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全国平均每百户居民私家车拥有量预测
引用本文:陈群,林亨成.全国平均每百户居民私家车拥有量预测[J].数学理论与应用,2012(3):105-109.
作者姓名:陈群  林亨成
作者单位:西南大学荣昌校区基础部
摘    要:为了对全国平均每百户居民私家车拥有量进行预测,建立了可分离变量微分方程的数学模型,采用最小二乘法,借助Excel作为计算工具,得到了微分方程近似解的参数值,并用微分方程的近似解估计了最大拥有量以及2010年以后某些年的拥有量.

关 键 词:私家车拥有量  预测

Prediction of Private Car Ownership in Every Hundred Households in China
Chen Qun Lin Hengcheng.Prediction of Private Car Ownership in Every Hundred Households in China[J].Mathematical Theory and Applications,2012(3):105-109.
Authors:Chen Qun Lin Hengcheng
Institution:Chen Qun Lin Hengcheng(Department of basic science,Rongchang Campus,Southwest University,Chongqing 402460,China)
Abstract:In this paper a differential equation with separable variables is set up to model the dynamics of private car ownership in every hundred households in China.Parameters in the model are estimated by means of the least square method,and the prediction is then obtained by making use of the solution of the differential equation.
Keywords:Private Car Ownership Prediction
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