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Unreliable newsboy problem with a forecast update
Authors:Divya TiwariRahul Patil  Janat Shah
Institution:
  • a IIM Bangalore, Bangalore, 560076, India
  • b SJMSOM, IIT Bombay, Mumbai, 400076, India
  • Abstract:In this paper, we derive an optimal ordering policy for an unreliable newsboy who can place two sequential orders before the start of a single selling season by using a demand forecast update. Supply yield is modeled using a uniform distribution considering both the minimum order guarantee and the maximum yield. Our results indicate that a firm should focus on increasing the minimum order guarantee from a first stage supplier to reduce its total supply chain cost.
    Keywords:Newsboy problem  Forecast update  Random yield  Inventory management  Stochastic dynamic programming
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