| 中国经济增长与寿险消费的协整研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陆秋君,陈玲.中国经济增长与寿险消费的协整研究[J].经济数学,2008,25(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陆秋君 陈玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海理工大学理学院,上海,200093;上海财经大学金融学院,上海,200433
2. 上海理工大学理学院,上海,200093 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用1982-2007年的寿险消费和收入数据,运用协整分析方法,考虑数据结构突变的可能性.研究发现,通过设立虚拟变量,成功检测到数据序列的协整关系,并建立误差修正模型.利用该模型对中国年度寿险消费进行预测,提出着手解决寿险业发展面临的问题,以实现与经济增长的良性互动.
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| 关 键 词： | 寿险消费 经济增长 参数变结构协整 |
STUDY ON THE COINTEGRATION RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LIFE INSURANCE CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA |
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| Lu Qiujun,Chen Ling.STUDY ON THE COINTEGRATION RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LIFE INSURANCE CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA[J].Mathematics in Economics,2008,25(4). |
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| Authors: | Lu Qiujun Chen Ling |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between life insurance consumption and economic growth in China from 1982 to 2007 is analysed in the paper by means of cointegration analysis and considering the possibility of structural changes.The paper finds that cointegration is successfully detected by specifying the dummy variables and puts up the error correction model.The author forecasts the future life insurance consumption and puts forward some countemeasures. |
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| Keywords: | Life insurance consumption economic growth variable cointegration of parameters |
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