Forecasting the integration of immigrants |
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Authors: | Pierluigi Contucci Seyedalireza Seyedi |
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Institution: | Dipartimento di Matematica, Università di Bologna, Bologna, Italy |
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Abstract: | In this research, we develop and introduce a theoretical and mathematical forecasting framework of immigrant integration using immigrant density as a single driver. First, we introduce the integration concepts we aim at forecasting. Thereafter, we introduce a theoretical and mathematical model of the relationship between integration and immigrant density. Based on this model, we develop a methodological forecasting framework. We test the framework using immigrant integration data from Spain. We produce the forecasts, and conduct the proper evaluation of them. Finally, we conclude with a brief discussion of the wider implications of our results. |
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Keywords: | Forecasting immigrant density immigration social and labor-market integration |
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