WANG Jing-jing.The Empirical Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment and Business Cycle in China[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2009,28(3). |
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| Authors: | SHI Zhu-xian WU Tai-yue DENG Chuang WANG Jing-jing |
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| Abstract: | This paper makes a positive research on the industrial structure adjustment and business cycle in China.Firstly,we analyze relationship between the GDP growth and the growth of three industries. Secondly,we get the business cycle and three industries business cycle of our country and analyze their relation.Finally,by using ADF test,VAR and impulse response function,we study the relations and the degree of the impact between fluctuation component in business cycle and three industries. |
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| Keywords: | industrial structure economic cycles impulse response function |
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