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Failure rates of regenerative systems with heavy tails
Authors:S Asmussen  V Kalashnikov
Institution:(1) Department of Mathematical Statistics, University of Lund, Box 118, S-221 00 Lund, Sweden;(2) Institute of Systems Analysis, Prospect 60 let Oktyabrya, 9, 117312 Moscow, Russia
Abstract:Let ξt be a regenerative process and assume that, at each state x, the process can fail with intensity α(x). If the inter-regeneration times have a finite exponential moment orinf xα(x)>0, then α(ξt) tends to some limiting positive intensity as t→∞ (under mild additional restrictions). This fact is widely used in engineering because the limiting intensity can be employed in various calculations, say, in reliability theory. The paper contains a variety of examples showing that α(ξt) provided that inter-regeneration time has no exponential moment andinf x α(x)=0. The speed of convergence depends, in general, on both the tail of inter-regeneration time and α(x). Proceedings of the Seminar on Stability Problems for Stochastic Models, Hajdúszoboszló, Hungary, 1997, Part III.
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