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允许赤字的MAP风险过程首达时
引用本文:张超权,刘晓辉.允许赤字的MAP风险过程首达时[J].经济数学,2014(4):36-40.
作者姓名:张超权  刘晓辉
作者单位:桂林航天工业学院理学部,广西 桂林,541004
基金项目:广西高校科研项目,桂林航天工业学院科研课题
摘    要:保险公司作为负债经营的特殊企业,其偿付能力受到监管部门的约束,本文以公司负债经营为前提研究其各种首次时.考虑MAP风险过程,即存在一随机背景Markov过程,索赔到达与索赔大小同时受这一背景过程影响,索赔到达为Markov到达点过程(MAP),索赔大小对于不同的背景状态具有不同的分布.本文给出首达时满足的积分-微分方程,通过求解带边界条件的积分-微分方程,给出了盈余过程从初始盈余水平到达某一给定盈余水平的首达时的Laplace变换的矩阵表示式,并由此推得了盈余过程到达指定水平的若干首达事件概率.

关 键 词:风险过程  首达时  Laplace  变换  积分  微分方程

The First Passage Times in the MAP Risk Process Allow Deficit
ZHANG Chao-quan,LIU Xiao-hui.The First Passage Times in the MAP Risk Process Allow Deficit[J].Mathematics in Economics,2014(4):36-40.
Authors:ZHANG Chao-quan  LIU Xiao-hui
Institution:(Facultyof Science, Guilin University of Aerospace Technology , Guilin, Guangxi 441004,China)
Abstract:As a special enterprise allow deficit,an insurance company's solvency is constrained by the supervision de-partment.In this paper,we studied the various First Passage Times (FPTs)of the insurance company allow deficit.We de-scribed a MAP risk model in stochastic environment,in which,the claims arrive according to a Markovian Arrival Process (MAP),and the distributions of the claim sizes are modulated by the background Markov process.A system of integro-dif-ferential equations with boundary conditions was derived and solved.We obtained the matrix expressions for the Laplace trans-forms of some first times that the surplus process reaches a given threshold from the initial level,and the expressions of the probabilities that the surplus process reaches a given threshold from the initial level were also derived.
Keywords:risk process  first passage times  Laplace transform  integro-differential equation
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