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养老保险基金研究
引用本文:刘文斌,李乐乐,宋超,张道棋.养老保险基金研究[J].数学理论与应用,2012(1):57-61.
作者姓名:刘文斌  李乐乐  宋超  张道棋
作者单位:武汉长江工商学院基础部
摘    要:本文通过对我国基本养老保险中的“社会统筹”与“个人账户”中的有关数据进行了合理地分析和预测。在我国现行的养老保险制度的基础上,对1978年到2010年山东省职工的年平均工资用matlab进行了指数函数曲线拟合。预测出2011到2035年的年平均工资,从而预测出某企业在2000年-2034年的职工月工资和缴费指数。求出了各年龄段的替代率。计算了养老保险基金的缺口情况。通过lingo软件计算得出满足目标替代率和达到收支平衡时可采取的措施。

关 键 词:拟合  养老保险基金缺口  收支平衡  替代率

A Study on Endowment Insurance Fund
Liu Wenbin Li Lele Song Chao Zhang Daoqi.A Study on Endowment Insurance Fund[J].Mathematical Theory and Applications,2012(1):57-61.
Authors:Liu Wenbin Li Lele Song Chao Zhang Daoqi
Institution:Liu Wenbin Li Lele Song Chao Zhang Daoqi(Department of Basics,Wuhan Yangtze Business University,Wuhan,430010)
Abstract:In this paper,relational data of society planing as a whole and individual account in Chinese basic endowment insurance are analyzed reasonably and forecasted.In Chinese current endowment insurance system,from 1978 to 2010,average wage of a year in ShanDong province are polyfited by matlab.We forecast average wage of a year from 2011 to 2035 and average wage of a month and paying index from 2000 to 2034 in a enterprise.Substituting probability of every age is solved.Insufficiency of endowment insurance fund is computed.Adopting measure of satisfying big substituting probability and achieving balance of income and outgo is computed by lingo.
Keywords:Polyfit Insufficiency of endowment insurance fund Balance of income and outgo Substituting probability
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