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Parameter estimation for the stochastic SIS epidemic model
Authors:Jiafeng Pan  Alison Gray  David Greenhalgh  Xuerong Mao
Institution:1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, ?G1 1XH, UK
Abstract:In this paper we estimate the parameters in the stochastic SIS epidemic model by using pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation (pseudo-MLE) and least squares estimation. We obtain the point estimators and $100 (1-\alpha )\%$ confidence intervals as well as $100 (1-\alpha )\%$ joint confidence regions by applying least squares techniques. The pseudo-MLEs have almost the same form as the least squares case. We also obtain the exact as well as the asymptotic $100 (1-\alpha )\%$ joint confidence regions for the pseudo-MLEs. Computer simulations are performed to illustrate our theory.
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