| 可持续发展通道及预警研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐学荣,吴祖建,张巨勇,谢联辉.可持续发展通道及预警研究[J].数学的实践与认识,2003,33(2):31-37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐学荣 吴祖建 张巨勇 谢联辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建农林大学,福州,350002 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省社科“十五”规划项目 (批准号 2 0 0 1 B0 49) |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述了可持续发展的组合 S型发展机制 ;探讨了可持续发展条件 ;提出了可持续发展通道的概念 ;构建了多阶段可持续发展趋势模型、可持续发展通道、可持续发展预警系统 ;给出了一个应用实例
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| 关 键 词： | 组合S型曲线 可持续发展趋势线 可持续发展通道 可持续发展预警 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年5月31日 |
Research On the Path and Early Warning of Sustainable Development |
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| XU Xue rong,\ WU Zu jian,\ ZHANG Ju yong,\ XIE Lian hui.Research On the Path and Early Warning of Sustainable Development[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2003,33(2):31-37. |
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| Authors: | XU Xue rong \ WU Zu jian \ ZHANG Ju yong \ XIE Lian hui |
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| Abstract: | Multiple hierarchy S shaped curves are presented as the pattern of sustainable development in this paper. Also, some requirements for sustainable development are discussed. Moreover, a multiple stage tendency curve model is built up, the concept of ′sustainable development path′ is proposed and its connection with the early warning of sustainable development is analyzed. The sustainable development early warning system of fruit industry in Fujian is given as an example. |
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| Keywords: | multi stage and multi hierarchy S shaped curve sustainable development tendency curve sustainable development path early warning of sustainable development |
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