| 基于故障树的城市雾霾天气模糊综合评判 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴天魁,王 波,顾基发,周晓辉,朱俊岚.基于故障树的城市雾霾天气模糊综合评判[J].经济数学,2014(3):106-110. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴天魁 王 波 顾基发 周晓辉 朱俊岚 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]上海理工大学 管理学院,上海200093; [2]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院系统科学研究所,北京100080 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点基础研究发展计划（973）资助项目（2010CB731400） |
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| 摘 要： | 以某市雾霾天气为例,找出导致该市雾霾发生的原因并建立相关的故障树,通过分析得出导致该市发生雾霾的主要原因为气象和人为原因.然后利用模糊综合评判法,对该市雾霾污染程度进行了量化评判,得出该市雾霾污染程度为重度污染,便于该市相关部门做好防范措施.结果表明,利用故障树分析法和模糊综合评判法对雾霾天气进行分析是可行的,为其他雾霾城市分析提供了参考依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 雾霾 故障树 模糊综合评价法 |
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of City Fog-haze Weather Based on Fault Tree |
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| WU Tian-kui,WANG Bo,GU Ji-f,ZHOU Xiao-hui,ZHU Jun-lan.Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of City Fog-haze Weather Based on Fault Tree[J].Mathematics in Economics,2014(3):106-110. |
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| Authors: | WU Tian-kui WANG Bo GU Ji-f ZHOU Xiao-hui ZHU Jun-lan |
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| Institution: | WU Tian-kui, WANG Bo, GU Ji-fa, ZHOU Xiao-hui, ZHU Jun-lan ( 1. Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology , Shanghai 200093, China ; 2. Institute of Systems Science Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100080,China) |
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| Abstract: | By choosing fog-haze of a city and figuring out the causes of fog-haze weather,this paper established a fault tree.And the analysis revealed that it was mainly atmosphere and human beings that caused fog-haze weather.Then,this pa-per used fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to evaluate on the levels of fog-haze of the city,reaching the conclusion that it ranked general.So it was easy for the city to take precautions.The results show that it is feasible to analyze and evaluate the city’s fog-haze weather by fault tree analysis and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. |
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| Keywords: | fog-haze fault tree fuzzy comprehensive evaluation |
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