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Hierarchical linear regression models for conditional quantiles
作者姓名:TIAN Maozai & CHEN Gemai School of Statistics  Renmin University of China  Beijing  China and Center for Applied Statistics  Renmin University of China  Beijing  China  
作者单位:TIAN Maozai & CHEN Gemai School of Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China and Center for Applied Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China; Department of Mathematics and Statistics,University of Calgary,Canada
摘    要:The quantile regression has several useful features and therefore is gradually developing into a comprehensive approach to the statistical analysis of linear and nonlinear response models, but it cannot deal effectively with the data with a hierarchical structure. In practice, the existence of such data hierarchies is neither accidental nor ignorable, it is a common phenomenon. To ignore this hierarchical data structure risks overlooking the importance of group effects, and may also render many of the traditional statistical analysis techniques used for studying data relationships invalid. On the other hand, the hierarchical models take a hierarchical data structure into account and have also many applications in statistics, ranging from overdispersion to constructing min-max estimators. However, the hierarchical models are virtually the mean regression, therefore, they cannot be used to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a dependent variable given high-dimensional covariates. Furthermore, the estimated coefficient vector (marginal effects) is sensitive to an outlier observation on the dependent variable. In this article, a new approach, which is based on the Gauss-Seidel iteration and taking a full advantage of the quantile regression and hierarchical models, is developed. On the theoretical front, we also consider the asymptotic properties of the new method, obtaining the simple conditions for an n1/2-convergence and an asymptotic normality. We also illustrate the use of the technique with the real educational data which is hierarchical and how the results can be explained.

收稿时间:22 April 2005
修稿时间:11 July 2006

Hierarchical linear regression models for conditional quantiles
TIAN Maozai & CHEN Gemai School of Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing ,China and Center for Applied Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing ,China,.Hierarchical linear regression models for conditional quantiles[J].Science in China(Mathematics),2006,49(12):1800-1815.
Authors:TIAN Maozai  CHEN Gemai
Institution:1. School of Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China and Center for Applied Statistics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China
2. Department of Mathematics and Statistics,University of Calgary,Canada
Abstract:The quantile regression has several useful features and therefore is gradually developing into a comprehensive approach to the statistical analysis of linear and nonlinear response models, but it cannot deal effectively with the data with a hierarchical structure. In practice, the existence of such data hierarchies is neither accidental nor ignorable, it is a common phenomenon. To ignore this hierarchical data structure risks overlooking the importance of group effects, and may also render many of the traditional statistical analysis techniques used for studying data relationships invalid. On the other hand, the hierarchical models take a hierarchical data structure into account and have also many applications in statistics, ranging from overdispersion to constructing min-max estimators. However, the hierarchical models are virtually the mean regression, therefore, they cannot be used to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a dependent variable given high-dimensional covariates. Furthermore, the estimated coefficient vector (marginal effects) is sensitive to an outlier observation on the dependent variable. In this article, a new approach, which is based on the Gauss-Seidel iteration and taking a full advantage of the quantile regression and hierarchical models, is developed. On the theoretical front, we also consider the asymptotic properties of the new method, obtaining the simple conditions for an n1/2-convergence and an asymptotic normality. We also illustrate the use of the technique with the real educational data which is hierarchical and how the results can be explained.
Keywords:hierarchical quantile regression models  EQ algorithm  fixed effects  random effects  regression quantile
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