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平衡指数损失函数下的信度保费
引用本文:张强,倪科社,吴黎军.平衡指数损失函数下的信度保费[J].经济数学,2014(2):106-110.
作者姓名:张强  倪科社  吴黎军
作者单位:石河子大学理学院;新疆大学数学与系统科学学院;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(编号:11361058)
摘    要:在经典的信度保费模型中,得到的信度保费估计均是考虑的是纯保费,然而在保险实务中,保险公司收取的保费不可能是纯保费,必须具有正的安全负荷.在平衡指数损失函数下,研究了多合同的信度保费模型.利用正交投影方法,得到了未来保费的信度估计.最后对估计进行了数值模拟.

关 键 词:平衡指数损失函数  信度估计  正交投影

The Credibility Premium with Balanced Exponential Loss Function
ZHANG Qiang,NI Ke-she,Wu Li-jun.The Credibility Premium with Balanced Exponential Loss Function[J].Mathematics in Economics,2014(2):106-110.
Authors:ZHANG Qiang  NI Ke-she  Wu Li-jun
Institution:1. College of Sciences, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003 China ; 2. College of Mathematics and System Science, Xinjiang University. , Urumqi 830046 China)
Abstract:In the classical credibility premium model,the credibility premium is derived under the net premium principle.But in insurance practice,the premiums charged by insurance companies can not be the net premium,and must have a positive safe-loading.This paper studied the multi-contract credibility model under balanced exponential loss function.Using the method of orthogonal proj ection,the credibility estimator of the future premium was derived.Finally,the estimator was shown by simulations.
Keywords:balanced loss function  credibility estimator  orthogonal proj ection
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