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一类具有新红利界限的Erlang(2)风险模型
引用本文:聂高琴,刘黎明,王建文.一类具有新红利界限的Erlang(2)风险模型[J].经济数学,2009(4).
作者姓名:聂高琴  刘黎明  王建文
作者单位:首都经济贸易大学统计学院 中国水利水电科学研究院
基金项目:北京市自然科学基金资助项目(70073018);; 首都经济贸易大学校级科研资助项目(2009XJ014)
摘    要:考虑到保险公司的实际运作中红利的发放率要比保费的收取率小,将一类新的红利政策引入Erlang(2)风险模型,利用更新论证,得到并求解了此模型下罚金折现期望函数所满足的微积分方程.最后通过数值例子,分析了红利界限与初始盈余对破产概率的影响.

关 键 词:罚金折现期望  微积分方程  破产概率  更新方程  Laplace变换

A KIND OF ERLANG(2) RISK MODEL WITH NEW DIVIDEND BARRIER
NIE Gao-qin,; LIU Li-ming,; WANG Jian-wen.A KIND OF ERLANG(2) RISK MODEL WITH NEW DIVIDEND BARRIER[J].Mathematics in Economics,2009(4).
Authors:NIE Gao-qin  ; LIU Li-ming  ; WANG Jian-wen
Institution:1.School of Statistics; Capital University of Economics and Business; Beijing 100070; China; 2.China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research; Beijing 100038; China);
Abstract:Considering the fact that the dividend firing rate is less than the premium rate in the operational of the insurance company,we introduced a new dividend policy to the Erlang(2)risk model.By the renewal argument,we derived and solved the integro-differential equation,which was satisfied by the expected discounted penalty funcion.Finally,we gave a numerical example to analyze the influence of the dividend barrier and the initial surplus on the ruin probability.
Keywords:expected discounted penalty  integro-differential equation  ruin probability  renewal equation  Laplace transform
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